South Asia is Most Vulnerable to Conflict as Covid-19 Pandemic Causes an Unstable Global Scenario
News 18In an interview to mark the Remembrance Day in November last year, Britain’s Chief of Defence Staff, General Sir Nick Carter, remarked, “I think we are living at a moment in time where the world is a very uncertain and anxious place…the real risk we have with quite a lot of the regional conflicts that are going on at the moment, is you could see escalation lead to miscalculation.” When asked if there was a threat of another world war, Gen Carter replied, “I’m saying it’s a risk, and we need to be conscious of those risks.” There is a great deal of debate on whether wars between nations are declining around the globe. According to the study, the three key interstate conflict drivers are the prevalence of consolidated democracies, capabilities of international organisations, and the degree of US preeminence. The study also noted that although projections indicated low incidence of conflict, divergences from the projections could occur due to ‘shocks’ that are impossible to predict. Among the global conflict hot spots, South Asia remains among those regions that are most vulnerable to interstate conflicts.