Unemployment rise 'devastating' for Australians hit by coronavirus restrictions, PM Scott Morrison says
4 years, 7 months ago

Unemployment rise 'devastating' for Australians hit by coronavirus restrictions, PM Scott Morrison says

ABC  

Prime Minister Scott Morrison says the loss of nearly 600,000 jobs in April is "devastating" for Australian families and communities affected by government restrictions and business shutdowns. Key points: Prime Minister says unemployment figures 'shocking' but not unanticipated Prime Minister says unemployment figures 'shocking' but not unanticipated The Federal Treasurer says women make up the majority of job losses The Federal Treasurer says women make up the majority of job losses Warnings there will be more bad news in the months ahead as the impact of coronavirus shutdowns becomes clearer The comments come after the Australian Bureau of Statistics announced the unemployment rate rose from 5.2 per cent in March to 6.2 per cent in April. Mr Frydenberg said of the 594,000 people no longer in work, the majority — 325,000 — were women and the youth unemployment rate also rose to 13.8 per cent, up from 11.5 per cent. "The Labor market has been weak for some time the Government wants Australians to believe everything was perfect in the economy and then along came coronavirus," Mr Chalmers said.

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History of this topic

Australia's unemployment rate falls to 3.9pc in November, its lowest level since March
4 weeks, 1 day ago

Australia's unemployment rate falls to 3.9pc in November, its lowest level since March

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate fell to 3.9 per cent in November, down from 4.1 per cent in October. "The only downside to Australia's remarkably strong job market is that any hope of a near-term interest rate cut is over," said Callam Pickering, APAC economist at global job site Indeed. "Today's blockbuster November employment report seemingly pushes back — yet again — …

Unemployment rate climbs to 4.2 per cent in July despite 58,000 people finding work
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Unemployment rate climbs to 4.2 per cent in July despite 58,000 people finding work

ABC  

The unemployment rate has climbed to 4.2 per cent in July — its highest level since November 2021 — as Australia's economy continues to slow down. "The unemployment rate rose to 4.2 per cent in July, with the number of unemployed growing by 24,000 people and employed by around 58,000. However, that competitive jobs market extends well beyond graduates — …

Economists warn unemployment rate could rise above 5 per cent, with hundreds of applications for individual jobs
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Economists warn unemployment rate could rise above 5 per cent, with hundreds of applications for individual jobs

ABC  

While the jobless rate has been slowly creeping higher, alarm bells are ringing about the potential for a big surge in unemployment. Dr Chapman warned there was a risk Australia's unemployment rate could peak above 5 per cent, which is well above current forecasts, by the end of next year. Jobless rate acceleration a matter of time The obvious question …

Unemployment edges up despite more than 50,000 extra jobs amid population and participation growth
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Unemployment edges up despite more than 50,000 extra jobs amid population and participation growth

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate has continued to edge higher, despite the creation of about 50,000, mostly full-time, jobs. "The participation rate in June was only 0.1 percentage point lower than the historical high of 67.0 per cent in November 2023," he noted. "This, along with the continued high level of job vacancies, suggests the labour market remains relatively tight, despite the …

Australia's unemployment rate declines to 4 per cent in May, presenting a 'goldilocks' scenario for Reserve Bank
6 months, 4 weeks ago

Australia's unemployment rate declines to 4 per cent in May, presenting a 'goldilocks' scenario for Reserve Bank

ABC  

Australia's headline unemployment rate was 4 per cent in May, down 0.1 percentage points from April. However, ABS data show the "trend" unemployment rate — which looks through the more volatile seasonally adjusted monthly figure — picked up slightly in May, from 3.9 per cent to 4 per cent. "At 4 per cent, the unemployment rate is spot on the …

Australia's unemployment rate rises to 4.1 per cent in April
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Australia's unemployment rate rises to 4.1 per cent in April

ABC  

Australia's headline unemployment rate rose to 4.1 per cent in April, up 0.2 percentage points from March. "This suggests that the labour market remains tight, though less tight than late 2022 and early 2023," said Bjorn Jarvis, ABS head of labour statistics. "The bank will therefore be pleased that overall hours worked fell by 0.8 per cent year-on-year, the first …

