US yields rise on strong data amid supply
Trending News
1 day, 15 hours ago

US yields rise on strong data amid supply

Live Mint  

* US job openings grow, exceeding forecasts * Market anticipates Fed rate cuts will be less than previously expected * Fiscal trajectory has pushed up long-term yields By Karen Brettell NEW YORK, Jan 7 - Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit an eight-month high on Tuesday after better than expected data pointed to a strong economy and as the Treasury auctioned $39 billion of the notes to average demand. Thirty-year Treasury yields rose 7.5 basis points to 4.913% and reached 4.926%, the highest since Nov. 2023. Heavy corporate debt issuance is Treasury yields have increased despite the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 100 basis points since September. “The market is really pricing for a higher terminal rate…right around 4% is where we're at right now and that's only 25 basis points from where the funds rate is now,” said Dan Mulholland, head of rates – trading and sales at Crews & Associates in New York.

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History of this topic

Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank
Trending News
1 day, 2 hours ago

Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank

Live Mint  

There’s room for stock markets to fall further as bond yields approach levels that have been painful for equities in recent years. The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to levels just shy of 4.7%, the highest since April after an almost uninterrupted surge of more than one percentage point since mid-September. “Equity/bond yield correlations have turned negative again,” Goldman Sachs …

Treasury Auction Draws Highest Yield Since 2007 in Bond Selloff
1 day, 15 hours ago

Treasury Auction Draws Highest Yield Since 2007 in Bond Selloff

Live Mint  

-- The US government’s monthly auction of 10-year notes drew the highest yield since 2007 after the latest economic data suggesting that the Federal Reserve is less likely to cut interest-rates again before mid-year. The existing 10-year note’s yield approached 4.70%, the highest level since May, while the 30-year bond’s exceeded 4.92% for the first time in more than a …

Longer-dated yields rise amid supply
2 days, 14 hours ago

Longer-dated yields rise amid supply

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell NEW YORK, Jan 6 - The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hit the highest since May on Monday while the 30-year yield posted a 14-month high before the Treasury's auction of longer-dated debt over the next two days. Trump's aides are exploring tariff plans that would be applied to every country but only cover certain sectors deemed critical …

Treasuries Post Annual Gain as Fed Starts Interest-Rate Cuts
6 days, 23 hours ago

Treasuries Post Annual Gain as Fed Starts Interest-Rate Cuts

Live Mint  

The US Treasury market ended 2024 with a small gain as inflation resumed edging lower after the first quarter and the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times. The gain was smaller than the market’s 2023 advance, which followed two straight annual losses for an asset class whose interest payments normally offset price declines caused by rising yields. But the …

Stocks gain with bond yields, dollar up; economy, rates in focus
2 weeks, 2 days ago

Stocks gain with bond yields, dollar up; economy, rates in focus

Live Mint  

* Dollar gains, with Treasury yields * Global stock index up, Wall St indexes close higher * Consumer confidence comes in light, capital goods rise By Sinéad Carew and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK/LONDON, - A global equity index rose on Monday with help from Wall Street, and U.S. Treasury yields climbed to an almost seven-month high while data showed a …

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor
2 weeks, 2 days ago

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor

Live Mint  

-- Treasury yields rose on Monday as traders continue to see a slower pace of interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve next year and the potential worsening of country’s fiscal backdrop under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration. The moves Monday built on a rise in yields last week following US central bank officials latest quarterly projections — dubbed the dot …

US stocks end higher ahead of Fed, bitcoin surges
3 weeks, 2 days ago

US stocks end higher ahead of Fed, bitcoin surges

Live Mint  

By Stephen Culp NEW YORK - Megacap tech shares muscled the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to higher closes on Monday as U.S. Treasury yields paused and investors readied for a busy central bank week. Investors will scrutinize the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections and its "dot plot," which maps out the central bank's future rate cut path, which has …

Global stock index falls, bond yields rise ahead of rate decisions
3 weeks, 5 days ago

Global stock index falls, bond yields rise ahead of rate decisions

Live Mint  

* Wall Street stocks end close to flat, Europe ends down * Oil prices settle higher, * Dollar rises against yen, falls against the Euro By Sinéad Carew and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON Dec 13 - MSCI's global equity gauge fell on Friday while bond yields climbed as investors waited for clues about the future path for interest rates from …

Bond Market Has Worst Week in Months With Less Fed Action Seen
3 weeks, 5 days ago

