Inflationary expectations ought to be anchored better
Live MintLong-term inflation expectations constitute an important variable monitored by central banks the world over in their design of monetary policy in pursuit of price stability. Gabriele Galati, Richhild Moessner and Maarten van Rooij study long-term inflation expectations in the euro area and Netherlands through a survey of Dutch consumers. Moreover, in March 2021, the mean and median one-year ahead as well as 3-months-ahead inflation expectations are above 10%, well above RBI’s tolerance band. These expectation values are in the vicinity of those prevailing a year ago, which indicates that despite RBI’s transparency and reduction of its repo rate to a low of 4% since March 2020, monetary-policy effectiveness in anchoring inflationary expectations in India remains a question mark.