Sharply rising bond rates could stem Wall Street's 'relief rally' and push interest rate cuts further into the future
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Sharply rising bond rates could stem Wall Street's 'relief rally' and push interest rate cuts further into the future

ABC  

The apparent roar of approval was almost deafening. It's a world that, down the track, promises a return of inflation and permanently higher interest rates as America shifts to a more protectionist global stance that punishes China and, by extension, hurts Australia. Since mid-September, US money markets almost inexplicably have begun forecasting a rise in interest rates. The bond is essentially the global benchmark for interest rates and is considered to be the "risk-free" rate of cash. "And because the US is such an important source of funding, and the demand by the US government for borrowing is substantial, that'll have upward effects on global interest rates.

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History of this topic

RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020
1 month ago

RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020

ABC  

Samantha Donovan: Hello, welcome to PM. So what we've seen is those really sticky items in the inflation baskets, I think insurance premiums, out-of-pocket health care costs, the cost of building a new dwelling or rental prices, those price increases have been such that the Reserve Bank has been worried that if it doesn't keep interest rate policy restrictive, and …

Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020
1 month ago

Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020

Associated Press  

MELBOURNE, Australia — Australia’s central bank on Tuesday reduced its benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020 as the nation’s inflation cools. “Inflation has fallen substantially since the peak in 2022, as higher interest rates have been working to bring aggregate demand and supply closer towards balance,” the board said in a statement. “Some other central banks …

Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision
1 month ago

Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision

ABC  

Andy Park: Hello, welcome to The World Today. If by its very nature, the Reserve Bank cutting interest rates stimulates demand and increases inflation, if underlying inflation still isn't within the Reserve Bank's band of between 2% and 3%, won't an interest rate cut have policy makers put up the white flag on inflation? Jane Bardon: The independent Yolngu MP …

How many more interest rate cuts is the RBA likely to make?
1 month ago

How many more interest rate cuts is the RBA likely to make?

ABC  

The Reserve Bank has finally delivered the rate cut many highly indebted mortgage borrowers have been crying out for. The bank's educated guesses of the neutral cash rate range from as low as around 1.5 per cent to nearly 4 per cent depending on which economic model and set of assumptions it uses. It could be that today's cash rate …

Reserve Bank cuts interest rates for the first time since November 2020
1 month ago

Reserve Bank cuts interest rates for the first time since November 2020

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut interest rates for the first time since November 2020. RBA governor Michele Bullock noted that the rise in interest rates from the "emergency lows" of the pandemic had meant households with home loans were hurting, but argued high inflation caused more pain. At the post-meeting press conference, Ms Bullock said she couldn't confirm …

When will interest rates go down? Banks are preparing for the RBA's cash rate decision
1 month ago

When will interest rates go down? Banks are preparing for the RBA's cash rate decision

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia is meeting and banks are forecasting an imminent cash rate cut. The cash rate target is set by the RBA and influences how much commercial banks charge customers for borrowing money — it's currently at 4.35 per cent. All of the big four banks — ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac — reckon the RBA …

How Federal Reserve's interest rate pause will impact regular American wallets
1 month, 2 weeks ago

How Federal Reserve's interest rate pause will impact regular American wallets

Hindustan Times  

Borrowers hoping for more financial relief from the Federal Reserve may need to wait longer, as the central bank is expected to pause additional rate cuts at its January 29 meeting. Federal Reserve officials held interest rates steady, pausing to assess the inflation outlook following a string of rate reductions last year. How Fed's interest rate pause affects borrowers “Anyone …

Rate cut chances increase after inflation slows in final quarter of 2024
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Rate cut chances increase after inflation slows in final quarter of 2024

ABC  

The odds of an interest rate cut next month have increased, with official figures showing the Reserve Bank of Australia's preferred measure of inflation fell to 3.2 per cent over the year to December. The more volatile headline inflation figure came in at 0.2 per cent for the December quarter and 2.4 per cent for the year, down from a …

Will there be a February rate cut? Macro-economics says unemployment is key
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Will there be a February rate cut? Macro-economics says unemployment is key

ABC  

At 11:30am on Wednesday this week, the December quarter inflation rate will be announced by the ABS, with the nation's economists, bankers and mortgagees clustered, agog, around their screens. In the past 50 years, the RBA has only ever cut interest rates twice while unemployment declined — during the Asian crisis and US tech boom in the late 1990s, which …

Why are interest rates rising when the Fed has been cutting them?
2 months ago

Why are interest rates rising when the Fed has been cutting them?