Bond Market Has Worst Week in Months With Less Fed Action Seen

Live Mint  

An orderly selloff in the US government bond market continued for a fifth straight day, with the 30-year bond’s yield posting its biggest weekly increase of the year. Inflation, if anything, is bending up.” The extra yield offered by long- versus short-maturity yields “is not enough at this point of time.” Next week’s Fed meeting includes an updated summary of …

US 10-year yields fall to six-week low after payrolls, markets see green light to December cut
1 month ago

US 10-year yields fall to six-week low after payrolls, markets see green light to December cut

Live Mint  

* Odds of 25-basis point rate cut this month rise to 87% according to FedWatch tool * Two year yields fall to five-week low after payrolls report By Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK, Dec 6 - U.S. Treasuries yield fell to a six-week low after the release of November payrolls data, as investors considered the numbers as a green light to …

India bond yields to track US rates; downside largely capped
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India bond yields to track US rates; downside largely capped

Live Mint  

By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI, Nov 26 - Indian bond yields are likely to open little changed on Tuesday following the dip in the previous session, with traders keeping an eye on U.S. Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year bond yield is expected in a 6.81%-6.84% range, having dipped about two basis points on Monday to 6.8226% largely due to a dip …

US yields rise, weak demand for 20-year auction
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US yields rise, weak demand for 20-year auction

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell and Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK, Nov 20 - U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Wednesday as the Treasury Department saw weak demand in an auction and traders assessed when the Federal Reserve may pause its interest rate cutting cycle as U.S. economic growth remains above expectations. Investors correctly betting that Republican Donald Trump would win the U.S. …

US yields post sharp gains as Trump victory triggers caution about deficits
2 months ago

US yields post sharp gains as Trump victory triggers caution about deficits

Live Mint  

* Longer-dated US bond yields surge * Trump win seen widening deficits * Tariff plans could also increase inflation * US yield curve hits steepest since late September * Focus shifts to Fed meeting By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, - U.S. Treasuries fell sharply on Wednesday, propelling yields to multi-month highs as Donald Trump's presidential election victory ignited bets on …

US yields mixed as election risks rise after solid 10-year note auction
2 months ago

US yields mixed as election risks rise after solid 10-year note auction

Live Mint  

* Online betting odds favor Trump victory * US services index rises, helps extend earlier gains in yields * US yield curve flattens * US Treasury 10-year auction shows solid results By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Nov 5 - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Tuesday, with longer maturities reversing earlier gains, as volatility intensified toward the market close and …

Stocks rise, Treasuries steady as markets brace for US vote
2 months ago

Stocks rise, Treasuries steady as markets brace for US vote

Live Mint  

By Koh Gui Qing and Lawrence White NEW YORK -World stocks rose and Treasury yields rebounded on Tuesday while an index of market volatility retreated, as markets awaited early indications of the outcome of the knife-edge U.S. presidential election, with only currency markets showing some jitters. Yields spiked higher earlier even as investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut …

US yields dip as ’Trump trades’ unwind in tight presidential race
2 months ago

US yields dip as ’Trump trades’ unwind in tight presidential race

Live Mint  

* Iowa poll shows Harris ahead of Trump, weighs on yields * US 10-year yields on track for largest fall since early Sept. 4 * US two-year yields show biggest decline in three weeks * US 2/10 yield curve bull flattens * US Treasury three-year notes auction show weak results By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, - U.S. Treasury yields slid …

Bond Yields Soar After Fed's Interest Rate Cut, Raising Concerns
2 months ago

Bond Yields Soar After Fed's Interest Rate Cut, Raising Concerns

Live Mint  

US bond yields have surged after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, with the 10-year bond rising by more than 60 basis points since the last policy meeting. This surge has been attributed to several factors, including data surprises suggesting a stronger economy, political 'betting market' movements, and a backtracking of policy signals from the Fed. While the relative importance …

Yields Soar Before Jobs Report, But Fed's Hands Remain Tight
2 months, 1 week ago

Yields Soar Before Jobs Report, But Fed's Hands Remain Tight

Live Mint  

U.S. Treasury yields rose on Thursday, with two-year yields reaching a three-month high before Friday's jobs report. The data could create a large market reaction and potentially make some Federal Reserve interest rate cuts less likely if it comes in much stronger than expected. However, the number is also expected to be negatively impacted by strikes in the aerospace manufacturing …

Dollar Soars to 2-1/2-Month Peak as US Rates, Election Eyed
Trending News
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Dollar Soars to 2-1/2-Month Peak as US Rates, Election Eyed

