Post Article 370, Pakistan facing policy crises on Kashmir; creating unrest in Valley to internationalise issue Islamabad's last arrow
FirstpostPakistan wants to do something spectacular to pump oxygen into the Kashmir issue that is fast becoming redundant due to fatigue and, also, losing legitimacy, with its sharp turn towards Islamic State-styled caliphate jihadism New Delhi’s Kashmir move dealt a massive blow to Pakistan’s sabotage-machinery-strategy, key actors, and the long-term plans. Hence, it wants to do something spectacular to pump oxygen into the Kashmir issue that is fast becoming redundant due to fatigue and, also, losing legitimacy, with its sharp turn towards Islamic State-styled caliphate jihadism. Hence, Pakistan’s future Kashmir strategy will primarily be motivated by the objective of internationalising the Kashmir issue to pressurise India by an embarrassment in global platforms. As per the informed sources in the intelligence apparatus of India, the open sources and the author’s interaction with some former militants, in future, Pakistan-supported terror groups are likely to: - Engage a high-value target, ie, by either kidnapping a high-profile target or executing its assassination - Stage a hostage crisis in a high-profile government installation - Carry out fidayeen attacks on civil and security installations and the convoys of the security forces - Kill non-Kashmiri civilians, mostly non-local labourers, students and entrepreneurs who are willing to invest in the state - Execute a significant terror attack in prominent metro cities of India - A revival of militancy likely in Kashmir, Srinagar and North Kashmir - Strong likelihood of creating a united front of Khalistan in Punjab and Kashmir resistance front, not only in militancy but also in global diplomatic platforms - Carry out random grenade attacks and immolate schools to strike fear and compel the people to continue the strike and keep the markets shut so that there is no return of normalcy and simmering discontentment reigns, even though if it’s artificial - Revive militancy using the communal fault-lines in the Doda-Kishtwar region of Jammu and Kashmir, once the hotbed of militancy.