US midterm elections 2018: Top data cruncher bullish on Democrats' edge, gives party 3 in 4 chance of taking House majority
FirstpostAmerica’s best known data cruncher on elections Nate Silver is bullish on Democrats winning the House at the midterm elections 2018. FiveThirtyEight is giving Democrats a 3 in 4 chance of winning enough seats for a majority and it comes with a big caveat: “Relatively small shifts could allow Republicans to keep control of the House, or could turn a blue wave into a tsunami.” America’s best known data cruncher on elections Nate Silver is bullish on Democrats winning the House at the midterm elections 2018 even as US President Donald Trump plans to embark on an aggressive campaign schedule this fall to boost Republican candidates on the ballot in 2018. FiveThirtyEight is giving Democrats a 3 in 4 chance of winning enough seats for a majority and it comes with a big caveat: “Relatively small shifts could allow Republicans to keep control of the House, or could turn a blue wave into a tsunami.” Nate Silver’s team has put out three versions of the forecast - Lite, Classic and generic - each of which has slightly different ingredients. Democrats are leaning on historical trends in the midterms and Trump’s net-negative approval rating may help flip some of the nine Republican-held seats so they can gain control of the Senate.