What the fall in the Australian dollar tells us about the future of interest rate rises
1 year, 7 months ago

What the fall in the Australian dollar tells us about the future of interest rate rises

ABC  

There's growing evidence the economy is under stress. It's consistent with what soon-to-be RBA governor Michele Bullock said a few weeks back — that unemployment would "have to" rise for inflation to come down to the RBA's target band. "The fall reflects a combination of market expectations that the RBA may have finished hiking and uncertainty following the Fitch downgrade to the US which may increase pressure for fiscal austerity which could threaten the global growth outlook and hence cyclical currencies like the Australian dollar," AMP chief economist Shane Oliver said. "The Australian dollar is reacting to market interest rates, which have declined substantially in recent weeks and reflect an expectation that the RBA is likely at the end of its tightening cycle," he said. This week the drop in the Australian dollar can be attributed to strength in the US dollar, nerves on international financial markets and agreement among local and international currency investors that it's "safe" to assume the Reserve Bank is done with its monetary policy tightening cycle.

History of this topic

Australia, NZ dollars sink on soaring euro; steady vs dollar
1 week, 6 days ago
Australia, New Zealand currencies edge higher as US economic fears drag dollar
2 weeks, 1 day ago
Has Australia's economy turned the corner? Angus Taylor has a warning
2 weeks, 2 days ago
The latest Australian dollar sell-off is a red flag for the economy
3 weeks, 3 days ago
Australia, NZ dollars back off resistance, tariff risk looms
1 month ago
Australia, NZ dlrs scale two-month highs, RBA hawkish on easing
1 month ago
RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020
1 month ago
Australian shares marginally extend losses after RBA cuts rate as expected
1 month ago
Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020
1 month, 1 week ago
Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision
1 month, 1 week ago
Yen rallies on growth data, dollar steady around two-month low
1 month, 1 week ago
Yen gains; Aussie, kiwi steady before rate decisions
1 month, 1 week ago
When will interest rates go down? Banks are preparing for the RBA's cash rate decision
1 month, 1 week ago
The RBA hasn't changed the cash rate for more than a year. Here's why
1 month, 1 week ago
Big call on interest rates everyone with a mortgage needs to read as Donald Trump tariffs stir inflation fears
1 month, 2 weeks ago
Inflation has fallen in Australia and NZ, but which is faring better?
1 month, 2 weeks ago
The fallout of Trump's tariffs hits financial markets as ASX dives. Here's what it means for Australia
1 month, 3 weeks ago
Why is the Australian dollar falling and what could it mean for you?
2 months, 1 week ago
Aussie Dollar Traders Ramp Up Bearish Bets With 2022 Low in View
2 months, 2 weeks ago
Interest rates, exporters and Reserve Bank intervention: There's a lot at stake as the Australian dollar weakens
2 months, 3 weeks ago
Dollar eases in cautious start to 2025; yen lingers at five-month lows
Trending News
2 months, 3 weeks ago
Australian dollar now at risk of plummeting to pandemic-era lows, analysts say
2 months, 3 weeks ago
RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory
3 months ago
Dollar firms as US rates outlook dominates
3 months ago
The Australian dollar could be heading to a 20-year low, on risks of China, Trump and slow growth
3 months ago
Share market rises after a rally on Wall Street, Australian dollar remains at two-year low — as it happened
3 months ago
NZ recession and Federal Reserve rate cut sink Aussie dollar but show the RBA dodged a bullet
3 months ago
The RBA is preparing for all economic scenarios, including an interest rate hike
3 months, 1 week ago
Australia's unemployment rate falls to 3.9pc in November, its lowest level since March
3 months, 1 week ago
Major blow for Aussies just before Christmas as Reserve Bank makes interest rate decision
3 months, 2 weeks ago
The brutal reality of life under Anthony Albanese as economy grows at weakest pace in more than three decades
3 months, 3 weeks ago
Why the bout between the Reserve Bank and the federal government is about to heat up
3 months, 3 weeks ago
RBA unlikely to lower interest rates in 2024 despite inflation at its lowest level since July 2021
3 months, 3 weeks ago
Why Australia is lagging the pack on rate cuts
4 months, 1 week ago
Big hint Anthony Albanese is responsible for you missing out on a rate cut - with Australia's most powerful banker blaming government spending for inflation
4 months, 2 weeks ago
Sharply rising bond rates could stem Wall Street's 'relief rally' and push interest rate cuts further into the future
4 months, 2 weeks ago
Interest rates might fall in February … but don't bet the house on it
4 months, 2 weeks ago
Reserve Bank keeps interest rates at 4.35pc for eighth-straight meeting despite lower inflation
4 months, 2 weeks ago
The cheapest home loan interest rate in Australia as banks slash rates
5 months, 3 weeks ago
No RBA rate cut yet, but Governor Bullock is about to find the pressure overwhelming
6 months ago
These numbers are the clues to the Reserve Bank's puzzle: when will interest rates go down?
6 months ago
How the US Federal Reserve rate cut could impact the race for the White House between Harris and Trump
6 months ago
Why is the US cutting interest rates? What does it mean for Australia?
6 months, 1 week ago
Why the Reserve Bank will be forced to cut rates before year's end
6 months, 2 weeks ago
The RBA is making confusion about inflation and the cost of living even worse
6 months, 3 weeks ago
The US is about to start cutting interest rates, so expect Australia to follow
6 months, 3 weeks ago
RBA Governor delivers another blow to Aussies with a mortgage - and why you shouldn't expect rate cuts anytime soon
7 months, 2 weeks ago
Australian stockmarket sheds more than $100 billion in biggest fall since the lockdown era. Here's why
7 months, 2 weeks ago
When will interest rates go down? Here's what you need to know ahead of the RBA meeting
7 months, 3 weeks ago
PETER VAN ONSELEN: Jim Chalmers' excuses for Australia's inflation crisis spectacularly unravel - with two key stats easily blowing apart the garbage Treasurer is peddling
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Discover Related