Wednesday’s other central bank meeting might be the one to watch
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Wednesday’s other central bank meeting might be the one to watch

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All eyes will rightly be on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision Wednesday. There is a 41% probability that the Bank of Japan could raise rates by 0.15 percentage point, inferred from pricing of overnight indexed swaps, according to Bank of America. At the meeting this Wednesday, the Bank of Japan is also expected to outline plans to unwind its portfolio of $3.8 trillion in Japanese government bonds, likely giving a further boost to long-term rates. Japan’s 10-year government bond yields have gone up 0.44 percentage point to around 1.06% this year as investors expected higher rates. The Bank of Japan will likely be more cautious going in the opposite direction: A sharply higher yen could be punishing to exporters, and policymakers in Japan live in perpetual fear of returning to deflation.

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