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — What’s shaking Wall Street seems so backwards. The bond market’s moves might seem strange given that the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates three times starting in September. But the Fed’s influence is limited when it comes to the interest rates that are currently knocking the stock market around, chiefly the 10-year Treasury yield. And the 10-year …

Stock market today: Wall Street rips higher after inflation data and strong bank profits
2 months ago

Stock market today: Wall Street rips higher after inflation data and strong bank profits

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks ripped higher Wednesday following a shot of adrenaline from an encouraging update on U.S. inflation. Treasury yields also eased in the bond market following the update on how much more U.S. households had to pay in December for eggs, gasoline, housing and other costs of living. Few traders expect Wednesday’s data to convince the Fed …

How Wall Street Could Wreck The GOP’s Tax Cut Plans
2 months, 1 week ago

How Wall Street Could Wreck The GOP’s Tax Cut Plans

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING Republicans’ plan to extend and expand the massive tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations they originally passed in 2017 are at the heart of President-elect Donald Trump’s domestic agenda. But investors holding U.S. debt have demanded increasingly higher returns on their investments, which has kept the Fed’s actions from having much effect and mortgage and credit …

A bond selloff is rocking the world. You might want to take the other side.
Trending News
2 months, 1 week ago

A bond selloff is rocking the world. You might want to take the other side.

Live Mint  

Wall Street is really worried about bonds. On Friday, a jobs report that blew past expectations pushed yields on 10-year Treasurys to 4.772%, the highest close since Nov. 1, 2023, and those on 30-year paper to 4.962%. Rather, it might be the result of investors applying a higher discount or “term premium" to hold long-term bonds, estimates by the Federal …

Wall Street recoils after good news on the economy raises inflation worries
2 months, 1 week ago

Wall Street recoils after good news on the economy raises inflation worries

LA Times  

The New York Stock Exchange is shown in New York’s Financial District on Dec. 31, 2024. U.S. stocks fell Friday on worries that good news about the job market may be too good and prove to be bad for Wall Street by keeping inflation and interest rates high. Stocks took their cue from the bond market, where yields leaped to …

A February interest rate cut is a real possibility, but there's at least one hurdle to clear
2 months, 1 week ago

A February interest rate cut is a real possibility, but there's at least one hurdle to clear

ABC  

At 11:31am AEDT on Wednesday, the Australian dollar began falling against the greenback. Inflation drop raises rate cut odds Photo shows A coloured graphic showing a petrol pump, coins, keys and a bag of fresh groceries against a backdrop of receipts A fall in the Reserve Bank's preferred measure of inflation has increased the odds of an interest rate cut …

Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank
Trending News
2 months, 1 week ago

Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank

Live Mint  

There’s room for stock markets to fall further as bond yields approach levels that have been painful for equities in recent years. The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to levels just shy of 4.7%, the highest since April after an almost uninterrupted surge of more than one percentage point since mid-September. “Equity/bond yield correlations have turned negative again,” Goldman Sachs …

Wall Street slumps as good news for the economy is once again bad for stocks
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Wall Street slumps as good news for the economy is once again bad for stocks

LA Times  

Good news for the U.S. economy is back to being bad for Wall Street, and the stock market slumped Tuesday following better-than-expected reports on the job market and business activity. But such a solid economy could also keep up pressure on inflation, and it could make the Federal Reserve less likely to deliver the cuts to interest rates that Wall …

When will interest rates go down in Australia? Here's what we know
2 months, 2 weeks ago

When will interest rates go down in Australia? Here's what we know

ABC  

Will this be the year mortgage borrowers finally get some interest rate relief? After that, the meetings are currently scheduled for the following dates, although the RBA has indicated some of those meeting dates may change: March 31-April 1 May 19-20 July 7-8 August 11-12 September 29-30 November 3-4 December 8-9 It's the second year of the board's reduced meeting …

