Will Indian rupee fall more due to Trump's reciprocal tariffs?
1 month ago

Will Indian rupee fall more due to Trump's reciprocal tariffs?

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While India’s high-tariff rate puts it at the risk of facing reciprocal tariffs, the outcome is not yet clear as implementation will likely be a multi-step process over several quarters, involving negotiations and counter-tariffs Reciprocal US trade tariffs proposed by President Donald Trump are unlikely to have a significant negative bearing on the rupee, the head of global foreign exchange at Jefferies said. Last week, Trump unveiled plans to levy reciprocal tariffs on all countries that have tariffs on US goods or set up non-tariff barriers to limit US access to their markets. “We had far bigger tariffs implemented on China, and there was very little impact.” India charged a weighted average tariff of about 11 per cent in 2023, around 8.2 percentage points higher than US tariffs on Indian exports, according to estimates from Citi. While India’s high-tariff rate puts it at the risk of facing reciprocal tariffs, Bechtel said the outcome is not yet clear as implementation will likely be a multi-step process over several quarters, involving negotiations and counter-tariffs.

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