Government borrowing binge undermining faith in OBR forecasts, says IFS
The TelegraphToo much government borrowing is undermining faith in official economic forecasts, the Institute for Fiscal Studies has warned. The think tank said a raft of unexpected and expensive policies rolled out by recent Chancellors had led to a surge in the size of the state and fuelled Britain’s deficit, while also making forecasts less accurate. The result is a “ratchet” of higher borrowing and a larger state, the economists said, as they predicted a further hike in the deficit beyond recent forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility. The IFS said: “Government borrowing in 2027–28 should be 1.4pc of GDP higher than under the OBR’s central forecast.” If Chancellors had responded equally to good and bad news on finances, debt at the start of the pandemic could have been as much as 11pc lower than it is now, the IFS said.