Big hint Anthony Albanese is responsible for you missing out on a rate cut - with Australia's most powerful banker blaming government spending for inflation
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Big hint Anthony Albanese is responsible for you missing out on a rate cut - with Australia's most powerful banker blaming government spending for inflation

Daily Mail  

Australia's most powerful banker has given a strong hint that excessive government spending is to blame for high inflation, ruling out rate cuts until 2025. Australia's most powerful banker has given a strong hint excessive government spending is to blame for high inflation - and therefore no rate cuts While headline inflation has fallen to a three-and-a-half year low of 2.8 per cent, the number is based on one-off $300 electricity rebates and falling petrol prices. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock's latest warning was delivered ahead of her American counterparts cutting rates for the second time this year Unlike Australia, the American economy is still growing at a strong pace and inflation is more contained. Ms Bullock this week revealed she had personally told Treasurer Jim Chalmers that too much government spending was causing Australia's inflationary problems The European Central Bank has cut rates three times in 2024, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has cut rates twice, while the Bank of England has done one cut.

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History of this topic

Has Australia's economy turned the corner? Angus Taylor has a warning
2 weeks ago

Has Australia's economy turned the corner? Angus Taylor has a warning

ABC  

Economists say Australia has turned a corner. Last week, he said labour productivity was still "disastrous" in Australia and the purchasing power of our wages had deteriorated "disastrously" since Labor won the election in 2022. By the time the 2022 election was held, the "real" value of our wages had already deteriorated so much that our wages were buying less …

Why isn't the Albanese government boasting about falling inflation?
3 weeks ago

Why isn't the Albanese government boasting about falling inflation?

ABC  

Independent economist Saul Eslake made a fascinating observation recently. "Nonetheless, I'm genuinely surprised that Treasurer Jim Chalmers and his colleagues haven't been proclaiming often and loudly that they've "pulled off" something that has never been accomplished before in Australia," he said. By "tolerable," he means a level of inflation that's become low enough for the Reserve Bank of Australia to …

Australia, NZ dollars back off resistance, tariff risk looms
3 weeks, 5 days ago

Australia, NZ dollars back off resistance, tariff risk looms

Live Mint  

By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 25 - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the back foot on Tuesday after again failing to clear resistance, and markets were reminded the next round of U.S. tariff jeopardy was just days away. President Donald Trump on Monday indicated proposed levies on Mexico and Canada were still set to start next week, …

Australia, NZ dlrs scale two-month highs, RBA hawkish on easing
1 month ago

Australia, NZ dlrs scale two-month highs, RBA hawkish on easing

Live Mint  

By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 21 - The Australian and New Zealand dollars hovered near two-month highs on Friday as worries about a global trade war abated a little, while Australia's central bank sounded a hawkish tone on future rate cuts. "Future rate cuts will likely be more a case of benign inflation readings allowing the RBA to remove the …

RBA’s Hauser Says Rate Pause Would Have Seen CPI Undershoot
1 month ago

RBA’s Hauser Says Rate Pause Would Have Seen CPI Undershoot

Live Mint  

-- Australia’s central bank assessed that keeping interest rates unchanged this year would have resulted in core inflation going below the 2.5% midpoint of its target, Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said. As a result, the board is “rigorously” focused on cooling prices and success over inflation is “not a done deal,” said Hauser, who is the first foreign official to …

Anthony Albanese says he understands that Tasmanians are 'doing it tough' but won't name an election date
1 month ago

Anthony Albanese says he understands that Tasmanians are 'doing it tough' but won't name an election date

ABC  

Ben in Launceston I earn quite a reasonable income, my partner not so much, she's at home with two of our kids and we struggle on the day to day. A quarter of a per cent interest rate reduction is going to do little to nothing for most households, let's be realistic about it. Leon Compton What would you say …

RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020
1 month ago

RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020

ABC  

Samantha Donovan: Hello, welcome to PM. So what we've seen is those really sticky items in the inflation baskets, I think insurance premiums, out-of-pocket health care costs, the cost of building a new dwelling or rental prices, those price increases have been such that the Reserve Bank has been worried that if it doesn't keep interest rate policy restrictive, and …

Australian shares marginally extend losses after RBA cuts rate as expected
1 month ago

Australian shares marginally extend losses after RBA cuts rate as expected

Live Mint  

By Adwitiya Srivastava Feb 18 - Australian shares slightly deepened losses after the local central bank delivered its highly anticipated interest rate cut for the first time in over four years on Tuesday, driven by a sell-off in heavyweight financials. The RBA cut rates by 25 basis points to 4.10%, easing its monetary policy for the first time since November …

Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020
1 month ago

Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020

Associated Press  

MELBOURNE, Australia — Australia’s central bank on Tuesday reduced its benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020 as the nation’s inflation cools. “Inflation has fallen substantially since the peak in 2022, as higher interest rates have been working to bring aggregate demand and supply closer towards balance,” the board said in a statement. “Some other central banks …

Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision
1 month ago

Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision

ABC  

Andy Park: Hello, welcome to The World Today. If by its very nature, the Reserve Bank cutting interest rates stimulates demand and increases inflation, if underlying inflation still isn't within the Reserve Bank's band of between 2% and 3%, won't an interest rate cut have policy makers put up the white flag on inflation? Jane Bardon: The independent Yolngu MP …

Why the Reserve Bank has little option but to cut interest rates
1 month ago

Why the Reserve Bank has little option but to cut interest rates

ABC  

After more than six months of conjecture and on-again off-again signals, interest rates are about to start a descent. In the December quarter, core inflation came in at just 0.5 per cent which, if you annualise it, comes in at just 2 per cent, smack bang at the bottom of the RBA's target range. Core inflation has dropped rapidly, more …

Big call on interest rates everyone with a mortgage needs to read as Donald Trump tariffs stir inflation fears
1 month, 1 week ago

Big call on interest rates everyone with a mortgage needs to read as Donald Trump tariffs stir inflation fears

Daily Mail  

Donald Trump's 25 per cent tariffs on Australian goods could end up delaying interest rate cuts here, experts fear. Donald Trump 's 45 per cent tariffs on Australian goods could end up delaying interest rate cuts, experts fear This would occur as weaker American demand for imports boosted the US dollar. Alarmingly, KPMG sees headline inflation climbing back to 3.3 …

Inflation has fallen in Australia and NZ, but which is faring better?
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Inflation has fallen in Australia and NZ, but which is faring better?

ABC  

New Zealand's economy is in recession. But inflation has fallen in both countries, and Australia's Reserve Bank is expected to start cutting interest rates soon. For example, New Zealand's labour force hasn't grown in the past 12 months, but you wouldn't know that by looking at its unemployment rate. Therefore, you could argue that New Zealand's unemployment rate is obscuring …

Jim Chalmers gloats the worst of the cost-of-living crisis is over... but these bleak figures reveal why millions of Aussies are still not celebrating
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Jim Chalmers gloats the worst of the cost-of-living crisis is over... but these bleak figures reveal why millions of Aussies are still not celebrating

Daily Mail  

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the worst of the inflation crisis is over, despite new evidence showing one in two Australians are cutting back on groceries. Among this group of unprepared borrowers, almost half or 48 per cent of them had cut back on spending for essential items, like groceries and power bills despite the federal government's $300 electricity rebates. Treasurer …

Inflation fall sparks hopes for a rate cut
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Inflation fall sparks hopes for a rate cut

ABC  

Welcome to The World Today. Andy Park: So the question that really matters is how will the Reserve Bank likely view these figures ahead of next month's interest rates decision? Andy Park: Two of Victoria's national parks remain closed as fire crews continue to bring several large bushfires under control in Victoria's west. Kathleen O'Connor: Fire crews have spent the …

