India aims to improve weather forecasting accuracy by 10-15% in next 5 years, says IMD chief
18 hours, 40 minutes ago

India aims to improve weather forecasting accuracy by 10-15% in next 5 years, says IMD chief

Live Mint  

New Delhi: India aims to improve its weather forecasting accuracy by 10-15% in the next five years by installing more radars and observational systems, India Meteorological Department director general Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said on Tuesday. India will have tailor-made weather forecasts and early warnings by 2047, Mohapatra said, amid efforts by all countries to cope with the effects of extreme weather conditions on lives, livelihoods and economies caused by climate change. The IMD vision document details the roadmap for India’s weather monitoring for the next two decades and said India has been striving to improve its technology and forecasts not just for itself but also to provide key updates to its neighbours during disasters. The Vision 2047 document brings out the status of various components of weather and climate monitoring and forecasting systems and the achievements during the past ten years.

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History of this topic

IMD weather predictions helping govt. prevent loss of lives to a large extent, says official
3 weeks, 4 days ago

IMD weather predictions helping govt. prevent loss of lives to a large extent, says official

The Hindu  

The State government was able to prevent loss of lives to a large extent, thanks to the alerts and predictions about very heavy rainfall being provided by the India Meteorological Department, Amaravati, said Revenue Special Chief Secretary R.P. Speaking as the chief guest at the stakeholders’ meet on IMD’s weather and climate services for Andhra Pradesh, held to commemorate 150 …

IMD Workshop Underscores Need for Accurate Weather Forecasts
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

IMD Workshop Underscores Need for Accurate Weather Forecasts

Deccan Chronicle  

Hyderabad: Hyderabad’s rapid urbanisation and shifting climate patterns make precise weather forecast indispensable for effective disaster management, said HYDRAA commissioner A.V. Dr Naga Ratna presented a detailed account of IMD Hyderabad’s contributions, emphasising its role in hyper-local weather forecasting for Telangana. “IMD’s work is central to building resilient communities and mitigating the impacts of climate change,” said Dr. Mohapatra. The …

IMD Alert! Dense fog, heavy rain predicted in Punjab, Haryana, Tamil Nadu, Kerala till 25 Nov– See full weather forecast
1 month, 3 weeks ago

IMD Alert! Dense fog, heavy rain predicted in Punjab, Haryana, Tamil Nadu, Kerala till 25 Nov– See full weather forecast

Live Mint  

IMD Alert: The Indian Meteorological Department has forecast dense fog in Punjab, Haryana, and Chandigarh from November 22 to 25, and in Himachal Pradesh from November 23 to 25. The forecast notes that very heavy rainfall will plague states like Assam, Meghalaya, Tamil Nadu, Kerala till 25 November Moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm and lightning very likely over Tamil Nadu, …

India to have 56 new Doppler weather radars soon, says Ministry of Earth Sciences
3 months, 4 weeks ago

India to have 56 new Doppler weather radars soon, says Ministry of Earth Sciences

The Hindu  

Union Ministry of Earth Sciences Secretary M. Ravichandran revealed that the country is expected to have 56 additional Doppler weather radars in the next few years. The MoES has also developed various Apps to bring weather forecast at the fingertips of general public and farmers in particular. Meanwhile, India Meteorological Department MD Director General M. Mohapatra said that Mission Mausam …

Union Cabinet approves 'Mission Mausam' to provide highly accurate and timely weather information
4 months ago

Union Cabinet approves 'Mission Mausam' to provide highly accurate and timely weather information

Op India  

The Union Cabinet has approved a programme called ‘Mission Mausam’ to create “a more weather-ready and climate-smart Bharat” with an outlay of Rs.2,000 crore over two years The mission’s focus will include improving observations and understanding for providing highly accurate and timely weather and climate information across temporal and spatial scales, including monsoon forecasts, alerts for air quality, extreme weather …

Centre puts out 'fact copies' of IMD alerts in Parliament amid row over Shah's 'early warning system' remark
5 months, 1 week ago

Centre puts out 'fact copies' of IMD alerts in Parliament amid row over Shah's 'early warning system' remark