Jobs market 'incredibly tight' despite rise in unemployment
8 months, 3 weeks ago

Jobs market 'incredibly tight' despite rise in unemployment

ABC  

Australia's headline unemployment rate increased slightly to 3.8 per cent in March, after employment fell by 7,000 people and unemployment rose by 21,000 people. "Despite a small drop in employment, Australia's labour market remains incredibly tight," said Callam Pickering, APAC senior economist at global job site Indeed. "The easing in the labour market since late 2022 is most evident in …

RBA leaves door open to interest rate cuts and rises as unemployment risks rise
9 months, 3 weeks ago

RBA leaves door open to interest rate cuts and rises as unemployment risks rise

ABC  

What a difference six weeks makes. Economists and traders expect the US Federal Reserve to lead off a global round of interest rate cuts, but recent economic data suggests the RBA should beat them to it. CBA's head of Australian economics Gareth Aird points out that the RBA board made seven references to "uncertainty" in its one-page post-meeting statement, up …

The jobs market is strong for now, but unemployment will be the last indicator of recession
1 year, 6 months ago

The jobs market is strong for now, but unemployment will be the last indicator of recession

ABC  

The latest unemployment numbers had a lot of us scratching our heads — economists, journalists, financial traders, possibly even the statisticians themselves. After more than a year of interest rate rises at the fastest pace in recent history, all while Australians hold more debt than they ever have before, employers added close to 76,000 extra staff pushing unemployment back down …

Deutsche Bank forecasts Australia will enter a recession in 2023, following an expected rise in unemployment
2 years, 1 month ago

Deutsche Bank forecasts Australia will enter a recession in 2023, following an expected rise in unemployment

ABC  

If investment firm Deutsche Bank's forecasts hold true, Australia will enter a recession next year. Key points: Deutsche Bank expects Australia's unemployment rate to rise by one percentage point to 4.5 per cent by the end of 2023 The RBA's unemployment forecast for the end of 2023 is much lower, at 3.7 per cent A one percentage point drop qualifies …

Long-term unemployment is falling rapidly, and it's changing lives
2 years, 4 months ago

Long-term unemployment is falling rapidly, and it's changing lives

ABC  

The labour market hasn't been this tight in decades. In October last year, when the national unemployment rate was still 5.2 per cent, there were 183,400 people in long-term unemployment. But the unemployment rate is now 3.4 per cent, a level last seen in the early 1970s, and the number of people in long-term unemployment has dropped by 55,500. Well, …

Unemployment falls again to a new low, but the cause of the fall is not good news
2 years, 4 months ago

Unemployment falls again to a new low, but the cause of the fall is not good news

ABC  

The official unemployment rate fell to 3.4 per cent in July from 3.5 per cent the month before. Key points: Unemployment falls from 3.5 per cent in June to 3.4 per cent in July An estimated 40,900 jobs were lost in July, the first fall in employment since October 2021 The fall in the jobless rate was caused by a …

Unemployment may soon dip below 3 per cent and is set to stay below 5 per cent for years to come
2 years, 4 months ago

Unemployment may soon dip below 3 per cent and is set to stay below 5 per cent for years to come

ABC  

Unfathomably, Australia's unemployment rate has sunk to 3.5 per cent. In the years before COVID, typically 3 per cent of the workforce worked less than usual hours in any given week as a result of illness or injury. In the half century we have been collecting modern employment statistics, unemployment has shot up dramatically three times: in the mid-1970s, when …

One unemployed person per vacant job: Has Australia finally hit full employment?
2 years, 5 months ago

One unemployed person per vacant job: Has Australia finally hit full employment?