Treasuries Post Annual Gain as Fed Starts Interest-Rate Cuts
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Treasuries Post Annual Gain as Fed Starts Interest-Rate Cuts

Live Mint  

The US Treasury market ended 2024 with a small gain as inflation resumed edging lower after the first quarter and the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times. The gain was smaller than the market’s 2023 advance, which followed two straight annual losses for an asset class whose interest payments normally offset price declines caused by rising yields. But the …

RBA chief's major hint that there could soon be some VERY good news ahead for home-owners
2 months, 3 weeks ago

RBA chief's major hint that there could soon be some VERY good news ahead for home-owners

Daily Mail  

The Reserve Bank has given a strong hint borrowers are getting some interest rate cuts in 2025 even though inflation is still too high. The Reserve Bank has given a strong hint interest rate cuts are coming even though inflation is still too high While headline inflation is at a three-year low of 2.8 per cent, the RBA regarded this …

RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory
2 months, 3 weeks ago

RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory

Live Mint  

-- Australia’s central bank is more confident that inflation is moving sustainably toward target but it’s still too soon to conclude the battle is won given a recent pick-up in consumption and a still-tight labor market, minutes of the December meeting showed. The Reserve Bank’s board discussed scenarios in which future policy would be eased to boost economic growth or …

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor

Live Mint  

-- Treasury yields rose on Monday as traders continue to see a slower pace of interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve next year and the potential worsening of country’s fiscal backdrop under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration. The moves Monday built on a rise in yields last week following US central bank officials latest quarterly projections — dubbed the dot …

US Fed cuts key interest rates by 0.25%: 3 key takeaways for stock markets
Top News
3 months ago

US Fed cuts key interest rates by 0.25%: 3 key takeaways for stock markets

India Today  

Stock markets are expected to open lower on Thursday, following a global market slump after the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points. GLOBAL MARKET REACTIONS Wall Street reacted negatively to the Fed’s announcement, with all three major US indices—Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq—posting their biggest single-day losses in months. Gift Nifty, an indicator for the …

NZ recession and Federal Reserve rate cut sink Aussie dollar but show the RBA dodged a bullet
3 months ago

NZ recession and Federal Reserve rate cut sink Aussie dollar but show the RBA dodged a bullet

ABC  

If you're looking for a last-minute overseas summer getaway, New Zealand is looking increasingly attractive. On the monetary policy front, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand started lifting its cash rate from COVID-19 lows of 0.25 per cent in October 2021 — a full seven months before Australia's Reserve Bank. Why a Fed rate cut sent the US dollar soaring …

US Federal Reserve likely to cut interest rate for third straight time | Key points
3 months ago

US Federal Reserve likely to cut interest rate for third straight time | Key points

Hindustan Times  

The US Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rate for a third straight time, when Fed officials meet in Washington on Wednesday. US Fed rate cut: Here's all you need to know The US central bank is widely expected to lower its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point, Bloomberg reported. However, such a decision by the Fed would …

Fed lowers interest rates again but pares back plans for more cuts in the future
3 months ago

Fed lowers interest rates again but pares back plans for more cuts in the future

LA Times  

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has led the central bank’s battle to bring inflation down to 2%, but progress has stalled in recent months. Stocks plunged after the Fed announced its quarter-point rate reduction and updated projections, which halved the number of rate cuts for next year. And one Fed voting member, Beth M. Hammack, president of the Fed Bank …

Federal Reserve is likely to slow its rate cuts with inflation pressures still elevated
3 months ago

Federal Reserve is likely to slow its rate cuts with inflation pressures still elevated

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Americans hoping for lower borrowing costs for homes, credit cards and cars may be disappointed after this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The Fed’s policymakers are likely to signal fewer interest rate cuts next year than were previously expected. Instead, inflation has become stuck at a higher level, yet the Fed after Wednesday’s meeting will likely have lowered its …

Global stock index falls, bond yields rise ahead of rate decisions
3 months, 1 week ago

Global stock index falls, bond yields rise ahead of rate decisions

Live Mint  

* Wall Street stocks end close to flat, Europe ends down * Oil prices settle higher, * Dollar rises against yen, falls against the Euro By Sinéad Carew and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON Dec 13 - MSCI's global equity gauge fell on Friday while bond yields climbed as investors waited for clues about the future path for interest rates from …