India TV News  

Amid row over Union Home Minister Amit Shah’s ‘early warning system’ statement in the Parliament in connection with the Wayanad landslide that claimed several lives, Minister of State for Home Affairs Nityanand Rai on Friday provided additional facts to both Houses on the incident considering the discussion held during the Calling Attention Motion in Lok Sabha on July 31. During …

Infra adds to IMD’s forecast woes
6 months, 1 week ago

Infra adds to IMD’s forecast woes

Hindustan Times  

On June 28, Delhi encountered, without warning, a record-breaking spell of rain that led to an absolute collapse of infrastructure in the city. Days later, however, IMD officials said that the intense spell of rain was “impossible to forecast”, as it rained down over a highly confined spatial area at Safdarjung. Misses, misses and more misses Ever since the monsoon …

Climate change to intensify heatwave in India: Scientists
7 months, 4 weeks ago

Climate change to intensify heatwave in India: Scientists

Hindustan Times  

The intense heat likely to hit India over the next few days will be exacerbated by climate change, according to a research group. A man takes shelter under an umbrella from the scorching sun on a hot summer afternoon in New Delhi The northwestern region of the country, including the capital Delhi, is expected to record temperatures that could exceed …

IMD predicts early arrival of monsoon
8 months ago

IMD predicts early arrival of monsoon

Hindustan Times  

The southwest monsoon is likely to advance into the south Andaman Sea, some parts of the southeast Bay of Bengal and the Nicobar islands around May 19, ahead of its normal onset date of May 22, the IMD said on Monday. Monsoon rainfall over the country between June to September is likely to be “above normal” at 106% of the …

IMD aims to provide panchayat level forecast in the next few years in Tamil Nadu
8 months, 2 weeks ago

IMD aims to provide panchayat level forecast in the next few years in Tamil Nadu

The Hindu  

India Meteorological Department will provide panchayat level weather forecasts in the next few years to ensure better coverage and accuracy. M. Ravichandran, secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences, said that at present IMD gives district level forecasts, and it is looking to expand its coverage to the panchayat level with enhanced observational network and high-resolution computational model. M.Mohapatra, Director General of …

IMD weather updates: Heatwave alerts, rain predictions for these states
8 months, 4 weeks ago

IMD weather updates: Heatwave alerts, rain predictions for these states

Hindustan Times  

The India Meteorological Department has issued a heatwave alert for multiple states till April 20 warning the people of soaring high temperatures this entire week. IMD issues heatwave warning in multiple states In its latest forecast, IMD said that heatwave conditions are likely to prevail over parts of Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Konkan, Saurashtra and Kutch, coastal Andhra Pradesh and …

India to receive above-normal monsoon rains: IMD
9 months ago

India to receive above-normal monsoon rains: IMD

The Hindu  

While several States reel under heatwaves, the India Meteorological Department has forecast a bountiful monsoon for the year. Last year, El Nino – a warming of the Central Pacific and usually linked to diminished rainfall in India – dented India’s monsoon by 6%. This year, the El Nino has not yet fully faded but is expected to do so by …

IMD warns of intense heat conditions across India during Lok Sabha polls | Top updates
9 months, 1 week ago

IMD warns of intense heat conditions across India during Lok Sabha polls | Top updates

Hindustan Times  

The India Meteorological Department on Sunday cautioned against heatwave conditions forming over Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Telangana on April 7 and 8. Heat wave conditions likely to continue to prevail over parts of peninsular India during next 2 days and abate thereafter.” IMD said on Saturday that the most affected areas include Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Vidarbha, …

Weather today: IMD predicts rain with thunderstorm in THESE states; above normal temperatures in South Indian states
9 months, 4 weeks ago

Weather today: IMD predicts rain with thunderstorm in THESE states; above normal temperatures in South Indian states

Live Mint  

Weather update today: The India Meteorological Department's has predicted rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm and lightning over East and Central India today i.e. IMD rainfall/hailstorm prediction -As per the weather office, scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with isolated thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds has been predicted over Gangetic West Bengal during 16-20 March. -IMD has also predicted isolated to scattered light …

Weather Update: IMD predicts rainfall in THESE states today. Check details
10 months, 2 weeks ago

