Review of Krishnamurthy Subramanian’s India@100 — Envisioning Tomorrow’s Economic Powerhouse: Dreams, with a catch
The HinduGoldman Sachs expects India’s economy to grow to $50 trillion by 2075, that is, in a little over 50 years from now. But former chief economic adviser to the Narendra Modi government, Krishnamurthy Subramanian, in a new book, India@100: Envisioning Tomorrow’s Economic Powerhouse, believes that India has the potential to do far better and that it could possibly become even a $55 trillion economy in less than 25 years when India celebrates its 100th Independence day in 2047. That’s because if India’s real GDP grows at 8% and the Reserve Bank of India manages to keep inflation around its 4% target against the country’s historical average of 7%, the Indian rupee could depreciate at a far slower pace of around 0.45% per year going forward against the U.S. dollar compared to the 3.5% to 4.5% depreciation witnessed between 1990 and 2020, helping boost India’s GDP in U.S. dollar terms to $55 trillion by 2047. Indian living standards, of course, would be much lower if we grow at 8% rather than at 12.5% in real terms till 2047, but at least technically India would be a $55 trillion economy. India@100: Envisioning Tomorrow’s Economic Powerhouse; Krishnamurthy Subramanian, Rupa, ₹995.