A sharp rise in a single economic indicator could be curtains for the chancellor
2 days, 4 hours ago

A sharp rise in a single economic indicator could be curtains for the chancellor

The Independent  

Could Wednesday’s inflation data be the end of the chancellor? Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s tax, spending and especially borrowing plans are coming under increasing threat from the sharp rise in borrowing costs, caused by a severe bout of distemper on the bond markets that Britain relies on to fund its debt, and thus keep the show on the road. But a widely anticipated move at the end of the February meeting of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee is still very much dependent on inflation behaving itself. With the exception of the redoubtable interest rate dove Swati Dhingra, there won’t be much dissent on the MPC if inflation starts heading northwards at an unexpectedly rapid rate, because the primary goal of the MPC is maintaining price stability. They won’t do that if the word “stagflation” – high inflation/interest rates, but little or no growth – hangs around like an uninvited guest with a severe case of halitosis.

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History of this topic

Watch live: Keir Starmer faces grilling from Kemi Badenoch in Commons after surprise inflation fall
7 hours, 52 minutes ago

Watch live: Keir Starmer faces grilling from Kemi Badenoch in Commons after surprise inflation fall

The Independent  

Sign up for the View from Westminster email for expert analysis straight to your inbox Get our free View from Westminster email Get our free View from Westminster email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Watch live as Sir Keir Starmer faces Kemi Badenoch at Prime …

Relief in the City: the new inflation rate means the BoE could cut rates as soon as next month
Trending News
7 hours, 54 minutes ago

Relief in the City: the new inflation rate means the BoE could cut rates as soon as next month

The Independent  

Luck has not been with Rachel Reeves. Prices rose by 2.5 per cent in the year to December, above the Bank of England’s 2 per cent target for the Consumer Prices Index but a shade lower than the previous month’s result – and certainly below the expectations of most economists. Better still was the surprisingly sharp fall in the rate …

Surprise inflation dip provides ‘respite’ for Chancellor amid market turmoil
10 hours, 51 minutes ago

Surprise inflation dip provides ‘respite’ for Chancellor amid market turmoil

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK inflation unexpectedly fell last …

Bank of England warns of ‘heightened uncertainty’ as it keeps interest rates on hold
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Bank of England warns of ‘heightened uncertainty’ as it keeps interest rates on hold

Associated Press  

LONDON — The U.K.’s central bank warned Thursday of “heightened uncertainty” as it kept interest rates on hold after inflation moved further above target, even at a time when the British economy is flatlining at best. The Bank of England’s nine-member Monetary Policy Committee kept its main interest rate unchanged at 4.75% with new data showing inflation rising to 2.6%, …

Interest rates live updates: Bank of England verdict due after surprise inflation rise
Top News
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Interest rates live updates: Bank of England verdict due after surprise inflation rise

The Independent  

Chancellor of the exchequer Rachel Reeves said the figures are a ‘reminder that for too long the economy has not worked for working people For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN …

Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold TODAY despite UK economy stalling after Labour's Budget raid - with fears over resurgent inflation
Top News
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold TODAY despite UK economy stalling after Labour's Budget raid - with fears over resurgent inflation

Daily Mail  

The Bank of England is set to keep interest rates on hold today despite mounting alarm at the stalling economy. Interest rates, which influence how much banks charge for loans and mortgages, are used as a tool by the central bank to keep inflation at its 2 per cent target level. Rob Wood, chief UK economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, said: …

UK interest rates set to be held at 4.75% after inflation rises again
3 weeks, 6 days ago

UK interest rates set to be held at 4.75% after inflation rises again

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK interest rates are expected …

What does rising inflation mean for you - and has it killed off a Bank of England interest rate cut?
4 weeks ago

What does rising inflation mean for you - and has it killed off a Bank of England interest rate cut?