The RBA is preparing for all economic scenarios, including an interest rate hike
3 months, 1 week ago

The RBA is preparing for all economic scenarios, including an interest rate hike

ABC  

The Reserve Bank may have dropped the phrase "not ruling anything in or out" in its interest rates commentary, but that does not mean an interest rate hike is completely out of the question. That is because, as Dr Hunter explained, it would mean the RBA's key policy goal of achieving its mid-point annual inflation target of 2.5 per cent …

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold in December but leaves door open to a February cut
3 months, 1 week ago

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold in December but leaves door open to a February cut

ABC  

The Reserve Bank has left interest rates on hold in December for a ninth-straight meeting, but opened the door to a rate cut as soon as February. This is a change in language from the board's November statement, which said it needed to "remain vigilant to upside risks to inflation" and was "not ruling anything in or out". "While the …

Why the bout between the Reserve Bank and the federal government is about to heat up
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Why the bout between the Reserve Bank and the federal government is about to heat up

ABC  

There's an old adage that oppositions don't win elections, governments lose them. RBA Governor Michele Bullock says Australia's strategy of reducing inflation without stoking too much unemployment is part of the reason why it looks different to peer economies right now. RBA unlikely to react to October inflation data Photo shows Household money pic Australia's inflation rate remained steady in …

Federal Reserve cuts its key interest rate by a quarter-point
Trending News
4 months, 1 week ago

Federal Reserve cuts its key interest rate by a quarter-point

The Hindu  

The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate Thursday by a quarter-point in response to the steady decline in the once-high inflation that had angered Americans and helped drive Donald Trump’s presidential election victory this week. Why rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve matter to world markets In a statement after its latest meeting ended, the Fed said the …

Interest rates might fall in February … but don't bet the house on it
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Interest rates might fall in February … but don't bet the house on it

ABC  

It's the hope that kills you. Rate cuts may not come until autumn, if they come at all Now even a February rate cut is looking unlikely, according to the money markets, which are pricing just 20 per cent chance of a cut, despite all four big banks and many other local economists forecasting it. Markets are pricing in a …

Something to cheer us all with rates set be slashed on both sides of the Atlantic: ALEX BRUMMER
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Something to cheer us all with rates set be slashed on both sides of the Atlantic: ALEX BRUMMER

Daily Mail  

Coming hot on the heels of two momentous events – and I don’t mean Halloween and Guy Fawkes – scant attention is being paid to interest rates. Both the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve are odds on to cut official interest rates. Prediction: Both the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve are odds on to …

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates at 4.35pc for eighth-straight meeting despite lower inflation
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates at 4.35pc for eighth-straight meeting despite lower inflation

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept interest rates on hold at 4.35 per cent for its eighth-straight meeting, despite inflation falling to its lowest level in almost four years. In a statement, the RBA said while inflation has "fallen substantially" since it peaked in 2022, underlying inflation remained too high at 3.5 per cent in the September quarter. The …

Bond Yields Soar After Fed's Interest Rate Cut, Raising Concerns
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Bond Yields Soar After Fed's Interest Rate Cut, Raising Concerns

Live Mint  

US bond yields have surged after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, with the 10-year bond rising by more than 60 basis points since the last policy meeting. This surge has been attributed to several factors, including data surprises suggesting a stronger economy, political 'betting market' movements, and a backtracking of policy signals from the Fed. While the relative importance …

Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise as Economic Data Remains Strong
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise as Economic Data Remains Strong

CNN  

Mortgage rates rose again this week, marking the fourth consecutive weekly increase. The average rate on a standard, 30-year fixed mortgage was 6.54% in the week ending October 24, 2023, the highest level since early August but still below this year's high of 7.22% seen in early May. Expectations of a Fed rate cut caused mortgage rates to drop to …

Stocks Fall, US Yields Rise Amid Election Jitters
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Stocks Fall, US Yields Rise Amid Election Jitters

Live Mint  

Global stock markets are experiencing volatility due to the upcoming U.S. election and the outlook on interest rate cuts. U.S. yields rose, while stocks fell, reflecting market uncertainty. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average finished lower, while the Nasdaq Composite ended higher. The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down, while MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell.

