Coronavirus Outbreak: Govt’s economic stimulus package won't stop GDP from contracting in FY21, say analysts
FirstpostThe government’s reform moves and stimulus package will only help the deeply-impacted growth process in the medium term of over three years and will not push up the GDP in the short term, analysts at two foreign brokerages said on Monday Mumbai: The government’s reform moves and stimulus package will only help the deeply-impacted growth process in the medium term of over three years and will not push up the GDP in the short term, analysts at two foreign brokerages said on Monday. The analysts at Bank of America and Nomura maintained their earlier GDP estimates suggesting a contraction of 0.1 percent and 5 percent, respectively, for FY21 even after the announcement of the Rs 20 lakh crore economic package. “The package may fall short of mitigating the near-term challenges for some businesses, but it is better designed to improve India’s medium-term growth potential and attract long-term risk capital,” analysts at the Japanese brokerage Nomura said. Maintaining its 5 percent contraction estimate, Nomura said the government has aimed for “maximum bang for the minimum buck” as most of the relief is either regulatory in nature or reflected in its contingent liabilities, rather than explicit budgetary support.