Rate cut chances increase after inflation slows in final quarter of 2024
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Rate cut chances increase after inflation slows in final quarter of 2024

ABC  

The odds of an interest rate cut next month have increased, with official figures showing the Reserve Bank of Australia's preferred measure of inflation fell to 3.2 per cent over the year to December. The more volatile headline inflation figure came in at 0.2 per cent for the December quarter and 2.4 per cent for the year, down from a …

December inflation figures set to make or break February rate cut, with government watching on
1 month, 3 weeks ago

December inflation figures set to make or break February rate cut, with government watching on

ABC  

The new inflation figures published on Wednesday may be decisive for the Reserve Bank as it weighs a February interest rate cut. Good news expected on inflation The Reserve Bank's preferred "underlying" measure of inflation was 3.5 per cent in the September quarter, and it forecasts a slight decline to 3.4 per cent in December. Taylor Nugent, a senior economist …

Why is the Australian dollar falling and what could it mean for you?
2 months, 1 week ago

Why is the Australian dollar falling and what could it mean for you?

ABC  

The Australian dollar is around its lowest level since 2020 against the US currency, continuing its move towards 61 US cents with a sharp fall over the weekend. "While the strong US dollar has left no prisoners, the Aussie softness has been exacerbated by tariff angst, fears over economic growth in China and the repricing in domestic interest rate expectations," …

Australia, NZ dlrs Struggle near two-year lows, data on help
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Australia, NZ dlrs Struggle near two-year lows, data on help

Live Mint  

By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Jan 9 - The Australian dollar and New Zealand dollars wallowed near two-year lows on Thursday as their U.S. counterpart caught an updraught from lofty Treasury yields, while domestic data disappointed high expectations. Figures showed Australian retail sales rose a solid 0.8% in November as Black Friday discounting attracted frugal shoppers, but that missed market forecasts …

A February interest rate cut is a real possibility, but there's at least one hurdle to clear
2 months, 2 weeks ago

A February interest rate cut is a real possibility, but there's at least one hurdle to clear

ABC  

At 11:31am AEDT on Wednesday, the Australian dollar began falling against the greenback. Inflation drop raises rate cut odds Photo shows A coloured graphic showing a petrol pump, coins, keys and a bag of fresh groceries against a backdrop of receipts A fall in the Reserve Bank's preferred measure of inflation has increased the odds of an interest rate cut …

Good news millions of Aussies with a mortgage have been waiting to hear for years
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Good news millions of Aussies with a mortgage have been waiting to hear for years

Daily Mail  

Economic analysts and bank bosses have forecast an interest rate cut in the next three months, in welcome news for those struggling with mortgage repayments. Westpac chief economist Luci Ellis told Daily Mail Australia on Tuesday that the Reserve Bank could cut rates soon. Economic analysts and bank bosses have revealed an interest rate cut is on the horizon in …

Interest rates, exporters and Reserve Bank intervention: There's a lot at stake as the Australian dollar weakens
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Interest rates, exporters and Reserve Bank intervention: There's a lot at stake as the Australian dollar weakens

ABC  

Is the Reserve Bank close to stepping into the currency market to support the Australian dollar and, if so, what does this mean for millions of Australians? Reserve Bank can intervene to support the dollar The Reserve Bank last intervened in the foreign exchange market in 2007-08 during the global financial crisis, when it bought Australian dollars. "This was in …

Australian dollar now at risk of plummeting to pandemic-era lows, analysts say
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Australian dollar now at risk of plummeting to pandemic-era lows, analysts say

ABC  

The Australian dollar has fallen sharply, hitting a multi-year low of 61.88 US cents — a level not seen since October, 2022. "The problem with the Australian dollar appears to be that there was a real wobble in the Chinese currency into New Year's Eve," InTouch Capital Markets senior FX analyst Sean Callow said. The US dollar has performed strongly …

