Why inflation will matter more in 2025: Explained
1 week, 4 days ago

Why inflation will matter more in 2025: Explained

The Hindu  

The story so far: It has been what one may call, a bittersweet year for the economy, with a sweet first half, when growth surprised everyone, including the government. Top government functionaries have been making noises since late November about the need for RBI to cut rates, with some suggesting it should ignore volatile food prices and prioritise growth and investments. The Finance Ministry expected growth to be “over 6.5%” for the full year, as it geared up for an interim Budget ahead of the Lok Sabha polls. “Growth moderated in the April-June quarter as high interest rates temper urban demand,” said Louis Kuijs, Asia-Pacific chief economist at S&P Global Ratings in September. With food prices still a worry and edible oils spurting up, the RBI did not budge on interest rates this month as well, even as it noted the growth-inflation situation is no longer well-poised, slashing its 2024-25 growth projection to 6.6% from earlier hopes of 7.2%.

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History of this topic

Sri Lanka c. bank to focus on stronger crisis recovery in 2025
22 hours, 23 minutes ago

Sri Lanka c. bank to focus on stronger crisis recovery in 2025

Live Mint  

By Uditha Jayasinghe COLOMBO, Jan 8 - Sri Lanka will focus on stronger recovery this year after the island nation posted real GDP growth of 5% in 2024, the highest in seven years, its central bank chief said on Wednesday, hoping to accelerate a rebound from its worst financial crisis in decades. Sri Lanka's economy crumpled under a severe foreign …

Risks to economy escalating in 2025, says SBICAPS
1 day, 16 hours ago

Risks to economy escalating in 2025, says SBICAPS

Live Mint  

New Delhi: The economic outlook for calendar year 2025 remains cautious, with many of the risks from the last year expected to escalate, leading to heightened uncertainty and volatility, according to SBICAPS. Fresh structural shifts, such as rising currency volatility and the diversification of global supply chains, are unfolding against a backdrop of ongoing trade wars, geopolitical upheavals, and political …

From recession to rate cuts: my six economic predictions for 2025
2 days, 15 hours ago

From recession to rate cuts: my six economic predictions for 2025

The Independent  

I usually feel queasy when writing predictions for the year ahead. After all, the internet is forever and if you get it wrong there’s always someone to post a link on social media in a year’s time with the aggressive, but unoriginal, line: “This you?” But if economic forecasters, with their supercomputers, spreadsheets and master degrees from fancy institutions, can …

Money lesson for 2025: Keep faith in basics
5 days, 16 hours ago

Money lesson for 2025: Keep faith in basics

Hindustan Times  

If you were to read the news reports about your own earning, spending and saving patterns, you would think that you are earning less due to stagnant wages, spending less due to inflation, and saving less due to repayment of loans. In absolute numbers, India’s household private consumption expenditure in 2023, according to World Bank data, was $2.25 trillion up …

5 reasons to be optimistic about the 2025 economy
1 week, 1 day ago

5 reasons to be optimistic about the 2025 economy

CNN  

New York CNN — The world faces a plethora of serious problems entering 2025. “The US economy, as it’s done for many years, continues to chug along at a very steady pace,” said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. “You’re going to need a shock to put the economy in recession,” Kelly said, “and I don’t see …

UK economy faces threat of ‘stagflation’ after bumpy 2024
1 week, 1 day ago

UK economy faces threat of ‘stagflation’ after bumpy 2024

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. With the economy stalling, the watchword for 2025 is …

Dollar edges up on bets of US growth, inflation
1 week, 6 days ago

Dollar edges up on bets of US growth, inflation

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell NEW YORK - The U.S. dollar edged higher on Thursday on expectations the currency would be boosted next year by policies by the incoming Donald Trump administration that are expected to boost growth and lift inflation. Looser business regulations and tax cuts are expected to help propel U.S. growth next year while analysts say that a clamp-down …