Live Mint  

The US dollar has been on a strong upward trajectory in recent weeks, driven by positive economic data and expectations of a Fed pause in interest rate cuts. The greenback has reached a 2-1/2-month high, with the market pricing in an 89.6% chance for a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's upcoming meeting. However, the dollar's rise is also …

Longer-dated yields climb as investors consider recession outlook
4 months, 1 week ago

Longer-dated yields climb as investors consider recession outlook

Live Mint  

* U.S. two-year note auction better than expected * U.S. 2/10 year yield curve inversion narrowest in 3 weeks * Investors await PCE data due Friday By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK, Aug 27 - U.S. Treasury longer-dated yields edged higher on Tuesday, as investors assessed the likelihood that the U.S. economy will be able to avoid a recession, while a …

Decoding the (Almost) 5% 10-Year Treasury Yield
1 year, 2 months ago

Decoding the (Almost) 5% 10-Year Treasury Yield

Live Mint  

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note touched 5% for the first time in 16 years last week, spurring debate about whether it has peaked or just taken another step in its long and disruptive climb. Here is a look at how yields got here and their possible paths forward: The Fed sets the tone Yields on Treasurys …

The yield on a 10-year Treasury reached 5% for the 1st time since 2007. Here’s why that matters
1 year, 2 months ago

The yield on a 10-year Treasury reached 5% for the 1st time since 2007. Here’s why that matters

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — The yield on the 10-year Treasury has reached 5% for the first time since 2007. It also directly affects people around the world, because the 10-year Treasury yield is the centerpiece of the global financial system and helps set prices for all kinds of other loans and investments. The 10-year Treasury yield has been catching up to …

US bond yields rise above 5% for first time after 2007 on hawkish Fed policy
1 year, 2 months ago

US bond yields rise above 5% for first time after 2007 on hawkish Fed policy

Live Mint  

The benchmark US 10-year US Treasury bond yields rose above the 5 per cent -mark for the first time since 2007 on Monday, October 23, touching its 16-year high level after the Federal Reserve reiterated its hawkish stance to anticipate more rate hikes this year. The Euro zone government yields rose sharply on Monday as a sell-off in global bond …

A Soft Landing in the U.S. Could Be Hard for Everyone Else
1 year, 2 months ago

A Soft Landing in the U.S. Could Be Hard for Everyone Else

Live Mint  

The U.S. economy might be heading for a soft landing. Surprising strength in the U.S. economy poses a threat to the rest of the world, portending higher interest rates for longer and a stronger dollar that will weigh on other countries’ growth. Fragmentation Strong U.S. economic data, including September’s blockbuster hiring report, helped send Treasury yields to 16-year highs as …

The 10-year US Treasury note rout was not a wild aberration
1 year, 2 months ago

The 10-year US Treasury note rout was not a wild aberration

Live Mint  

The recent rout in 10-year US Treasury notes has pushed yields to their highest since 2007, with a recent bump taking them above 4.89%. Looking at past periods of monetary policy tightening, my main observation is that the 10-year yield tends to max out at—or slightly above—the Federal Reserve’s peak policy rate. One way or another, history shows that the …

2 Federal Reserve officials say spike in bond yields may allow central bank to leave rates alone
1 year, 2 months ago

2 Federal Reserve officials say spike in bond yields may allow central bank to leave rates alone

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Two Federal Reserve officials suggested Monday that the central bank may leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting in three weeks because a surge in long-term interest rates has made borrowing more expensive and could help cool inflation without further action by the Fed. Philip Jefferson, vice chair of the Fed’s board and a close ally of …

Fed leaves rates unchanged but hints at future hike
1 year, 3 months ago

Fed leaves rates unchanged but hints at future hike

The Telegraph  

The Federal Reserve has refrained from raising interest rates further from a 22-year-high, as it nears the end of its most aggressive inflation fight in decades. The decision will keep its benchmark rate at a target range of 5.25pc to 5.50pc, but Chair Jerome Powell warned it was too early to say the battle against inflation was won. He told …

Federal Reserve officials sound warnings about higher rates
1 year, 10 months ago

Federal Reserve officials sound warnings about higher rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A run of strong economic data and signs that inflation remains stubbornly high could lead the Federal Reserve to raise its benchmark rate higher in the coming months than it has previously forecast, several Fed officials say. “Recent data suggest that consumer spending isn’t slowing that much, that the labor market continues to run unsustainably hot and that …

Congressional Budget Office projects higher unemployment, slow exit from inflation
1 year, 10 months ago