RBA chief's major hint that there could soon be some VERY good news ahead for home-owners
2 months, 3 weeks ago

RBA chief's major hint that there could soon be some VERY good news ahead for home-owners

Daily Mail  

The Reserve Bank has given a strong hint borrowers are getting some interest rate cuts in 2025 even though inflation is still too high. The Reserve Bank has given a strong hint interest rate cuts are coming even though inflation is still too high While headline inflation is at a three-year low of 2.8 per cent, the RBA regarded this …

RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory
2 months, 3 weeks ago

RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory

Live Mint  

-- Australia’s central bank is more confident that inflation is moving sustainably toward target but it’s still too soon to conclude the battle is won given a recent pick-up in consumption and a still-tight labor market, minutes of the December meeting showed. The Reserve Bank’s board discussed scenarios in which future policy would be eased to boost economic growth or …

Share market rises after a rally on Wall Street, Australian dollar remains at two-year low — as it happened
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Share market rises after a rally on Wall Street, Australian dollar remains at two-year low — as it happened

ABC  

OK, so a lot of this discussion is couched in coded messages. They noted that the data received since the previous meeting had not been sufficient to shift the central forecast for inflation or the labour market materially at this stage." "Relative to this central path, members judged that the risk that inflation returns to target more slowly than forecast …

NZ recession and Federal Reserve rate cut sink Aussie dollar but show the RBA dodged a bullet
3 months ago

NZ recession and Federal Reserve rate cut sink Aussie dollar but show the RBA dodged a bullet

ABC  

If you're looking for a last-minute overseas summer getaway, New Zealand is looking increasingly attractive. On the monetary policy front, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand started lifting its cash rate from COVID-19 lows of 0.25 per cent in October 2021 — a full seven months before Australia's Reserve Bank. Why a Fed rate cut sent the US dollar soaring …

What does rising inflation mean for you - and has it killed off a Bank of England interest rate cut?
3 months ago

What does rising inflation mean for you - and has it killed off a Bank of England interest rate cut?

Daily Mail  

Inflation in the UK climbed to 2.6 per cent in November, it was revealed today, as the rise in the cost of living accelerated again. James Smith, developed markets economist, UK, at ING, said: 'Our base case is for back-to-back to rate cuts from February onwards, with Bank Rate falling to 3.25 per cent later in the year. While services …

Australia's unemployment rate falls to 3.9pc in November, its lowest level since March
3 months, 1 week ago

Australia's unemployment rate falls to 3.9pc in November, its lowest level since March

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate fell to 3.9 per cent in November, down from 4.1 per cent in October. "The only downside to Australia's remarkably strong job market is that any hope of a near-term interest rate cut is over," said Callam Pickering, APAC economist at global job site Indeed. "Today's blockbuster November employment report seemingly pushes back — yet again — …

Major blow for Aussies just before Christmas as Reserve Bank makes interest rate decision
3 months, 1 week ago

Major blow for Aussies just before Christmas as Reserve Bank makes interest rate decision

Daily Mail  

Australian home borrowers have been dealt a severe blow just before Christmas with the Reserve Bank denying them a rate cut. Governor Michele Bullock gave a strong hint rate cuts could be months away with inflation still too high, ahead of an election next year. Australian home borrowers have been dealt a severe blow just before Christmas with the Reserve …

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold in December but leaves door open to a February cut
3 months, 1 week ago

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold in December but leaves door open to a February cut

ABC  

The Reserve Bank has left interest rates on hold in December for a ninth-straight meeting, but opened the door to a rate cut as soon as February. This is a change in language from the board's November statement, which said it needed to "remain vigilant to upside risks to inflation" and was "not ruling anything in or out". "While the …

The brutal reality of life under Anthony Albanese as economy grows at weakest pace in more than three decades
3 months, 2 weeks ago

The brutal reality of life under Anthony Albanese as economy grows at weakest pace in more than three decades

