Negative gearing, capital gains reforms unlikely to lead to major fall in property prices, but rents could rise, experts say
ABCHouse prices would fall about 2 per cent if Labor went ahead with its previous election policy to change property tax breaks, modelling from the Grattan Institute shows. Brendan Coates says changes to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount could save the federal budget billions of dollars annually. A University of Melbourne study by academics Yunho Cho, Shuyun May Li and Lawrence Uren found eliminating negative gearing would reduce total housing supply by 1.8 per cent and increase rents by 2.5 per cent. "The capital gains tax discount has undertaxed capital gains in the post-2000 period as inflation has been low and house price growth high," Dr Uren said. "Whereas these tax concessions have 1 to 4 per cent effect on house prices, the effect of zoning and housing supply is enormous," Dr Tulip said.