Daily Mail  

Inflation in the UK climbed to 2.6 per cent in November, it was revealed today, as the rise in the cost of living accelerated again. James Smith, developed markets economist, UK, at ING, said: 'Our base case is for back-to-back to rate cuts from February onwards, with Bank Rate falling to 3.25 per cent later in the year. While services …

U.K. Inflation rises further above Bank of England's target in November
4 weeks ago

U.K. Inflation rises further above Bank of England's target in November

The Hindu  

Inflation in the U.K. has risen to its highest level since March, driven by an increase in fuel prices last month, official figures showed on Wednesday. Rate-setters had anticipated a pick-up in inflation when the central bank last cut rates in early November as price pressures eased earlier in the year — in September, inflation had fallen to its lowest …

UK inflation increase solidifies expectations interest rates will be kept on hold
4 weeks ago

UK inflation increase solidifies expectations interest rates will be kept on hold

Associated Press  

LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. rose to its highest level in eight months during November, official figures showed Wednesday, a development that has cemented market expectations that the Bank of England will opt against cutting borrowing costs this week. It said stubbornly high inflation in the crucial services sector, which accounts for around 80% of the U.K. economy, and …

Inflation rises AGAIN to its highest level since March: Price rises hit 2.6 per cent driven by spikes in the cost of petrol and fags to increase pressure on Chancellor Rachel Reeves
Trending News
4 weeks ago

Inflation rises AGAIN to its highest level since March: Price rises hit 2.6 per cent driven by spikes in the cost of petrol and fags to increase pressure on Chancellor Rachel Reeves

Daily Mail  

Inflation rose for the second month in a row in November, hitting 2.6 per cent to further increase pressure on Labour Chancellor Rachel Reeves over her Budget's impact on the country. Spikes in petrol and tobacco prices drove CPI to 2.6 per cent, up from 2.3 per cent in October, the Office for National Statistics said. Ms Reeves said: 'I …

Is MPC doing enough on inflation? Consumers are divided
1 month, 1 week ago

Is MPC doing enough on inflation? Consumers are divided

Live Mint  

Mumbai: For the past 30 months, the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy committee has been fighting hard to bring inflation within its medium-term target of 4%. Nearly half of the total respondents surveyed favoured lower inflation and higher interest rates, and only 22% support the reverse. Governor Shaktikanta Das has repeatedly warned since the last policy that cutting rates …

The shock rise in inflation spells bad news for mortgages
1 month, 3 weeks ago

The shock rise in inflation spells bad news for mortgages

The Independent  

A mere month after inflation undershot the Bank of England’s 2 per cent target, it’s back up again – in the sharpest spike in two years. The Consumer Prices Index jumped to 2.3 per cent in October, against 1.7 per cent the previous month, dealing a death blow to any hopes of a second straight interest rate cut in December. …

UK inflation hits six-month high of 2.3% on high energy bills; BoE stresses on gradual rate cuts
1 month, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation hits six-month high of 2.3% on high energy bills; BoE stresses on gradual rate cuts

Live Mint  

British inflation jumped by more than expected last month to rise back above the Bank of England's 2% target and underlying price growth gathered speed too, showing why the BoE is moving cautiously on interest rate cuts. Consumer prices rose by an annual 2.3% in October, pushed up almost entirely by an increase in regulated domestic energy tariffs, after a …

What rising inflation means for you: HUGO DUNCAN on why it dashes hopes of a Christmas Bank of England rate cut
1 month, 3 weeks ago

What rising inflation means for you: HUGO DUNCAN on why it dashes hopes of a Christmas Bank of England rate cut

Daily Mail  

There will be no early Christmas present from the Bank of England. The jump in inflation announced today – from 1.7 per cent in September to 2.3 per cent in October – has dashed any lingering hopes of another interest rate cut this year. Inflation spiked to 2.3 per cent in October as fears grow over the impact of the …

Brits hope for mortgage relief with Bank of England poised to cut interest rates TODAY… but fears big-spending Budget could keep borrowing costs higher for years
2 months, 1 week ago

Brits hope for mortgage relief with Bank of England poised to cut interest rates TODAY… but fears big-spending Budget could keep borrowing costs higher for years

Daily Mail  

The Bank of England is poised to cut interest rates today - but could signal that the big-spending Budget will keep borrowing costs higher in future. Threadneedle Street's decision could be swayed by grim figures this week showing growth in the UK services sector slowing to its lowest rate in nearly a year. Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global …

Inflation set to stay above 2% for next four years, says OBR
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Inflation set to stay above 2% for next four years, says OBR

