Bond traders ditch bets on heavy stimulus in tight US Election
4 years, 1 month ago

Bond traders ditch bets on heavy stimulus in tight US Election

Live Mint  

Bond traders are abandoning bets for aggressive fiscal stimulus, with Treasury yields well off their peaks as counting for key states progresses in a tight U.S. election, ahead of a Federal Reserve policy decision. Even the U.S.’s announcement on Wednesday of record quarterly debt sales couldn’t damp the biggest one-day rally in months, with a slight tilt toward shorter-dated issuance helping flatten the yield curve. There’s just a lot unknown now.” Treasuries jumped along with most other major government bonds Wednesday as expectations for a Democratic sweep fell flat. If the economy softens, virus cases rise and Washington fails to enact stimulus, the Fed will be in a position to do more, according to Nathan Sheets, chief economist at PGIM Inc. “In that scenario, the Fed would likely respond by doing more as opposed to withholding stimulus, trying to leverage Washington,” he said.

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History of this topic

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor
1 day, 8 hours ago

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor

Live Mint  

-- Treasury yields rose on Monday as traders continue to see a slower pace of interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve next year and the potential worsening of country’s fiscal backdrop under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration. The moves Monday built on a rise in yields last week following US central bank officials latest quarterly projections — dubbed the dot …

Bond Market Has Worst Week in Months With Less Fed Action Seen
1 week, 4 days ago

Bond Market Has Worst Week in Months With Less Fed Action Seen

Live Mint  

An orderly selloff in the US government bond market continued for a fifth straight day, with the 30-year bond’s yield posting its biggest weekly increase of the year. Inflation, if anything, is bending up.” The extra yield offered by long- versus short-maturity yields “is not enough at this point of time.” Next week’s Fed meeting includes an updated summary of …

US 10-year yields fall to six-week low after payrolls, markets see green light to December cut
2 weeks, 4 days ago

US 10-year yields fall to six-week low after payrolls, markets see green light to December cut

Live Mint  

* Odds of 25-basis point rate cut this month rise to 87% according to FedWatch tool * Two year yields fall to five-week low after payrolls report By Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK, Dec 6 - U.S. Treasuries yield fell to a six-week low after the release of November payrolls data, as investors considered the numbers as a green light to …

India bond yields to track US rates; downside largely capped
4 weeks, 1 day ago

India bond yields to track US rates; downside largely capped

Live Mint  

By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI, Nov 26 - Indian bond yields are likely to open little changed on Tuesday following the dip in the previous session, with traders keeping an eye on U.S. Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year bond yield is expected in a 6.81%-6.84% range, having dipped about two basis points on Monday to 6.8226% largely due to a dip …

India bond yields may drop tracking decline in US rates
Trending News
1 month ago

India bond yields may drop tracking decline in US rates

Live Mint  

By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI, Nov 25 - Indian government bond yields may dip at open on Monday, tracking a decline in U.S. rates, while traders wait for data on how Asia's fourth-largest economy fared in the last quarter due later in the week. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped six basis points in Asia trading, after U.S. President-elect Donald Trump …

US yields rise, weak demand for 20-year auction
1 month ago

US yields rise, weak demand for 20-year auction

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell and Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK, Nov 20 - U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Wednesday as the Treasury Department saw weak demand in an auction and traders assessed when the Federal Reserve may pause its interest rate cutting cycle as U.S. economic growth remains above expectations. Investors correctly betting that Republican Donald Trump would win the U.S. …

Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump’s Win
1 month, 1 week ago

Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump’s Win

Live Mint  

Traders are loading up on bets for further losses in the Treasury market in anticipation that Donald Trump’s pledged policies will rekindle inflation and keep US interest rates high. In two-year note futures, open interest has climbed by approximately 132,000 contracts over the past four sessions — equivalent to roughly $8.4 million per basis point in risk added into the …

Bond Investors Set Up for Jump in Yields With Focus on Trump
1 month, 1 week ago

Bond Investors Set Up for Jump in Yields With Focus on Trump

Live Mint  

US Treasuries are set to open weaker as investors look to rekindle the selloff spurred by Donald Trump’s presidential victory last week. Ten-year Treasury note futures fell by about 11 ticks as of 3:30 p.m. New York time on Monday with cash markets closed for a US holiday, implying a yield of approximately 4.35%. “Better economic data, perhaps a too-dovish …

US yields mixed as election risks rise after solid 10-year note auction
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US yields mixed as election risks rise after solid 10-year note auction

Live Mint  

* Online betting odds favor Trump victory * US services index rises, helps extend earlier gains in yields * US yield curve flattens * US Treasury 10-year auction shows solid results By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Nov 5 - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Tuesday, with longer maturities reversing earlier gains, as volatility intensified toward the market close and …

US yields dip as ’Trump trades’ unwind in tight presidential race
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US yields dip as ’Trump trades’ unwind in tight presidential race