China's finance ministry vows to step up fiscal spending in 2025
2 weeks, 1 day ago

China's finance ministry vows to step up fiscal spending in 2025

China Daily  

The skyline of Beijing. BEIJING -- China's finance ministry vowed to step up fiscal spending and government bond issuance in 2025, providing stronger support to bolster economic stability. The country will adopt a more proactive fiscal policy next year, and ensure the fiscal policy is continuously forceful and impactful, Finance Minister Lan Fo'an made the remarks during a two-day national …

Economy rebounds in Q3 with boost from festivals and rural demand: RBI
2 weeks, 2 days ago

Economy rebounds in Q3 with boost from festivals and rural demand: RBI

India Today  

The Indian economy is recovering from the slowdown in momentum witnessed in the September quarter, driven by strong festival activity and a sustained upswing in rural demand, according to a Reserve Bank of India bulletin released on Tuesday. "High frequency indicators for the third quarter of 2024-25 indicate that the Indian economy is recovering from the slowdown in momentum witnessed …

Price stability crucial for India’s economic growth, says RBI
2 weeks, 5 days ago

Price stability crucial for India’s economic growth, says RBI

Live Mint  

The foundations for high growth in the Indian economy can be achieved through durable price stability, the monetary policy committee of the Reserve Bank of India said. "The MPC emphasises that strong foundations for high growth can be secured only with durable price stability," the minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting held in December said. "The MPC also decided …

RBI MPC may delay rate cut to April 2025 amid US Fed’s hawkish stance: Will this impact growth?
2 weeks, 5 days ago

RBI MPC may delay rate cut to April 2025 amid US Fed’s hawkish stance: Will this impact growth?

Live Mint  

The Reserve Bank of India may delay the beginning of its rate cut cycle to April 2025 due to the US Federal Reserve's move towards a more hawkish monetary policy approach. “Given INR weakness and developing volatility in financial markets, we see the start of the rate cut cycle to shift to April 2025,” ANI reported, citing Yes Bank. It …

US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, signals slower cuts for 2025
Trending News
3 weeks ago

US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, signals slower cuts for 2025

India TV News  

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter for the third consecutive time. Future outlook: Moderate reductions expected by 2025 Another quarterly outlook indicated only two rate cuts in 2025, with officials predicting government rates to reach 3.75 per cent-4 per cent by the end of that year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warned that inflation would remain …

Fed makes third rate cut this year, suggests fewer in 2025
3 weeks, 1 day ago

Fed makes third rate cut this year, suggests fewer in 2025

Salon  

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday committed to a final interest rate cut this year, as widely expected by economists and investors, but suggested fewer cuts next year. “The slower pace of cuts for next year really reflects both the higher inflation readings we’ve had this year and the expectation inflation will be higher.” Going into the December meeting, market expectations …

RBI May Begin Shallow Rate Cut Cycle From Feb Amid Global Turmoil
3 weeks, 3 days ago

RBI May Begin Shallow Rate Cut Cycle From Feb Amid Global Turmoil

Deccan Chronicle  

Mumbai: While calls for rate cuts are growing louder with inflation decelerating in November amid concerns over slowing economic growth, economists see a small window of conventional rate cuts next year as global dynamics turn more fluid. Most expect the central bank to begin a shallow rate-cut cycle in its February 2025 policy meeting with a 25 basis points rate …

Growth slowdown: Why lay a deeper economic malaise at RBI’s door?
3 weeks, 3 days ago

Growth slowdown: Why lay a deeper economic malaise at RBI’s door?

