After 3 years, Steel demand to grow in single digits in 2024-25
The HinduWith imports from China and Vietnam rising since last October, India is likely to be a net finished steel importer in 2023-24 after a gap of five years, and is likely to remain so in the coming year as well unless the external demand environment improves meaningfully, rating agency ICRA has said. Moreover, domestic steel consumption growth is expected to slide to 7%-8% after three years of double-digit growth, down from about 12%-13% this year, while higher input costs and soft steel prices will squeeze operating profit for margins for producers by 110-115 basis points in 2024-25, it said in a research note. “While these are early trends, these numbers nonetheless hint at demand remaining soft over the next two quarters as the government spending moderates around the election period,” remarked Jayanta Roy, senior vice president and group head of corporate sector ratings at ICRA. “With most other large steel-consuming hubs globally also facing subpar economic activities in the near term, global steel trade flows have been increasingly redirected to high-growth markets like India,” the note said.