Weather Update: IMD predicts rainfall in THESE states today. Check details

Live Mint  

The India Meteorological Department has predicted rainfall in several states of Central India on Tuesday. A Met department spokesperson told PTI that several parts of Rajasthan, including Jodhpur, Ajmer, Kota and Jaipur, will likely receive light rain at isolated places in the next 48 hours due to a new western disturbance, on Monday. “There is a possibility of the formation …

India set to transition to hyperlocal extreme weather forecasting
11 months ago

India set to transition to hyperlocal extreme weather forecasting

The Hindu  

Weather forecasting plays a pivotal role in the country’s functioning. Under this programme, more than 200,000 ground stations will be installed, which can help tremendously in enhancing weather data utilisation and thus in improving weather predictions and decision making. Thanks to the Make in India initiatives, however, many Indian companies have started to manufacture low-cost and highly reliable sensor-based air …

Data fine, interpretation faulty: Why IMD gets forecasts wrong
1 year ago

Data fine, interpretation faulty: Why IMD gets forecasts wrong

Hindustan Times  

On January 7, in its three-day forecast, the India Meteorological Department warned of “moderate rainfall across central and northwest India” on January 8 and 9 and issued an orange alert for Haryana, Punjab, Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, and parts of Rajasthan, predicting rain and thunderstorms in parts of these states. M Rajeevan, former secretary of the ministry of earth sciences, explained …

India boosts AI in weather forecasts as floods, droughts increase
1 year ago

India boosts AI in weather forecasts as floods, droughts increase

The Hindu  

India is testing artificial intelligence to build climate models to improve weather forecasting as torrential rains, floods and droughts proliferate across the vast country, a top weather official said. Weather agencies around the world are focussing on AI, which can bring down cost and improve speed, and which Britain's Met Office says could "revolutionise" weather forecasting, with a recent Google-funded …

IMD to experiment with AI as alternative to supercomputers in weather forecasts
1 year ago

IMD to experiment with AI as alternative to supercomputers in weather forecasts

Hindustan Times  

The Indian Meteorological Department is experimenting with artificial intelligence to enhance climate models for better weather forecasting. AI to enhance forecast at lower cost According to KS Hosalikar, head of climate research and services at IMD, AI-based climate models and advisories being developed will enhance forecasts. AI models for weather forecasts DeepMind, a part of Google, has created an AI …

Weather update: IMD predicts milder winter from December 2023 to February 2024 in India
1 year, 1 month ago

Weather update: IMD predicts milder winter from December 2023 to February 2024 in India

India TV News  

Weather update: The India Meteorological Department has predicted a milder winter for the country from December 2023 to February 2024. In a statement, the IMD said that during the upcoming winter season, above normal maximum temperatures are likely over most parts of the country except some areas over central and northwest India where normal to below normal maximum temperatures are …

IMD planning weather forecasts all over India based on PIN code: Chief Mrutyunjay Mohapatra
1 year, 5 months ago

IMD planning weather forecasts all over India based on PIN code: Chief Mrutyunjay Mohapatra

India Today  

With the rain fury wreaking havoc in north India, the spotlight has turned on the India Meteorological Department, the country’s principal weather forecasting agency. Mohapatra, whose accuracy in cyclone forecast earned him the title ‘cyclone man of India’, picks up his pencil, drawing and correcting the lines wherever needed. “Weather forecast is a 24-hour job,” he says, before elucidating a …

Explained: As rain fury continues in North India, did IMD's forecasting fail?
1 year, 6 months ago

Explained: As rain fury continues in North India, did IMD's forecasting fail?

Firstpost  

North India has been ravaged by heavy rain – over 100 people have died, roads have washed away, and bridges have collapsed. Rain fury in the North North India is still reeling from the torrential rainfall that has lashed the area since the weekend. Himachal Pradesh’s chief minister Sukhvinder Singh Sukhu also tweeted earlier, “Nature’s fury has tragically claimed the …

Cyclone Biparjoy was forecast very well – but can forecasts be improved?
1 year, 6 months ago

Cyclone Biparjoy was forecast very well – but can forecasts be improved?

