Auto firms face bleak outlook, with no end to the gloom in sight
Live MintSales of automobiles have been falling for sometime now, prompting manufacturers to cut production to align supply with retail demand and existing inventory with dealers. According to a report by the Federation of Automobile Dealers’ Associations, retail auto sales in May that fell 7.5% from a year ago show that the overall consumer sentiment is poor. The chart shows that the market has trimmed FY21 earnings per share estimates for Nifty auto index companies almost every month since April 2018, adding to a cumulative cut of 32% in FY21 earnings estimates. Reliance Securities Ltd analyst Mitul Shah said in a report, “Going forward, we expect slowdown to continue as rural demand is not picking up due to liquidity crisis in non-banking finance companies and the rural market impact from monsoon deficit last year.” The writing on the wall is clear. After all, auto firms would not want a repeat of last year when lack of demand revival during the festive season led to a huge inventory pileup.