India’s GDP growth: The first half faltered, but economy seen rebounding in the second
Live MintTwo consecutive quarters of disappointing economic growth have left economists pinning their hopes on a rebound in the second half of the fiscal year. Some economists, however, expect India’s FY25 GDP growth to be lower than the Reserve Bank of India’s 7.2% outlook because of the disappointing economic growth in the first two quarters of the fiscal year. “Government will expedite budget spending… The third investment shows positive signs as intentions are higher than last year post-July.” But Sabnavis, too, expects India’s economic growth for FY25 to be below RBI’s outlook, at 6.6-6.8%. Uneven sectoral performance Economists blamed the slower GDP growth in the second quarter also on uneven performance across sectors, with a decline in private consumption growth offsetting the positive effects of government spending and a rural recovery. “With a pickup expected in capital expenditure by the government, growth in demand during the festive season, and stable rural demand, we are likely to see better numbers for the coming quarters and FY 2025.” Agriculture, transport bounce back As for other sectors, agriculture, hospitality, transport, broadcasting services and communications bounced back in the second quarter.