The Hindu  

Cyclone Biparjoy is still alive and will continue its trek northeastward, bringing some welcome rain to regions sweltering in the summer heat. India deserves the kudos it has received from across the world for its cyclone forecasts and cyclone disaster management thus far. Indeed, the IMD runs multiple forecast models day and night to obtain cyclone forecasts that are better …

IMD retains its normal outlook for monsoon
1 year, 7 months ago

IMD retains its normal outlook for monsoon

The Hindu  

The India Meteorological Department has kept its forecast of normal rainfall from June-September this year, unchanged from its prediction in April. At 96% of the Long Period Average of 87 cm, this is at the lowest end of what is considered ‘normal.’ The chances of an El Nino forming are near certain, and this will likely mean that rainfall levels …

Explained | Global warming will likely soon cross 1.5º C. What will it mean for India?
1 year, 7 months ago

Explained | Global warming will likely soon cross 1.5º C. What will it mean for India?

The Hindu  

The World Meteorological Organization has just predicted that there is a greater than 66% probability that at least one of the years from 2023 to 2027 will witness a global mean surface temperature rise of 1.5o C above the average in the years 1850-1900. To do this, we must first understand how these multi-year forecasts are different from the much …

Warming warning: The Hindu Editorial on the World Meteorological Organization projections for temperature trends
1 year, 7 months ago

Warming warning: The Hindu Editorial on the World Meteorological Organization projections for temperature trends

The Hindu  

The World Meteorological Organization has issued its annual update on its projections for temperature trends in the next decade. The annual mean global near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is likely to be 1.1°-1.8°C higher than the average from 1850-1900. There is a 66% chance that the global near-surface temperature will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, in …

Monsoon 2023: Mumbaikers to get weather updates on mobile phones during rainy season this year
1 year, 7 months ago

Monsoon 2023: Mumbaikers to get weather updates on mobile phones during rainy season this year

India TV News  

Monsoon 2023: The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation said that people in Mumbai will receive weather updates on their mobile phones through SMSes during monsoon this year. Meanwhile, India Meteorological Department stated that the onset of monsoon over Kerala is likely to be delayed this year, predicting its arrival on June 4, four days after the normal date predicted on June 1. …

DC Edit | Monsoon: Be ready for worst
1 year, 9 months ago

DC Edit | Monsoon: Be ready for worst

Deccan Chronicle  

Monsoon forecasting is not mere crystal ball gazing even if hindsight delivers might uphold the belief that any guess is as good as the other. The greatest unpredictability that spoils the forecasters’ measured and well meaning study of several parameters is that of extreme weather, instances of this new pattern markedly rising due to climate change caused by global warming. …

Temperature to rise, thunderstorms in these states, predicts IMD
1 year, 9 months ago

Temperature to rise, thunderstorms in these states, predicts IMD

Hindustan Times  

The average temperature over most parts of India is projected to rise by 2 to 4 degree Celsius over the next five days, the India Meteorological Department said on Saturday. "Gradual rise in maximum temperature by 2-4 degrees Celsius over most parts of the country during next 5 days," the IMD said. A significantly higher number of heatwave days are …

Rise in temperature in next 5 days, predicts IMD
1 year, 9 months ago

Rise in temperature in next 5 days, predicts IMD

India TV News  

Weather Updates: India can witness a major change in the weather in the next 5 days as the India Meteorological Department predicted a rise in temperature over most parts of India. Under the influence of above synoptic features, IMD predicted below-mentioned weather condition: West India: Light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Maharashtra during 08th-09th April. South …

Summer resolution: On the IMD’s heat wave forecasts
1 year, 9 months ago

Summer resolution: On the IMD’s heat wave forecasts

The Hindu  

It is not exactly surprising when the India Meteorological Department says that the summer months will be searingly hot. Last week, it proclaimed that most parts of the country are expected to experience above normal maximum temperatures during the “hot weather season”, barring parts of peninsular and northwest India, which would see normal or even below normal ‘maximum’ temperatures. ‘Above …

Early warning for heatwaves sees huge improvement
2 years, 3 months ago

Early warning for heatwaves sees huge improvement

The Hindu  

A heatwave is a period of unusually hot weather with above normal temperatures that typically last three or more days. Under the National Monsoon Mission, the Ministry of Earth Sciences had established an advanced prediction system for early warnings of heatwaves. Improved prediction In another recent study published in the International Journal of Climatology of the Royal Meteorological Society last …