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate is 3.5 per cent, and it hasn't been this low since August 1974. But even accounting for those realities, he said full employment would see far more people in jobs than existed in the wasteful inter-war years, when 10 per cent of the workforce was frequently without work. But a few years later, after full employment had …

With inflation rising and talk of a possible recession, Australia's low unemployment rate may not be cause for celebration
2 years, 5 months ago

With inflation rising and talk of a possible recession, Australia's low unemployment rate may not be cause for celebration

ABC  

Have you ever had the "tap on the shoulder"? So why raise this idea when this week Australia's unemployment rate fell to 3.5 per cent — the lowest level since 1974? "We think a relatively large rise in unemployment over a short period of time is a more useful definition of recession for Australia than the 'accepted' definition of two …

Have closed borders pushed Australia’s unemployment rate down? This model shows they have
2 years, 10 months ago

Have closed borders pushed Australia’s unemployment rate down? This model shows they have

ABC  

Have our closed international borders helped to drive the unemployment rate down? We have to engage with the labour force framework Whenever we talk about the "unemployment rate", we must engage with the labour force framework that produces the number. Embedded in the concept of the "working-age population" and how it's linked to the "labour force" and how the labour …

US unemployment claims drop to new pandemic low
3 years, 2 months ago

US unemployment claims drop to new pandemic low

Live Mint  

The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell to a fresh pandemic low last week, another sign the job market is healing after last year's coronavirus recession. Since topping 900,000 in early January, the weekly applications have fallen more or less steadily ever since and are gradually moving toward prepandemic levels of around 220,000 a week. Overall, 2.1 million …

Hundreds of thousands of Australians are desperately looking for work — here are three of their stories
3 years, 3 months ago

Hundreds of thousands of Australians are desperately looking for work — here are three of their stories

ABC  

Searching for a job after redundancy can be soul-destroying, but it becomes crippling when you're presented with further hurdles to finding work — sometimes outside of your control. "Walking into an interview and knowing straight-up, from the look on people's faces, that I have no chance of getting that job," the 62-year-old says. A government spokesperson told us they expect …

Unemployment rate dropped early in lockdown as people gave up looking for work, data reveals
3 years, 4 months ago

Unemployment rate dropped early in lockdown as people gave up looking for work, data reveals

ABC  

Australia's official unemployment rate dropped early on in the latest round of lockdowns, as the number of people looking for work fell. Key points: Unemployment fell to 4.6 per cent last month, from 4.9 per cent in June The unemployment rate is the lowest it has been since December 2008 The ABS says a huge fall in labour force participation …

Australia's unemployment rate falls below 5 per cent for the first time in 10 years
3 years, 5 months ago

Australia's unemployment rate falls below 5 per cent for the first time in 10 years

ABC  

With the unemployment rate hitting its lowest level in a decade, you would expect the federal government to be celebrating loudly. Key points: Unemployment rate falls to 4.9 per cent, from 5.1 per cent It's the lowest unemployment rate in a decade The lockdowns in New South Wales will impact the jobs data in coming months But Prime Minister Scott …

We should thank the unemployed for their service. They've been used to control inflation
3 years, 6 months ago

We should thank the unemployed for their service. They've been used to control inflation

ABC  

I want to show you something. Well, if the unemployment rate starts declining, and their model's telling them it's very close to, or has fallen below, the presumed "natural" level, they'll lift interest rates to "take some heat out" of the economy. By preventing the unemployment rate from falling below its presumed "natural" level, they've been using hundreds of thousands …

Unemployment below pre-pandemic levels as jobs surge resumes. Will wages rise?
3 years, 6 months ago

Unemployment below pre-pandemic levels as jobs surge resumes. Will wages rise?

ABC  

From fears of mass unemployment to worries about labour shortages, Australia's jobs market has staged a dramatic turnaround since the COVID-19 pandemic hit our shores. Key points: Unemployment falls from 5.5 to 5.1 per cent An estimated 115,200 jobs were added, the vast majority full-time The underemployment rate also fell from 7.8 to 7.4 per cent, a seven-year low For …

Reserve Bank and Treasury admit 'full employment' is not what they thought it was. And it's held the country back
3 years, 8 months ago

Reserve Bank and Treasury admit 'full employment' is not what they thought it was. And it's held the country back

ABC  

When a glacier shifts a few inches, a gigantic movement has still occurred. It said its model had been showing that, in the five years prior to last year's recession, Australia's economy would be close to "full employment" when the unemployment rate was roughly 5 per cent. He said Australia could have an unemployment rate of 4 per cent "tomorrow" …