Daily Mail  

Australia's economy is barely growing despite record-high levels of immigration and government spending, as the country enters its longest-ever per capita recession. Australia's economy is still barely growing despite record-high immigration levels The Australian Bureau of Statistics data showed GDP per capita shrank by 1.5 per cent over the year, continuing a per capita recession that began in early 2023 …

Why the bout between the Reserve Bank and the federal government is about to heat up
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Why the bout between the Reserve Bank and the federal government is about to heat up

ABC  

There's an old adage that oppositions don't win elections, governments lose them. RBA Governor Michele Bullock says Australia's strategy of reducing inflation without stoking too much unemployment is part of the reason why it looks different to peer economies right now. RBA unlikely to react to October inflation data Photo shows Household money pic Australia's inflation rate remained steady in …

RBA unlikely to lower interest rates in 2024 despite inflation at its lowest level since July 2021
3 months, 3 weeks ago

RBA unlikely to lower interest rates in 2024 despite inflation at its lowest level since July 2021

ABC  

Australia's inflation rate remained steady in October, with analysts tipping this price data won't change the Reserve Bank's mind to hold interest rates at their highest level in about a decade until at least early 2025. The inflation rate held at 2.1 per cent annually, with the rising price of food, alcohol, cigarettes and recreational activities keeping it up, while …

Australian share market rises as inflation rate stays steady, Bitcoin pulls back from recent highs — as it happened
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Australian share market rises as inflation rate stays steady, Bitcoin pulls back from recent highs — as it happened

ABC  

The RBA states on their website that their target for inflation is between 2 and 3 percent. - Allan Thanks for writing in Allan — here's a bit more on what you're referring to for anyone else interested: You're right, the Reserve Bank does target headline inflation between 2-3 per cent. Here's what it contains at the moment, according to …

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again
4 months ago

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again

New Indian Express  

The main culprit is food inflation, which jumped to 10.87%, largely led by vegetable prices that rose by a staggering 42.18% in October. As Deputy governor Michael Patra noted, inflation will likely encounter a hump in the near months largely due to an adverse base and one-off shocks to prices of vegetables, edible oils and gram. The fact that inflation …

Why Australia is lagging the pack on rate cuts
4 months, 1 week ago

Why Australia is lagging the pack on rate cuts

ABC  

At last, some good news. Despite core inflation still sitting well above target, there's a better than even chance the official cash rate will be cut within weeks. But when it came to the all-important core inflation measure, America's came in at 3.3 per cent, again just a couple of points below us at 3.5 per cent. Immediately after the …

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why
4 months, 1 week ago

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve will likely stay on course towards delivering another interest rate cut in its December policy meeting even after the latest inflation print revealed that consumer prices rose for the first time in seven months. Wall Street analysts say that October's inflation data "will change little for the US Fed'' when the Federal Open Market Committee will …

Why Aussies with a mortgage could be in for more pain after Donald Trump's election victory
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Why Aussies with a mortgage could be in for more pain after Donald Trump's election victory

Daily Mail  

Donald Trump's election victory could deprive Australian home borrowers of rate cuts, a former Reserve Bank board member fears. Donald Trump 's election victory could deprive Australian home borrowers of rate cuts, a former Reserve Bank board member fears Australia is already struggling with high services inflation but a new wave of American-led protectionism could also lead to higher goods …

Interest rates might fall in February … but don't bet the house on it
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Interest rates might fall in February … but don't bet the house on it

ABC  

It's the hope that kills you. Rate cuts may not come until autumn, if they come at all Now even a February rate cut is looking unlikely, according to the money markets, which are pricing just 20 per cent chance of a cut, despite all four big banks and many other local economists forecasting it. Markets are pricing in a …

Review finds 'no evidence' gunshots were deliberately edited into commando footage — as it happened
Trending News
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Review finds 'no evidence' gunshots were deliberately edited into commando footage — as it happened

