Budget 2020 has been a gamble for the Government — and it could backfire
4 years, 5 months ago

Budget 2020 has been a gamble for the Government — and it could backfire

ABC  

If ever there was a "forgive and forget" Budget, this is it. That is, the unprecedented nature of the disruption caused by a global pandemic makes most of the Budget's forecasts — things like the deficit and growth forecasts — not much more than a "pin the tail on the donkey" exercise. In that context, the Budget's two most important measures are the wage subsidy it offers employers who take on young workers, and an investment tax concession so exceptionally generous as to make even the most shell-shocked business — that thinks it has a remote chance of surviving 2020 — contemplate spending some money. The Budget speaks of private-sector led growth, and backs this with measures which flow overwhelmingly to business — from tax concessions to wage and apprentice subsidies. History nerds might note the forecast of 4.75 per cent real GDP growth in 2021-22 is identical to that of Paul Keating's 1992 One Nation roadmap out of the early 1990s recession — and only hope the 2020 forecasts come closer to being met.

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