Inflation in Europe falls below 2% and opens the way for faster rate cuts
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Inflation in Europe falls below 2% and opens the way for faster rate cuts

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

When will interest rates go down? Here's what you need to know ahead of today's RBA meeting
5 months, 3 weeks ago

When will interest rates go down? Here's what you need to know ahead of today's RBA meeting

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia board will announce its September cash rate decision on Tuesday at 2:30pm AEST. But when the RBA changes the cash rate target, interest rates for mortgages don't automatically change — the banks decide that. Ms Mousina says economic data since the RBA's last meeting shows: wages growth slowing job growth remaining solid the unemployment rate …

Bitcoin surges over 2% as US Fed cuts interest rate by 0.5% in first reduction since 2020
6 months ago

Bitcoin surges over 2% as US Fed cuts interest rate by 0.5% in first reduction since 2020

Live Mint  

Bitcoin News: The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates for the first time since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, sending ripples through the cryptocurrency market. Federal Reserve's Rate cut The Federal Reserve, on Wednesday, September 18, announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in its benchmark interest rate, marking the US central bank's first rate cut in over four …

How the US Federal Reserve rate cut could impact the race for the White House between Harris and Trump
6 months ago

How the US Federal Reserve rate cut could impact the race for the White House between Harris and Trump

ABC  

The US Federal Reserve has cut rates in a dramatic move that will have a major impact on the American economy and could help determine who occupies the White House for the next four years. By cutting rates by half a per cent, the Fed has signalled it thinks the battle against the high inflation that has plagued the US …

Fed cuts interest rates by half point for first time in years. Here’s what that means for you
6 months ago

Fed cuts interest rates by half point for first time in years. Here’s what that means for you

The Independent  

The latest headlines from our reporters across the US sent straight to your inbox each weekday Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. In an official statement, the Fed’s Federal Open …

Most of Wall Street edges lower after Fed delivers a big cut to rates
6 months ago

Most of Wall Street edges lower after Fed delivers a big cut to rates

LA Times  

Trader Michale Conlon works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell’s news conference appears on a TV screen on Sept. 18, 2024. “That’s the situation we’re in.” The only question is how much the Fed will ultimately cut rates to do so, which can prove to be a tricky balance. The …

Why is the US cutting interest rates? What does it mean for Australia?
6 months ago

Why is the US cutting interest rates? What does it mean for Australia?

ABC  

The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates overnight in an important move for the global economy. Economists predicted the Fed would want to start cutting rates before inflation hits 2 per cent because there's a long lag time between interest rate movements and their effect on the economy. It means the Reserve Bank's cash rate target, which sits at …

The Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates in a big moment for the economy
6 months ago

The Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates in a big moment for the economy

NPR  

The Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates in a big moment for the economy toggle caption Win McNamee/Getty Images North America The Federal Reserve moved aggressively Wednesday to start cutting interest rates as its single-minded focus on fighting inflation gives way to a growing interest in protecting the job market. On average, members of the Fed's rate-setting committee expect borrowing …

Why rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve matter to world markets
6 months ago

Why rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve matter to world markets

The Hindu  

When the Federal Reserve delivers a widely-anticipated interest rate cut on Wednesday, its first in four years, the move will resonate well beyond the United States. Here’s a look at what is in focus for world markets: Follow the leader In spring, as U.S. inflation proved stickier than expected, investors questioned how far others such as the European Central Bank …

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates fast enough to deliver a ‘soft landing’?
6 months ago

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates fast enough to deliver a ‘soft landing’?

LA Times  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell speaks during a news conference at the Fed in Washington in May. Typically, Fed rate cuts lead to lower borrowing costs for things such as mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and business loans. Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell emphasized in a speech last month in Jackson Hole, Wyo., that the Fed is prepared to …

Keep eye on global interest rate cuts for market moves
6 months, 1 week ago

Keep eye on global interest rate cuts for market moves

New Indian Express  

Indian markets are hitting new highs and defying the ‘September effect’, considered the worst month for global stock markets. The sharp rally driven by banking, IT and auto stocks gained strength from a host of factors including interest rate cuts in the US, China and Europe. A bigger cut would confirm the worst fears of a hard landing for the …

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