Impetus to growth will recover more this year
China DailyThe gradual waning of COVID-19 in China last year, the normalization of the country's unconventional fiscal and monetary policies, the adjustment of its development strategies, and the rise of new growth drivers will become the most essential forces deciding the nation's economic operations this year. The country's real GDP growth rate for the full year will be significantly higher than that before the pandemic, and the growth may slow down quarter by quarter. During the first three quarters of last year, such policies increased the real GDP growth rate by 3.5 percentage points, the real consumption growth rate by 1.9 percentage points, and the actual investment growth rate by 6 to 20 percentage points. According to our estimate, if the suite of expansionary policies take full effect, China's nominal GDP will increase by 7.1 trillion yuan year-on-year in 2020, and the nominal GDP growth rate will be 7.2 percentage points higher than the previous year.