Live Mint  

Chapter 16 in the Book of Leviticus, Old Testament, enjoins Aaron to organize sacrifices and expiate the sins of all Israelites. Various ministers, government officials and sundry industry representatives have been hinting at RBI culpability in India’s economic slowdown and have called upon its monetary policy committee to cut rates in support of growth. The debate began with this year’s …

Prepare for a weaker, volatile rupee in 2025
3 weeks, 4 days ago

Prepare for a weaker, volatile rupee in 2025

New Indian Express  

The rupee has been under pressure ever since Donald Trump has won the US presidential election, triggering capital outflow from India. Trump’s economic policies are likely to stoke higher inflation resulting in higher bond yields in the US. The capital outflow from Indian and other emerging markets has also been caused by the expectation that Trump’s policies will benefit the …

RBI repo rate cut expectations build as CPI inflation moderates; Economists expect shallow rate-cut cycle from February
3 weeks, 5 days ago

RBI repo rate cut expectations build as CPI inflation moderates; Economists expect shallow rate-cut cycle from February

Live Mint  

India’s retail inflation in November aligned with market expectations and remained within the Reserve Bank of India’s tolerance band. Analysts anticipate that the RBI could initiate a shallow rate-cut cycle in its February 2025 policy meeting, provided inflation continues to decline. Hitesh Suvarna of JM Financial anticipates that the next step in RBI’s policy action will involve a rate cut, …

Inflation likely eased to 5.5% in November: Mint poll
4 weeks ago

Inflation likely eased to 5.5% in November: Mint poll

Live Mint  

India’s retail inflation is expected to have eased to 5.5% in November from 6.2% the previous month, driven by a seasonal decline in vegetable prices, according to a Mint poll of 16 economists. Even if inflation moderated in November, it would still have exceeded the Reserve Bank of India's medium-term target of 4% in all but two months since September …

DC Edit | Will RBI tweak inflation focus?
4 weeks, 1 day ago

DC Edit | Will RBI tweak inflation focus?

Deccan Chronicle  

The appointment of Sanjay Malhotra as the new RBI governor continues the long-standing tradition of IAS officers heading the Central bank, a quasi-autonomous body that decides the country’s monetary policy. Mr Malhotra took over the charge of RBI from Shaktikanta Das — the second longest serving governor after Sir Benegal Rama Rau’s stint of seven years and 197 days — …

China's leaders vow more 'relaxed' monetary policy in 2025
Trending News
1 month ago

China's leaders vow more 'relaxed' monetary policy in 2025

New Indian Express  

BEIJING: Chinese President Xi Jinping and other top leaders said Monday they would adopt a more "relaxed" approach to monetary policy as they hashed out plans to boost the economy next year. The world's second-largest economy is battling sluggish domestic consumption, a persistent crisis in the property sector and soaring government debt -- all of which threaten Beijing's official growth …

​Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation
Trending News
1 month ago

​Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee, in its latest bi-monthly review, has decided to maintain status quo on the benchmark interest rate of 6.50% for the eleventh consecutive time. India’s retail inflation, after trending below the median 4% target, for the first time in five years, for two months, spiked over September and October, with food prices leading …

RBI signals cautious optimism on growth-inflation balance
1 month ago

RBI signals cautious optimism on growth-inflation balance

Live Mint  

The Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy on 6 December voted 4:2 to keep the policy repo rate unchanged at 6.50%. After the October ’24 inflation data came in at over 6%, the RBI revised the FY25 inflation forecast to 4.8% from 4.5% in its Oct ’24 policy. Liquidity infusion and rate cut prospects Persistent FPI outflows and RBI intervention …

RBI monetary policy decision: Is an RBI rate cut coming after Union Budget 2025? What experts suggest
Trending News
1 month ago

RBI monetary policy decision: Is an RBI rate cut coming after Union Budget 2025? What experts suggest

Live Mint  

RBI Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on December 6 announced that it would maintain the repo rate at 6.5 per cent for the eleventh consecutive time, in line with market expectations. RBI cut its GDP growth forecast for FY25 to 6.6 per cent and raised its inflation projection for FY25 to 4.8 per cent. Sujan …

RBI Monetary Policy: Inflation remains a concern; FY25 growth estimates trimmed-5 key highlights from RBI MPC outcome
1 month ago