Congressional Budget Office projects higher unemployment, slow exit from inflation

LA Times  

The Congressional Budget Office said Wednesday that it expects the U.S. economy to stagnate this year with the unemployment rate jumping to 5.1% — a bleak outlook that was paired with a 10-year projection that publicly held U.S. debt would nearly double to $46.4 trillion in 2033. The updated 10-year Budget and Economic Outlook outlined stark expectations for the coming …

Signals point to gentler Federal Reserve in 2023
1 year, 11 months ago

Signals point to gentler Federal Reserve in 2023

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — Easing inflation and a cooling job market are raising hopes on Wall Street that a gentler Federal Reserve is on the way in 2023. It will announce its next decision on interest rates Feb. 1, and investors are largely forecasting a rise of just 0.25 percentage points, down from December’s half-point hike and four 0.75 percentage-point hikes …

US Fed hikes rates by half percentage point, says more to come
2 years ago

US Fed hikes rates by half percentage point, says more to come

Al Jazeera  

The US central bank projected interest rates rising to 5.1 percent in 2023, higher than what investors expected. The United States central bank’s projection of the target federal funds rate rising to 5.1 percent in 2023 is slightly higher than investors expected heading into this week’s two-day policy meeting and appeared biased if anything to move higher. Only two of …

India 10-year bond yield posts steepest drop in 32 months as inflation eases
2 years, 1 month ago

India 10-year bond yield posts steepest drop in 32 months as inflation eases

Live Mint  

Indian government bond yields slid in November, with the benchmark yield posting its steepest monthly fall in 32 months, as easing domestic and U.S. inflation raised bets that the aggressive rate-hike cycle in both nations may be near its end. "Market participants are not at all worried about another 50 bps rate hike, and things changed after softer inflation reading," …

US Fed delivers big rate hikes, signals next one could be smaller
2 years, 2 months ago

US Fed delivers big rate hikes, signals next one could be smaller

Al Jazeera  

It took note of the still-evolving impact that its rapid pace of rate hikes has set in motion, saying the target range of future hikes will be ‘appropriate’. The new language in the policy statement on Wednesday took note of the still-evolving impact that the Fed’s rapid pace of rate hikes has set in motion, and a desire to hone …

US Fed hikes interest rate to highest level since 2008
2 years, 3 months ago

US Fed hikes interest rate to highest level since 2008

Al Jazeera  

Announcement sparks concern that fight to contain sky-high US inflation could tip the economy into a recession. The Fed’s move on Wednesday boosted its benchmark short-term rate, which affects many consumer and business loans, to a range of 3 percent to 3.25 percent, the highest level since early 2008. The central bank’s action followed a government report last week that …

Long-term mortgage rates now at highest point since 2008
2 years, 4 months ago

Long-term mortgage rates now at highest point since 2008

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Average long-term U.S. mortgage rates jumped again this week, hitting the highest levels in almost 14 years and pushing even more would-be buyers out of the market. That’s the highest the long-term rate has been since November of 2008, just after the housing market collapse set off the Great Recession. The Fed has raised its benchmark short-term interest …

U.S. Federal Reserve attacks inflation with its largest rate hike since 1994
2 years, 6 months ago

U.S. Federal Reserve attacks inflation with its largest rate hike since 1994

The Hindu  

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday intensified its drive to tame high inflation by raising its key interest rate by three-quarters of a point — its largest hike in nearly three decades — and signaling more large rate increases to come that would raise the risk of another recession. With the additional rate hikes they foresee, the policymakers expect their key …

US Fed Announces Biggest Interest Rate Hike Since 1994
2 years, 6 months ago

US Fed Announces Biggest Interest Rate Hike Since 1994

News 18  

The Federal Reserve announced the most aggressive interest rate increase in nearly 30 years, raising the benchmark borrowing rate by 0.75 percentage points on Wednesday as it battles against surging inflation. The Fed’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee reaffirmed that it remains “strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective” and expects to continue to raise the key …

Fed unveils largest US interest rate rise in 28 years
2 years, 6 months ago

Fed unveils largest US interest rate rise in 28 years

The Telegraph  

The US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 basis points, the first such hike since 1994. US stocks initially pared some of their day's gains following the announcement before climbing as Fed chairman Jerome Powell spoke to media, with the S&P 500 jumping 2.3pc. Speaking at a news conference Wednesday, Powell suggested that another three-quarter-point hike is possible …