Jobless claims drop 13,000 to 553,000 as economy heals
3 years, 8 months ago

Jobless claims drop 13,000 to 553,000 as economy heals

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits dropped by 13,000 last week to 553,000, the lowest level since the pandemic hit last March and another sign the economy is recovering from the coronavirus recession. Nearly 3.7 million people were receiving traditional state unemployment benefits the week of April 17. “We expect further declines in filings as businesses …

Unemployment rate still falling as COVID economic recovery continues
3 years, 8 months ago

Unemployment rate still falling as COVID economic recovery continues

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate has continued to fall, and it is women leading the jobs recovery. Key points: The unemployment rate fell from 5.8pc in February to 5.6pc in March Unemployment is now just 0.4 of a percentage point higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic was declared These ABS numbers relate to employment over the first two weeks of …

The COVID-19 pandemic helped unemployment figures, but spare capacity clouds Australia's future
3 years, 8 months ago

The COVID-19 pandemic helped unemployment figures, but spare capacity clouds Australia's future

ABC  

When it comes to jobs, Australia's recovery after the economic shock of the national, pandemic-driven lockdown has been nothing short of astonishing, at least if you check the headline numbers. In February, the unemployment rate dived to 5.8 per cent, way below the 6.3 per cent jobless rate in January, a performance that stunned pundits and professional economic soothsayers alike. …

One year into the pandemic, America is still down nearly 10 million jobs
3 years, 10 months ago

One year into the pandemic, America is still down nearly 10 million jobs

CNN  

New York CNN Business — The American job market is nowhere near fixed. Nearly one year into the pandemic, the nation is still down nearly 10 million jobs. Continued benefit claims, which count applications submitted for at least two weeks in a row, stood at 4.3 million in the week ended February 20, down from the week before. To be …

Scott Morrison to push through dole rise to help one million jobless Australians when JobSeeker ends
3 years, 10 months ago

Scott Morrison to push through dole rise to help one million jobless Australians when JobSeeker ends

Daily Mail  

Almost a million unemployed Australians are set to have their welfare payments permanently increased when the boosted JobSeeker payment ends next month. Pictured is a woman wearing a mask outside a Centrelink in Bondi Junction, Sydney last year Any changes to welfare payments would likely have to be legislated by next week to be effective by the time both the …

Unemployment and underemployment fall as COVID recovery continues
3 years, 10 months ago

Unemployment and underemployment fall as COVID recovery continues

ABC  

Both unemployment and underemployment have continued their downward trends in further positive signs that Australia's economy is bouncing back quickly from COVID-19. Key points: Employment rose for the fourth consecutive month, leaving unemployment lower at 6.4 per cent Underemployment fell and is now below pre-pandemic levels at 8.1 per cent Victoria led the jobs recovery, and now has a smaller …

US unemployment: Low-paid jobs hit hardest in pandemic economy
4 years ago

US unemployment: Low-paid jobs hit hardest in pandemic economy

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Ten months into America’s viral …

The unemployment rate has increased, so why do economists say it's a positive sign?
4 years, 1 month ago

The unemployment rate has increased, so why do economists say it's a positive sign?

ABC  

The unemployment rate increased last month, from 6.9 per cent to 7 per cent, but economists say it's a positive sign. A similar phenomenon is occurring with the unemployment stats Australia's unemployment rate increased from 6.9 per cent to 7 per cent in October. Economists say a huge number of Australians have been re-entering the labour force as the economy …

Unemployment rate rises to 7 per cent as more people look for work, but employment jumps by 179,000
4 years, 1 month ago

Unemployment rate rises to 7 per cent as more people look for work, but employment jumps by 179,000

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate edged higher last month as more people looked for work, but there was a strong surge in the number of people hired as Victoria's coronavirus lockdown eased. Key points: Unemployment climbed from 6.9 per cent to 7 per cent in October Underemployment fell from 11.4 per cent to 10.4 per cent Youth unemployment lifted by 1 per …

751,000 seek US jobless benefits as virus hobbles economy
4 years, 2 months ago

751,000 seek US jobless benefits as virus hobbles economy

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The number of Americans seeking …

Some media outlets say the recession caused by COVID-19 is over, but they're wrong
4 years, 2 months ago

