‘The worst is over’: Sunak finally closes in on inflation pledge
The TelegraphKallum Pickering, economist at Berenberg Bank, says if current patterns continue, “inflation should fall fast over coming months towards a 4-5pc rate by the end of the year and to within the 2-3pc range by the middle of next year.” If correct, Sunak would meet his first target. The figures will be cheered by the Bank of England, which has been under intense pressure to bring inflation back anywhere close to its 2pc target, which was last met in July 2021. It has so far raised rates from 0.1pc in December 2021 to 5pc last month, yet the dramatic tightening has proved impotent when it comes to headline inflation. In a shock and awe move the MPC last month raised interest rates by 0.5 percentage points, effectively a double move compared to the 0.25pp moves of the two prior policy meetings.