Weather Forecast: IMD issues alert for heavy monsoon rain in these states
2 years, 3 months ago

Weather Forecast: IMD issues alert for heavy monsoon rain in these states

Firstpost  

The Monsoon 2022 has withdrawn from many states, but it is still raining in many states due to the south-west monsoon. The India Meteorological Department has forecast monsoon rain in some places today Weather Update: Dussehra has also passed but still the Monsoon 2022 is in full swing in many regions of India. Today, many neighboring states including West Bengal, …

Weather Forecast: These states will have heavy monsoon rain today
2 years, 3 months ago

Weather Forecast: These states will have heavy monsoon rain today

Firstpost  

The India Meteorological Department has issued an alert of heavy rain in many states today. The IMD has predicted heavy rainfall in several states including West Bengal, Odisha and Jharkhand for the next one or two days Weather Update: The Monsoon 2022 is slowly about to depart, but in many parts of the country, the weather pattern has changed for …

Weather Update: Heavy monsoon rain forecast for these states today
2 years, 3 months ago

Weather Update: Heavy monsoon rain forecast for these states today

Firstpost  

The IMD has expressed the possibility of heavy rains in many states including West Bengal, Odisha and Jharkhand for the next two to three days due to Monsoon 2022 Weather Forecast: This year’s Monsoon is slowly going away. The IMD has expressed the possibility of heavy rains in many states including West Bengal, Odisha and Jharkhand for the next two …

Climate change is making weather forecast difficult, admits IMD DG
2 years, 5 months ago

Climate change is making weather forecast difficult, admits IMD DG

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Climate change has hampered the ability of the forecasting agencies to accurately predict severe events and weather bureaus across the world are focusing on augmenting the observational network density and the weather prediction modelling to improve predictability, India Meteorological Department director general Mrutyunjay Mohapatra has said. “Climate change has increased the instability in the atmosphere, leading to an …

The Business of Weather Forecasting is Heating Up in India And A Moody Monsoon Could be the Catalyst
2 years, 7 months ago

The Business of Weather Forecasting is Heating Up in India And A Moody Monsoon Could be the Catalyst

News 18  

Earlier this month, when the India Meteorological Department declared an early arrival of the southwest monsoon, there was an obvious sense of relief. So, if the private forecasters can complement it, rather than compete, it will probably help to meet the common goal of ensuring that the weather forecast reaches the last mile.” The senior scientist was also quick to …

A normal monsoon is crucial this year
2 years, 8 months ago

A normal monsoon is crucial this year

Hindustan Times  

Last week, India heaved a sigh of relief when the India Meteorological Department predicted a normal monsoon. This means that while the rainfall would be “normal”, India may well get less rain than it used to a decade ago. A good monsoon ensures sufficient yield in agriculture, and half of all Indians depend on farm-derived income; it replenishes 100 large …

Time for change: The Hindu Editorial on IMD’s 2022 monsoon forecast
2 years, 8 months ago

Time for change: The Hindu Editorial on IMD’s 2022 monsoon forecast

The Hindu  

The India Meteorological Department has forecast a ‘normal’ monsoon for this year, or 99% of the Long Period Average of 87 cm. However, another ocean parameter called the Indian Ocean Dipole, the positive phase of which is associated with good rains, has also been forecast to be ‘neutral’ or unhelpful for the monsoon. While on the surface, it might look …

IMD collecting high-resolution exposure data to predict impact of extreme weather in Delhi-NCR
3 years, 4 months ago

IMD collecting high-resolution exposure data to predict impact of extreme weather in Delhi-NCR

India Today  

The India Meteorological Department is collecting high-resolution exposure data, including information about roads, topography and social-economic condition of people, for Delhi-NCR to be able to predict the impact of extreme weather events precisely. The high-resolution exposure data includes information related to land use, land cover, housing, the economical capacity of people to cope with the situation. At present, the IMD …

Decoded | Weather forecasting in India and why it often goes wrong
3 years, 6 months ago

Decoded | Weather forecasting in India and why it often goes wrong

India Today  

The Indian Meteorological Department, the nodal agency that tracks weather developments across India, has been facing the brunt of wrong predictions one after another as the monsoon season advances at its own pace. “Failure by numerical models in prediction of monsoon advance over Delhi is rare and uncommon,” IMD said after the city continued to wait for monsoon showers as …