RBI Monetary Policy: Inflation remains a concern; FY25 growth estimates trimmed-5 key highlights from RBI MPC outcome

Live Mint  

RBI Monetary Policy: Highlighting sticky inflation and its impact on economic growth and consumers, Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das announced a status quo on the repo rate and policy stance on Friday, December 6. The Monetary Policy Committee of the central bank, by a majority of 4:2, decided to keep the repo rate at 6.50 per cent for …

RBI to Announce Interest Rate Decision Amid High Inflation
1 month ago

RBI to Announce Interest Rate Decision Amid High Inflation

Deccan Chronicle  

The Reserve Bank on Friday morning will announce the decision on interest rate after the conclusion of the three-day monetary policy panel meeting, amid high inflation and weak GDP growth numbers.Experts are of the view that the central bank is likely to opt for status quo on the short-term lending rate, and will possibly tinker with cash reserve ratio keeping …

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
1 month ago

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth

New Indian Express  

Despite the disappointing slump in economic growth, the RBI on Friday left the benchmark policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent amid inflationary pressures. Maintaining a firm stance on inflation control, Governor Shaktikanta Das stressed that the central bank needed “more credible evidence” on the disinflationary process, which he said was getting prolonged and arduous. As Das rightly noted, there …

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
1 month ago

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth

New Indian Express  

Despite the disappointing slump in economic growth, the RBI on Friday left the benchmark policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent amid inflationary pressures. Maintaining a firm stance on inflation control, Governor Shaktikanta Das stressed that the central bank needed “more credible evidence” on the disinflationary process, which he said was getting prolonged and arduous. As Das rightly noted, there …

RBI keeps key lending rate unchanged at 6.5%, focus remains on tackling inflation
1 month ago

RBI keeps key lending rate unchanged at 6.5%, focus remains on tackling inflation

India Today  

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee has decided to maintain the status quo on key interest rates for the 11th consecutive time. Consequently, the standing deposit facility stands at 6.25%, and the marginal standing facility and the bank rate at 6.75%," announced RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das during the policy statement. "Tackling inflation is critical because high inflation reduces …

UK interest rates to fall more slowly than expected after Budget – OECD
1 month ago

UK interest rates to fall more slowly than expected after Budget – OECD

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK interest rates will fall …

World economy to accelerate in 2025, but recovery threatened by higher tariffs, OECD says
1 month ago

World economy to accelerate in 2025, but recovery threatened by higher tariffs, OECD says

Live Mint  

The global economy is set to grow at slightly a faster pace next year as inflation continues to cool, but could falter if tariffs rise and governments fail to narrow wide budget deficits, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Wednesday. “Growth continues to be resilient," said Alvaro Pereira, the OECD’s chief economist, in an interview with The Wall …

RBI MPC meet: Growth needs a boost, but will inflation hold back rate cut?
Trending News
1 month ago

RBI MPC meet: Growth needs a boost, but will inflation hold back rate cut?

India Today  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee began its three-day meeting on Wednesday, setting the stage for a critical decision on the repo rate, which will be announced on December 6 at 10 AM. The meeting takes place amid growing calls from experts and leaders for a rate cut to support India’s slowing economic growth. Piyuh Goyal has even …

Monetary policy review: RBI should stick to its price stability mandate
1 month ago

Monetary policy review: RBI should stick to its price stability mandate

Live Mint  

One of the lingering effects of covid—‘long covid’—is that economic growth has begun to look a bit like the Sensex, albeit in slow motion. So, last fiscal year’s growth looked rosy in large part because growth in 2022-23 had flagged since 2021-22, when it was 9.7% but on a covid-shrunken GDP base of 2020-21. As the US Fed and major …

Will RBI cut key interest rates on December 6? 3 things to know
1 month, 1 week ago