Live Mint  

* Iowa poll shows Harris ahead of Trump, weighs on yields * US 10-year yields on track for largest fall since early Sept. 4 * US two-year yields show biggest decline in three weeks * US 2/10 yield curve bull flattens * US Treasury three-year notes auction show weak results By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, - U.S. Treasury yields slid …

Dollar Soars to 2-1/2-Month Peak as US Rates, Election Eyed
Trending News
2 months ago

Dollar Soars to 2-1/2-Month Peak as US Rates, Election Eyed

Live Mint  

The US dollar has been on a strong upward trajectory in recent weeks, driven by positive economic data and expectations of a Fed pause in interest rate cuts. The greenback has reached a 2-1/2-month high, with the market pricing in an 89.6% chance for a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's upcoming meeting. However, the dollar's rise is also …

Longer-dated yields climb as investors consider recession outlook
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Longer-dated yields climb as investors consider recession outlook

Live Mint  

* U.S. two-year note auction better than expected * U.S. 2/10 year yield curve inversion narrowest in 3 weeks * Investors await PCE data due Friday By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK, Aug 27 - U.S. Treasury longer-dated yields edged higher on Tuesday, as investors assessed the likelihood that the U.S. economy will be able to avoid a recession, while a …

India bond yields seen marginally lower as Fed rate cut bets improve
4 months ago

India bond yields seen marginally lower as Fed rate cut bets improve

Hindustan Times  

By Dharamraj Dhutia India bond yields seen marginally lower as Fed rate cut bets improve MUMBAI, - Indian government bond yields are expected to trend lower in early trading on Wednesday, tracking a fall in U.S. Treasury yields amid rising prospects of a deeper interest rate cut next month. "The odds of a larger than 25 basis point cut by …

Treasuries Surge as Traders Bet Big on a Fed Rescue Mode
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Treasuries Surge as Traders Bet Big on a Fed Rescue Mode

Live Mint  

Bond traders are piling into bets that the US economy is on the verge of deteriorating so quickly that the Federal Reserve will need to start easing monetary policy aggressively to head off a recession. “Treasuries are a good buy here because I do think the economy will continue to slow.” Bond traders have repeatedly misjudged where interest rates have …

Bond yields tumble as bets on rate cuts mount amid fresh signs of easing inflation
1 year ago

Bond yields tumble as bets on rate cuts mount amid fresh signs of easing inflation

Daily Mail  

Bond yields fell yesterday as fresh signs of easing inflation pressure threw the spotlight onto central banks ahead of key interest rate decisions. UK figures showed a slowdown in wage growth while in America inflation dipped to 3.1 per cent. Bond slump: UK figures showed a slowdown in wage growth while in America inflation dipped to 3.1% Central banks have …

Surge in interest rates and a cloudier economic picture to keep Federal Reserve on sidelines
1 year, 1 month ago

Surge in interest rates and a cloudier economic picture to keep Federal Reserve on sidelines

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve is poised to leave its key interest rate unchanged Wednesday at a time when the Fed faces an economy that has proved resilient but is nevertheless under pressure from surging interest rates, overseas turmoil and anxious investors. Powell and other Fed policymakers have said they think those trends may contribute to an economic slowdown — …

Surge in interest rates and a cloudier economic picture to keep Federal Reserve on sidelines
1 year, 1 month ago

Surge in interest rates and a cloudier economic picture to keep Federal Reserve on sidelines

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The Federal Reserve is poised …

Decoding the (Almost) 5% 10-Year Treasury Yield
1 year, 1 month ago

Decoding the (Almost) 5% 10-Year Treasury Yield

Live Mint  

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note touched 5% for the first time in 16 years last week, spurring debate about whether it has peaked or just taken another step in its long and disruptive climb. Here is a look at how yields got here and their possible paths forward: The Fed sets the tone Yields on Treasurys …

Bets against US Treasury bills left bond bears in a cold sweat
3 years, 8 months ago

Bets against US Treasury bills left bond bears in a cold sweat

Live Mint  

Investors betting against Treasury bonds of the United States—or even just hiding out in cash waiting for lower prices—just suffered a rough week, even after a robust slate of economic figures showed that America’s rebound from the pandemic is gaining steam. Treasury yields could extend their decline, potentially taking the 10-year yield as low as 1.2%—a level not seen since …

Fading hopes of big US spending pull down yields overseas
4 years, 1 month ago

Fading hopes of big US spending pull down yields overseas

Live Mint  

The election-induced drop in Treasury yields rippled overseas, dragging down borrowing costs in Europe as investors wrote off hopes that a big U.S. spending package could give the global economy a jolt. German 10-year yields hovered around their lowest levels since March on Thursday, dropping to minus 0.657% in early trading before rebounding to minus 0.636%, slightly above Wednesday’s close, …

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