Opinion | Can RBI, other central banks survive the age of populism?
Live MintIs central bank independence the next casualty of the age of populism? The government wants the central bank to loosen lending restrictions — to fuel economic activity and jobs growth — and turn over more of its cash reserves, presumably to fund populist spending ahead of next year’s elections. Meanwhile, in Europe, the populists who have seized power in Italy spent the past week attacking European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, a fellow Italian, after he warned that Italy’s borrowing costs would escalate unless it kept to euro-zone fiscal restrictions. Luigi di Maio, the head of the populist Five Star Movement and Italy’s deputy prime minister, complained that Draghi was “poisoning the atmosphere.” Over the past year, three of the ECB’s 19 representatives from national central banks have been dragged into local legal disputes; others have faced pressure to resign. In the quarter-century since Alesina and Summers wrote their seminal paper, the relationship between central bank independence and inflation has been less obvious in the data; Summers himself walked back his claim a bit recently.