Will RBI cut key interest rates on December 6? 3 things to know

India Today  

As the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee gears up for its December 6 meeting, market participants are weighing the likelihood of a key interest rate cut. Here are 3 things to know ahead of the upcoming RBI MPC meeting: GROWTH REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE India’s GDP growth dipped to 5.4% in Q2 FY25, a sharp decline attributed to weaker …

India’s GDP growth estimated to decelerate to 6.3% in 2025, says Goldman Sachs; sees shallow RBI rate cut from Q1CY25
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth estimated to decelerate to 6.3% in 2025, says Goldman Sachs; sees shallow RBI rate cut from Q1CY25

Live Mint  

India’s economic growth is expected to decelerate in 2025, said Goldman Sachs even as it believes that the economy will likely be insulated from global shocks emanating out of a potential trade war between US and China. Though India’s strong long-term structural growth story remains intact, we forecast GDP growth to decelerate to 6.3% YoY in CY25, on continued fiscal …

UK inflation hits six-month high of 2.3% on high energy bills; BoE stresses on gradual rate cuts
1 month, 2 weeks ago

UK inflation hits six-month high of 2.3% on high energy bills; BoE stresses on gradual rate cuts

Live Mint  

British inflation jumped by more than expected last month to rise back above the Bank of England's 2% target and underlying price growth gathered speed too, showing why the BoE is moving cautiously on interest rate cuts. Consumer prices rose by an annual 2.3% in October, pushed up almost entirely by an increase in regulated domestic energy tariffs, after a …

What rising inflation means for you: HUGO DUNCAN on why it dashes hopes of a Christmas Bank of England rate cut
1 month, 2 weeks ago

What rising inflation means for you: HUGO DUNCAN on why it dashes hopes of a Christmas Bank of England rate cut

Daily Mail  

There will be no early Christmas present from the Bank of England. The jump in inflation announced today – from 1.7 per cent in September to 2.3 per cent in October – has dashed any lingering hopes of another interest rate cut this year. Inflation spiked to 2.3 per cent in October as fears grow over the impact of the …

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again

New Indian Express  

The main culprit is food inflation, which jumped to 10.87%, largely led by vegetable prices that rose by a staggering 42.18% in October. As Deputy governor Michael Patra noted, inflation will likely encounter a hump in the near months largely due to an adverse base and one-off shocks to prices of vegetables, edible oils and gram. The fact that inflation …

Moody’s pegs GDP at 7.2 per cent in 2024
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Moody’s pegs GDP at 7.2 per cent in 2024

New Indian Express  

CHENNAI: Despite many beginning to re-relook at their growth forecasts— unlike the Reserve Bank which has been sticking its neck out with the 7.2% growth this fiscal, global rating agency Moody’s has upped its calendar year 2024 GDP outlook to 7.2%, saying “the Indian economy is in a sweet spot, with a mix of solid growth and moderating inflation.” The …

Indian Economy to Grow 7.2 Percent in 2024, Moody’s Forecasts
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Indian Economy to Grow 7.2 Percent in 2024, Moody’s Forecasts

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Global rating agency Moody’s Ratings on Friday said that the Indian economy is in a sweet spot and projected a 7.2 per cent gross domestic product or GDP growth for India in 2024 with the mix of solid growth and moderating inflation. “Although the central bank shifted its monetary policy stance to neutral while keeping the repo rate …

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why
1 month, 3 weeks ago

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve will likely stay on course towards delivering another interest rate cut in its December policy meeting even after the latest inflation print revealed that consumer prices rose for the first time in seven months. Wall Street analysts say that October's inflation data "will change little for the US Fed'' when the Federal Open Market Committee will …

‘Absolutely flawed…’: RBI should boost growth with rate cut, says Union Minister Piyush Goyal; Governor Das responds
1 month, 3 weeks ago

‘Absolutely flawed…’: RBI should boost growth with rate cut, says Union Minister Piyush Goyal; Governor Das responds

