India growth may moderate to 6.1% in FY24, IMF says
2 years ago

India growth may moderate to 6.1% in FY24, IMF says

Live Mint  

India’s economic growth is expected to moderate to 6.1% in FY24 from 6.8% estimated for the current fiscal because of high oil prices, weaker external demand, and tighter financial conditions, the International Monetary Fund said in its report released on Friday. Growth expectations “The war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia continue to impact the Indian economy through multiple channels, including elevated commodity prices, lower external demand, and uncertainty-driven adverse confidence effects,” said the Article IV Consultation report, which is based on IMF’s bilateral discussions with the Indian authorities. The IMF cautioned that the risk of second-round effects from fuel and commodity price shocks remains high even as India’s long-term inflation expectations remain relatively well anchored. Projecting India’s inflation at 6.9% in 2022-23, the multilateral agency said that it will gradually return to within the Reserve Bank of India’s tolerance bank of 4-6% next year, “reflecting favourable base effects, the impact of monetary policy tightening, and well-anchored long-term inflation expectations.” India’s retail inflation moderated to 5.88% in November, easing below RBI’s upper tolerance limit of 6% for the first time this year.

History of this topic

Will India's economic growth pick up pace? Nirmala Sitharaman answers
1 week ago
India FY25 GDP: Fitch slashes India’s growth forecast to 6.4% from 7% for 2025-26
1 week, 3 days ago
ADB lowers growth projections for India to 6.5% in FY25, 7% in FY26
1 week, 5 days ago
SBI forecasts GDP growth of 6.3%, lower than RBI's 6.6% estimate for FY25
2 weeks, 2 days ago
SBI forecasts India's GDP growth at 6.3 per cent, lower than RBI's projection for financial year 2025
2 weeks, 3 days ago
GDP Slowdown in Q2 Not Systemic: Nirmala Sitharaman
2 weeks, 3 days ago
December quarter will make up for poll-induced growth slowdown: Nirmala Sitharaman
2 weeks, 3 days ago
RBI Monetary Policy: MPC projects FY25 GDP growth at 6.6%; cuts estimates from 7.2% earlier
2 weeks, 3 days ago
RBI Monetary Policy: Inflation remains a concern; FY25 growth estimates trimmed-5 key highlights from RBI MPC outcome
2 weeks, 3 days ago
RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
2 weeks, 4 days ago
RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
2 weeks, 4 days ago
GDP to Grow 6.8 PC in FY25: OECD
2 weeks, 5 days ago
India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too
2 weeks, 5 days ago
Monetary policy review: RBI should stick to its price stability mandate
2 weeks, 5 days ago
India needs to grow at over 7% along with robust fiscal framework to meet Viksit Bharat target: EY India
3 weeks ago
Mint Primer | Slowdown: Time to recalibrate India’s growth story in FY25?
3 weeks, 1 day ago
India’s chief economic adviser calls for deregulation to spur growth
3 weeks, 3 days ago
India's Q2 GDP growth slows to 5.4 per cent, hits 18-month low
3 weeks, 3 days ago
Tiger in retreat? Q2 slowdown dims India's FY25 growth prospects
3 weeks, 4 days ago
India’s GDP growth likely slowed to a six-quarter low in Q2: Mint poll
3 weeks, 6 days ago
S&P Global Slashes GDP Growth Forecast For India For FY26 To 6.7 Per Cent
4 weeks ago
S&P Global cuts India’s GDP growth estimates for FY26 and FY27, forecasts 6.8% growth for this fiscal
Trending News
4 weeks ago
India Q2 GDP: Economic growth likely moderated; should Indian investors be worried?
1 month ago
India’s GDP growth estimated to decelerate to 6.3% in 2025, says Goldman Sachs; sees shallow RBI rate cut from Q1CY25
1 month ago
India’s GDP growth likely moderated to 6.5% in Q2, says Icra
Trending News
1 month ago
India's GDP growth likely to slip at 6.5 per cent, maintains 7 per cent estimate for FY25: ICRA
1 month ago
Indian Economy to Grow 7.2 Percent in 2024, Moody’s Forecasts
1 month, 1 week ago
Indian Bank Maintains FY25 Guidance, Sets Credit Growth Target of 11-13%
1 month, 3 weeks ago
India's Economy Shows Satisfactory Performance in First Half of FY25, But Risks from Geopolitical Conflicts and Global Factors
1 month, 3 weeks ago
IMF Sees India's Economic Growth and Outlook as Stable
2 months ago
Economic Activity Index Shows Mixed Signals in Q2 2024-25
2 months ago
ADB retains India's growth forecast at 7%; govt spending, agriculture to boost economy
2 months, 4 weeks ago
India to clock 7% GDP growth in FY25, says HSBC Global Research
3 months, 3 weeks ago
At 6.7%, India Leads Global Economic Growth: A Look at Country-Wise GDP Performance
3 months, 3 weeks ago
India's GDP growth moderates to 6.7% in Q1 2024-25, lowest growth in five consecutive quarters
3 months, 3 weeks ago
India Economic Momentum Remains Intact, Set to Achieve 6.5-7% Growth: Finance Ministry Report
4 months ago
India Ratings jacks up growth forecast to 7.5% this fiscal
4 months, 3 weeks ago
Central government debt set to double to ₹185 trillion by FY25 amid fiscal challenges and policy shifts
4 months, 3 weeks ago
Govt Estimates Centre's Debt To Rise To Rs 185 Lakh Cr In FY25
4 months, 3 weeks ago
Budget 2024: A message of fiscal stability, growth continuity
5 months ago
Economic Survey 2023-24: ‘Focus on macro stability ensured minimal impact from external challenges’
5 months ago
Core inflation at four-year low in FY24: Economic Survey
5 months ago
India recovered, expanded in orderly fashion from pandemic: Economic Survey 2023-24
5 months ago
Responsive economic policies have mitigated risks and shock waves
5 months ago
Explained: Why Economic Survey 2024 has taken a cautious stance
5 months ago
Indian economy's outlook bright, FY25 growth expected at 6.5-7%: Economic Survey
5 months ago
IMF and ADB Project India's Growth at 7% for FY25
5 months ago
IMF boosts China's growth outlook to 5 percent for year
5 months, 1 week ago
IMF raises India’s FY25 growth forecast upward to 7%
5 months, 1 week ago
India to clock GDP growth of 7% in FY25: NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani
5 months, 1 week ago

Discover Related