Some media outlets say the recession caused by COVID-19 is over, but they're wrong

ABC  

The recession hasn't ended. Because economists use a range of definitions to pinpoint a recession, and one definition says if your economy experiences two consecutive quarters of shrinking activity then it's in recession. Photo shows Paul Keating It's close to 30 years since Australia's last recession, which saw vast numbers of people lose their jobs or struggle to break into …

Rising US weekly jobless claims cast shadow on economic recovery
4 years, 2 months ago

Rising US weekly jobless claims cast shadow on economic recovery

Live Mint  

The number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits unexpectedly increased last week, heightening fears the COVID-19 pandemic was inflicting lasting damage to the labor market. The weekly jobless claims report from the Labor Department on Thursday, the most timely data on the economy's health, also showed at least 25 million were on unemployment benefits at the end of …

Unemployment rate falls but job seekers say finding work is still 'really hard'
4 years, 3 months ago

Unemployment rate falls but job seekers say finding work is still 'really hard'

ABC  

Australia's unemployment rate is falling, but those without work say it is not getting any easier to find a job, especially in locked-down Victoria. Key points: The official ABS unemployment rate has fallen from 7.5 per cent in July to 6.8 per cent in August The percentage of underemployed people, who wanted to work more hours than they did, remained …

Australia's coronavirus recession might soon be over, but the economic road back to full recovery will take years
4 years, 4 months ago

Australia's coronavirus recession might soon be over, but the economic road back to full recovery will take years

ABC  

And now for the good news. The long road to jobs recovery The last official recession we endured, back in 1991, appears as a tiny aberration in the economic growth story. But he's also stuck to his guns on the traditional supply-side measures, repeatedly hinting the October 6 budget may bring forward $158 billion in personal income tax cuts. Last …

US unemployment rate falls to 8.4% even as hiring slows
4 years, 4 months ago

US unemployment rate falls to 8.4% even as hiring slows

Hindustan Times  

The US unemployment rate fell sharply in August to 8.4% from 10.2% even as hiring slowed, with employers adding the fewest jobs since the pandemic began. A report from the Labor Department added to evidence that nearly six months after the coronavirus paralyzed the country, the economy is mounting only a fitful recovery. Employers added 1.4 million jobs, the Labor …

Unemployment edges up despite massive coronavirus jobs bounce-back
4 years, 4 months ago

Unemployment edges up despite massive coronavirus jobs bounce-back

ABC  

The job creation headline was strong, with almost 115,000 new positions being filled last month, but finding work remains a hard slog for Liesl Filippi. Key points: Unemployment was expected to jump from 7.4 to 7.8 per cent, but only rose to 7.5 per cent Hours worked rose by 1.3 per cent as 43,500 full-time jobs were added, and 71,200 …

'Eye-watering' coronavirus debt is 'manageable' but unemployment levels remain troubling
4 years, 5 months ago

'Eye-watering' coronavirus debt is 'manageable' but unemployment levels remain troubling

ABC  

We were told to prepare for "eye-watering" levels of debt in Thursday's budget update and no doubt tears were shed by some. The "effective unemployment rate", we're told, has been steadily falling from 15 per cent in April to 13.9 per cent in May to 11.3 per cent in June. It's the one Scott Morrison told reporters on Friday that …

Scott Morrison says post-JobKeeper coronavirus support to help Victorian businesses, tourism and others in need
4 years, 5 months ago

Scott Morrison says post-JobKeeper coronavirus support to help Victorian businesses, tourism and others in need

ABC  

Businesses in Victoria and in the tourism industry are likely to benefit from extended government support set to be announced next week, Prime Minister Scott Morrison says. Key points: Further income support targeted to help businesses are set to be announced next week Further income support targeted to help businesses are set to be announced next week Scott Morrison says …

Recessions punish our youth and the coronavirus downturn is no different
4 years, 5 months ago

Recessions punish our youth and the coronavirus downturn is no different

ABC  

What exactly is a recession? While economic growth bounced back relatively quickly, it took years — decades even — for the jobs market to recover, to finally return to the level it was before the recession hit. While we could see a small lift when the latest jobs numbers land this Thursday, all the indications are that — despite the …

