
Vivek Kaul: The ‘fallacy of composition’ has left equity fund investors reeling
Live MintEconomist John Maynard Keynes came up with the concept of ‘the paradox of thrift.’ It’s an excellent example of the fallacy of composition, where the whole differs from the sum of its parts—a situation where what’s good at an individual level may not be so at a systemic macro level. As Justyn Walsh writes in Investing with Keynes: “Keynes’ most famous example of the ‘fallacy of composition’ was the so-called Paradox of Thrift–which notes that saving is good for the individual, but if all individuals increase their savings then aggregate demand will fall, eventually leading to lower savings for the population as a whole." In India’s case, much of the stock market rally between April 2021 and September 2024, when prices peaked, was driven by retail investors, particularly those investing in equity mutual funds through the systematic investment plan route. Indeed, that’s the kind of money that must have been invested in equity MFs through SIPs, of which a large amount would have been in Indian stocks.
History of this topic

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Vivek Kaul: Will monthly SIP investors in Indian stocks keep calm and carry on?
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