Rare and uncommon: IMD on inaccurate forecast for monsoon in Delhi
3 years, 6 months ago

Rare and uncommon: IMD on inaccurate forecast for monsoon in Delhi

India Today  

The India Meteorological Department on Monday issued a clarification on the department’s inaccurate forecast on arrival of monsoon in Delhi. However, on June 14, due to the interaction of easterly winds with westerlies, further advance of monsoon into remaining parts of northwest India including Delhi was not expected. Since June 20, the weather department regularly issued press releases indicating delays …

IMD's faulty forecast for North India: Wrong signals by models, difficulty in predicting wind patterns
3 years, 6 months ago

IMD's faulty forecast for North India: Wrong signals by models, difficulty in predicting wind patterns

India Today  

Wrong signals by models, difficulty in predicting the outcomes of the interactions between the easterly and westerly winds were some of the major reasons behind the India Meteorological Department's monsoon forecast for parts of north India going haywire, experts pointed out as any relief from the oppressive heat eludes the region. Read | Moist easterly winds likely to bring rain …

IMD’s string of wrong monsoon forecasts for Delhi
3 years, 6 months ago

IMD’s string of wrong monsoon forecasts for Delhi

Hindustan Times  

Since Friday, residents of the national capital have waited with bated breath for rain. While Met officials argued that some “volatile” and unforeseen weather conditions unique to northwest India this year led to these inaccuracies, independent experts said such patterns are not unusual, and said IMD should be in a position to come up with more precise predictions. The forecast …

‘Good Agriculture Output’ As IMD Predicts Normal Monsoon This Year
3 years, 8 months ago

‘Good Agriculture Output’ As IMD Predicts Normal Monsoon This Year

ABP News  

New Delhi: In what comes as good news for the Indian economy and in particular agriculture presently going through a turbulent period against the backdrop of surge in Covid-19 cases, the India Meteorological Department on Friday said the southwest monsoon, which brings about 70 percent of the nation’s annual rainfall, will be normal this year. Union Ministry of Earth Sciences …

IMD predicts more rain, thunderstorm, hailstorm in north India till Tuesday
4 years ago

IMD predicts more rain, thunderstorm, hailstorm in north India till Tuesday

India TV News  

The India Meteorological Department on Sunday predicted an intense wet spell till Tuesday, with a fairly widespread precipitation accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and hailstorm at isolated places. According to the weather agency, the activities will peak on Sunday over the plains including Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, west Uttar Pradesh, north Rajasthan and on Monday over the western Himalayan region. Post …

IMD Plans to Use Artificial Intelligence in Weather Forecasts to Improve Prediction of Extreme Events
4 years, 5 months ago

IMD Plans to Use Artificial Intelligence in Weather Forecasts to Improve Prediction of Extreme Events

News 18  

The India Meteorological Department is planning to use artificial intelligence in weather forecasting, especially for issuing nowcasts, which can help improve 3-6 hours prediction of extreme weather events, its Director General Mrutunjay Mohapatra said on Sunday. The IMD has invited research groups who can study how artificial intelligence be used for improving weather forecasting and the Ministry of Earth Sciences …

Monsoon bounty: On IMD's weather forecasts
4 years, 7 months ago

Monsoon bounty: On IMD's weather forecasts

The Hindu  

The monsoon has finally set in over Kerala in keeping with the textbook date of June 1. A private meteorological company had, however, forecast an early monsoon arrival — on May 28 — because its models seem to suggest diminished impact of Amphan. But last week, the IMD updated its onset forecast to say that ‘favourable conditions’ for the monsoon …

A season of change: The Hindu Editorial on the India Meteorological Department’s forecast system
4 years, 8 months ago

A season of change: The Hindu Editorial on the India Meteorological Department’s forecast system

The Hindu  

In the season of the abnormal, the IMD has announced that the monsoon this year would likely be normal. The IMD’s April forecast, experience suggests, is not much to go by especially if the agency declares it ‘normal’ as rarely, if ever, do weather models catch signs of an impending shortfall or a large excess in April. In April last …

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