ABC  

Treasurer Jim Chalmers answers a questions on the RBA interest rates. Member for Macquarie, Susan Templeman, asks: "What does the decision taken today by the Reserve Bank mean for Australians and what progress is being made in the fight against inflation and how does this compare to other approaches?" "Secondly, it reflects the progress that we are making together in …

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates at 4.35pc for eighth-straight meeting despite lower inflation
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates at 4.35pc for eighth-straight meeting despite lower inflation

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept interest rates on hold at 4.35 per cent for its eighth-straight meeting, despite inflation falling to its lowest level in almost four years. In a statement, the RBA said while inflation has "fallen substantially" since it peaked in 2022, underlying inflation remained too high at 3.5 per cent in the September quarter. The …

ASX has lowest close since mid-September; household spending weaker than expected — as it happened
4 months, 3 weeks ago

ASX has lowest close since mid-September; household spending weaker than expected — as it happened

ABC  

The Reserve Bank's new, less frequent meeting schedule hasn't done away with the Melbourne Cup day board meeting — we'll get the latest interest rate decision this coming Tuesday, half an hour before the race that stops the nation at Flemington. After this week's inflation figures showed price pressures easing off, but the RBA's preferred measure of underlying inflation — …

Who is to blame for Australia's inflation problem and stubbornly high interest rates?
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Who is to blame for Australia's inflation problem and stubbornly high interest rates?

ABC  

What, or more precisely who, is to blame for the inflation episode that has up-ended our lives for the past three years? In all the noise this week about electricity prices, and the federal government assistance that has temporarily kept energy bills in check, we've overlooked one of the persistent driving forces behind our elevated inflation. Interestingly, both relate to …

The cheapest home loan interest rate in Australia as banks slash rates
5 months, 2 weeks ago

The cheapest home loan interest rate in Australia as banks slash rates

Daily Mail  

Australian borrowers tempted by lower fixed rate mortgages should not jump in too soon, amid predictions of even better deals on offer in 2025. Macquarie Bank on Thursday slashed its two and three-year fixed rates by 20 basis points to 5.39 per cent - now Australia's lowest mortgage rate outside of a green loan. But their lowest fixed rates are …

Inflation in Europe falls below 2% and opens the way for faster rate cuts
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation in Europe falls below 2% and opens the way for faster rate cuts

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

No RBA rate cut yet, but Governor Bullock is about to find the pressure overwhelming
5 months, 3 weeks ago

No RBA rate cut yet, but Governor Bullock is about to find the pressure overwhelming

ABC  

Who'd want to be Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock? Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold at 4.35pc Photo shows Reserve Bank of Australia generic The RBA has kept interest rates on hold at 4.35 per cent, saying inflation is still too high to start cutting rates. The Reserve Bank board has decided to keep the cash rate steady at …

PETER VAN ONSELEN: Which of these statements about the Australian economy is true? 1) Australia has won the war on inflation 2) Interest rates are too high 3) The country is run by a bunch of muppets
5 months, 3 weeks ago

PETER VAN ONSELEN: Which of these statements about the Australian economy is true? 1) Australia has won the war on inflation 2) Interest rates are too high 3) The country is run by a bunch of muppets

Daily Mail  

I used to enjoy a good muppet show as a kid, but the muppet show we'll see tomorrow when the latest inflation data gets revealed will be far less edifying. RBA Governor Michele Bullock will see through tomorrow's headline inflation figure And that underlying figure will be higher than the top end of the Reserve Bank's target range. The underlying …

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold at 4.35pc, ignoring political pressure for cut
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold at 4.35pc, ignoring political pressure for cut

ABC  

The Reserve Bank has left interest rates on hold at 4.35 per cent. Earlier this month, Treasurer Jim Chalmers said the RBA's rate hikes were "smashing the economy", and former Labor treasurer Wayne Swan accused the RBA of "putting economic dogma over rational decision-making" by refusing to cut rates at this point in the cycle. "With the labour market still …

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