Victoria's coronavirus lockdown won't help an economy that's being held hostage by a pandemic
4 years, 6 months ago

Victoria's coronavirus lockdown won't help an economy that's being held hostage by a pandemic

ABC  

The fate of the economy, at least as far as the eye can see, has been resting on how well the authorities can control the spread of coronavirus. He says the current unemployment rate is actually more like 11.5 per cent, despite Australian Bureau of Statistics figures showing the "headline" rate is a fraction over 7 per cent. "I think …

Coronavirus Outbreak Updates: Delhi govt says reports on shortage of beds 'misleading'; National Capital records 1,330 new COVID-19 cases today
4 years, 7 months ago

Coronavirus Outbreak Updates: Delhi govt says reports on shortage of beds 'misleading'; National Capital records 1,330 new COVID-19 cases today

Firstpost  

11:42 PM Whatsapp Facebook Twitter Coronavirus in US Latest Updates US unemployment drops unexpectedly to a still-high 13.3% US unemployment dropped unexpectedly in May to 13.3% as reopened businesses began recalling millions of workers faster than economists had predicted, triggering a rally Friday on Wall Street and giving President Donald Trump something to boast about amid his reelection bid. And …

Underemployment the key symptom of the coronavirus recession
4 years, 7 months ago

Underemployment the key symptom of the coronavirus recession

ABC  

Anna Ludvik unloads equipment from the back of a ute as her partner, Jeremy Sims, runs through a verbal checklist. Add to the officially jobless the 700,000 people still "employed" on JobKeeper but with zero work, an unprecedented number who've had their work hours cut down, and half-a-million people who've dropped out of the labour force altogether, and you get …

Prime Minister Scott Morrison to warn of hard economic recovery post-coronavirus
4 years, 7 months ago

Prime Minister Scott Morrison to warn of hard economic recovery post-coronavirus

ABC  

An overhaul of vocational education focused on tradies and skilled workers will be at the centre of Government efforts to lead the Australian economy "out of ICU" following the COVID-19 crisis. Key points: Scott Morrison will use an address to the National Press Club to warn Australia faces grim times post-COVID-19 Scott Morrison will use an address to the National …

UK unemployment claims surge 69 percent as pandemic takes hold
4 years, 7 months ago

UK unemployment claims surge 69 percent as pandemic takes hold

Al Jazeera  

Coronavirus has ‘major impact on labour market’, says ONS statistician, as claimant count rises to highest since 1996. A measure of the number of people claiming unemployment benefits in the United Kingdom leapt to its highest level since 1996 in April, the first full month of the government’s coronavirus lockdown. The ONS said emergency changes to the UK’s welfare system …

36 million have sought US unemployment aid since coronavirus hit
4 years, 7 months ago

36 million have sought US unemployment aid since coronavirus hit

Hindustan Times  

Nearly 3 million laid-off workers applied for U.S. unemployment benefits last week as the viral outbreak led more companies to slash jobs even though most states have begun to let some businesses reopen under certain restrictions. Roughly 36 million people have now filed for jobless aid in the two months since the coronavirus first forced millions of businesses to close …

Coronavirus fuels steepest-ever drop in Australian jobs
4 years, 7 months ago

Coronavirus fuels steepest-ever drop in Australian jobs

Al Jazeera  

Hundreds of thousands lost jobs as a result of the coronavirus lockdown, as government warns worse is yet to come. Australian jobs plunged by the most on record in April as hundreds of thousands of people became unemployee as a result of coronavirus lockdowns, with Prime Minister Scott Morrison warning Australians to brace for more “hard news”. Additionally, Prime Minister …

Nearly 3 million more sought jobless aid last week, 36 million since coronavirus struck
4 years, 7 months ago

Nearly 3 million more sought jobless aid last week, 36 million since coronavirus struck

LA Times  

A resident copies down the Mississippi unemployment benefit website April 2 after being unable to enter the state WIN Job Center in north Jackson. Nearly 3 million laid-off workers applied for U.S. unemployment benefits last week as the viral outbreak led more companies to slash jobs even as most states began to let some businesses reopen under certain restrictions. Roughly …

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