Labour would lose nearly 200 seats with Angela Rayner and Yvette Cooper beaten by Reform, new poll suggests
The IndependentSign up for the View from Westminster email for expert analysis straight to your inbox Get our free View from Westminster email Get our free View from Westminster email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Labour would lose its majority and nearly 200 of the seats the party won in July if an election was held today, a new poll has shown. The overall seat totals for the parties if an election was held now, according to the poll: Labour: 228 seats – down from 412 Conservatives: 222 seats – up from 121 Reform UK: 72 seats – up from 5 Liberal Democrats: 58 seats – down from 72 Scottish National Party: 37 seats – up from 9 Independent: 8 seats – up from 6 Plaid Cymru: 4 seats – remain from 4 Green Party: 2 seats – down from 4 To hold a majority in the House of Commons, a political party needs at least 326 seats out of the possible 650. “Far from the usual electoral honeymoon, our model estimates that Labour would lose nearly 200 of the seats they won in July’s election. open image in gallery Nigel Farage’s Reform would emerge as the third-largest parliamentary party, according to a poll “The pressure from the public is now on the government to deliver.” More In Common said its polling also showed that electoral fragmentation has significantly increased since the general election in July.