Live Mint  

The Reserve Bank of India should cut the key benchmark interest rates to boost economic growth and look through the food prices while deciding on monetary policy, Union Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal said. Growth needs a further impetus,” Piyush Goyal told the news portal, also stating that it's an “absolutely flawed theory” to consider food inflation while …

Inflation set to stay above 2% for next four years, says OBR
2 months, 1 week ago

Inflation set to stay above 2% for next four years, says OBR

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK inflation is set to …

RBI MPC Oct 2024: Retail Inflation Estimated At 4.5 Per Cent For FY25, Food Prices To Ease In Q4
2 months, 4 weeks ago

RBI MPC Oct 2024: Retail Inflation Estimated At 4.5 Per Cent For FY25, Food Prices To Ease In Q4

ABP News  

RBI MPC October 2024: The Reserve Bank of India ’s Monetary Policy Committee revealed its decision on Wednesday on key rates and decided to maintain the status quo. Governor Shaktikanta Das revealed that the CPI retail inflation for the 2024-25 fiscal year is projected at 4.5 per cent. The inflation figure for the second quarter in the current fiscal year …

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do
3 months, 1 week ago

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do

LA Times  

Sen. JD Vance tried to blame the $4 price of a dozen eggs on Kamala Harris in this campaign video. The “strong policy response” Powell referred to was the Fed’s raising of short-term interest rates 11 times, a total of 5.25 percentage points, from March 2022 through July 2023. In November 2021, however, Powell told Congress that it was “probably …

Why the rise in inflation might actually be... good news
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Why the rise in inflation might actually be... good news

The Independent  

Inflation is up… and that’s, erm, good news. A small cut in the Bank rate from the current 5 per cent to, say, 4.75 per cent in September, October or November is slightly more likely now than it seemed yesterday. Prices overall on this definition rose by 3.3 per cent in the year to July 2024 – down from 3.5 …

Inflation figures may give government a rate rise reprieve next week, but the path is not yet certain
5 months, 1 week ago

Inflation figures may give government a rate rise reprieve next week, but the path is not yet certain

ABC  

Jim Chalmers faces a nervous wait over the next six days to the Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision even if today's inflation data look to have handed him a brief political 'get-out-of-jail' card. Underlying inflation, which is the Reserve Bank's main guiding measure as it removes outlier and one-off impacts that add volatility to the headline consumer price index, …

Explained: Why Economic Survey 2024 has taken a cautious stance
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Explained: Why Economic Survey 2024 has taken a cautious stance

India Today  

The Economic Survey 2023-24 has adopted a more cautious stance on India’s growth prospects, projecting an expansion of 6.5% to 7% for the fiscal year. Chief Economic Adviser V. Anantha Nageswaran highlighted that while the Indian economy remains resilient, it faces potential challenges from geopolitical uncertainties and the risk of cheaper imports that could impact private capital formation. "The Indian …

A look at key macro numbers ahead of Budget: GDP, fiscal deficit, inflation
5 months, 3 weeks ago

A look at key macro numbers ahead of Budget: GDP, fiscal deficit, inflation

Hindustan Times  

Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present the Union Budget 2024-25 on July 23 as experts widely expect that at least a few populist schemes will be announced which will help boost the rural economy and also create jobs. Here's a look at the macro numbers ahead of Budget 2024: Budget 2024: Experts widely expect that at least a …

China's economic growth sharply below forecast in last quarter as consumer demand weakens
5 months, 3 weeks ago

China's economic growth sharply below forecast in last quarter as consumer demand weakens

India TV News  

China’s economy grew at a slower-than-forecast 4.7 per cent annual rate in the last quarter, the government said on Monday. The world's second-largest economy grew 4.7 per cent in April-June, official data showed, its slowest since the first quarter of 2023 and missing a 5.1 per cent analyst forecast in a Reuters poll. United Nations' projections for India The United …

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