US targets inflation with biggest rate hike since 1994
2 years, 6 months ago

US targets inflation with biggest rate hike since 1994

Al Jazeera  

The move raises the short-term federal funds rate, meaning most forms of borrowing will become sharply more expensive. The rate increase announced on Wednesday was the biggest by the US central bank since 1994, and was delivered after recent data showed little progress in its battle to control a sharp spike in prices. With additional rate hikes, policymakers expect their …

Fed issues biggest rate hike in 22 years
2 years, 8 months ago

Fed issues biggest rate hike in 22 years

CNN  

New York CNN Business — The Federal Reserve said Wednesday it is raising interest rates by a half-percentage point to get a handle on the worst inflation America has seen in 40 years. In his post-meeting press conference on Wednesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that additional half-percentage-point rate hikes will be on the table for the next few meetings. …

US stocks gain, Treasury yields hit multi-year highs ahead of expected rate hike
2 years, 8 months ago

US stocks gain, Treasury yields hit multi-year highs ahead of expected rate hike

Live Mint  

Wall Street recovered some lost ground on Monday and benchmark U.S. Treasury yields hit a 3-1/2-year high at the start of an eventful week of corporate earnings, economic data, and an expected interest rate hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve. All three major U.S. stock indexes were last modestly green as the 10-year Treasury yield crept closer to the 3% …

Global bonds look to Federal Reserve’s Powell after inflation surges test nerves
3 years, 5 months ago

Global bonds look to Federal Reserve’s Powell after inflation surges test nerves

Live Mint  

The global bond rally is under threat from inflation surprises, weak auctions and central banks withdrawing support. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly ceased quantitative easing in a possible prelude to a rate hike, driving yields on benchmark bonds up by as much as 11 basis points to 1.78%. Given Powell’s testimony comes “just after the very hot …

Long-term bonds hit hard after Georgia Senate runoffs
4 years ago

Long-term bonds hit hard after Georgia Senate runoffs

Live Mint  

Democratic victories in the Georgia Senate races this week have spurred investors to bet on a higher spending government that will bring growth and inflation to the U.S. economy. “Inflation expectations have been going up significantly just this week,” said William Dinning, chief investment officer of Waverton Investment Management, the U.K.-based fund manager formerly known as J.O. “There is upward …

Fading hopes of big US spending pull down yields overseas
4 years, 2 months ago

Fading hopes of big US spending pull down yields overseas

Live Mint  

The election-induced drop in Treasury yields rippled overseas, dragging down borrowing costs in Europe as investors wrote off hopes that a big U.S. spending package could give the global economy a jolt. German 10-year yields hovered around their lowest levels since March on Thursday, dropping to minus 0.657% in early trading before rebounding to minus 0.636%, slightly above Wednesday’s close, …

Yield on 10-year bond settles higher on increased government borrowing
4 years, 7 months ago

Yield on 10-year bond settles higher on increased government borrowing

Live Mint  

MUMBAI: The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond surged on Monday following the government's announcement of higher borrowing for the current fiscal amid the pandemic-induced lockdown. The 10-year bond yield rose 20 basis points, the biggest jump since 8 February 2017, to close at 6.167% on Monday. Many dealers expect bonds yields to rise by another 10-15 basis points if …

Opinion | The world could be staring at a long era of deflation
5 years, 3 months ago

Opinion | The world could be staring at a long era of deflation

Live Mint  

There are three games of chicken currently in play in the US. The second is associated with US President Donald Trump’s constant dissatisfaction with the US Federal Reserve on the need to cut real interest rates more aggressively, though a rate cut happened last quarter and another seems in sight. The third, which seems more perplexing, is the Fed’s internal …

Dollar falls amid declining US Treasury yields
5 years, 4 months ago

Dollar falls amid declining US Treasury yields

India TV News  

The dollar decreased on Tuesday, as long-term US Treasury yields retreated again, raising worries over potential economic slowdown. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, decreased 0.17 per cent at 98.1849 in late trading, the Xinhua news agency reported. The long-dated US Treasury notes saw their yields pull back on Tuesday, while the benchmark 3-month Treasury …

US budget deficit running 15% higher than a year ago
5 years, 8 months ago

US budget deficit running 15% higher than a year ago

Daily Mail  

The federal government reported a $146.9billion deficit in March, causing annual debt to rise 15 per cent for the first half of the budget year compared to the same period in 2018. The Treasury Department said Wednesday in its monthly report that the fiscal year deficit has so far totaled $691billion, up from nearly $600bn in 2018. The federal government …

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