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK inflation is set to …

Bank of England could be ‘more aggressive’ with interest rate cuts, says governor
3 months, 1 week ago

Bank of England could be ‘more aggressive’ with interest rate cuts, says governor

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

Inflation steady – but chances of another rate cut are slim
3 months, 4 weeks ago

Inflation steady – but chances of another rate cut are slim

The Independent  

Let’s start with the good news: August’s inflation number came in unchanged at 2.2 per cent. While that is higher than the Bank of England’s 2 per cent target, it is in line with City forecasts and beneath the 2.4 per cent the Bank itself had predicted at this stage. One thing to watch is the cost of services – …

How will inflation affect Labour’s plans for the economy?
3 months, 4 weeks ago

How will inflation affect Labour’s plans for the economy?

The Independent  

It’s early days, obviously, but one of the factors that helps any government “deliver” and win re-election is a healthy economy. Having repeatedly stated that they inherited the worst economic situation since the war – albeit a highly tendentious claim – Labour undoubtedly faces a challenge in achieving the electorally magical combination of low inflation, high employment, rising living standards, …

Inflation climbs above Bank of England target in first rise of 2024
5 months ago

Inflation climbs above Bank of England target in first rise of 2024

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Inflation has risen for the …

Inflation rises to 2.2% for first time this year in blow to interest rate cut next month
5 months ago

Inflation rises to 2.2% for first time this year in blow to interest rate cut next month

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. However, despite the smaller than …

Inflation set to rise above 2% in first increase this year
5 months ago

Inflation set to rise above 2% in first increase this year

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Inflation is set to rise …

UK inflation stays at 2% target in June, leaving rate cut on a 'knife edge'
5 months, 4 weeks ago

UK inflation stays at 2% target in June, leaving rate cut on a 'knife edge'

Hindustan Times  

Inflation in the U.K. held steady at the Bank of England's target rate of 2% in the year to June, official figures showed Wednesday, in a development that could be enough for policymakers to cut borrowing costs next month. Grocery price inflation fell to its lowest level since September 2021 in a further sign of easing cost pressures, ahead of …

Bank of England faces dilemma after potential Taylor Swift upside impact on UK inflation
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Bank of England faces dilemma after potential Taylor Swift upside impact on UK inflation

Associated Press  

LONDON — The Bank of England is facing a dilemma about whether to cut interest rates next month after official figures Wednesday showed inflation holding steady at its target against expectations of a modest decline, possibly as a result of Taylor Swift’s Eras Tour. The statistics agency said the largest upward contribution to the annualized inflation rate came from restaurants …

UK inflation rate back down to 2%
6 months, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation rate back down to 2%

China Daily  

FILE PHOTO: A tourist shelters from the rain under an Union Jack umbrella near the Bank of England in the City of London financial district in London, Britain, February 13, 2024. The United Kingdom's ruling Conservative Party got some rare good news on Wednesday, when the country's inflation rate eased back down to the Bank of England's 2 percent target …

Inflation drops to Bank of England’s 2% target for first time in almost three years
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation drops to Bank of England’s 2% target for first time in almost three years

The Independent  

Get the free Morning Headlines email for news from our reporters across the world Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Inflation has fallen back to the 2 per cent target …

With election looming, UK’s governing Conservatives seize on inflation fall to 2% target
6 months, 3 weeks ago

With election looming, UK’s governing Conservatives seize on inflation fall to 2% target

Associated Press  

LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. returned to the Bank of England’s target rate of 2% for the first time in nearly three years, official figures showed Wednesday, a development that was seized on by the governing Conservative Party as evidence that its economic plan is “working” ahead of the July 4 election. But Conservative Prime Minister Rishi Sunak hailed …

UK inflation falls to Bank of England's 2% target rate for first time in nearly 3 years
6 months, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation falls to Bank of England's 2% target rate for first time in nearly 3 years

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Inflation in the U.K. returned …

Inflation is down – but good news for homeowners will have to wait
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation is down – but good news for homeowners will have to wait

The Independent  

Across the economy, price rises slowed significantly in April with the rate of inflation declining to 2.3 per cent from 3.2 per cent. Grant Fitzner, chief economist at the Office for National Statistics, also highlighted tobacco and food price inflation which fell to 2.9 per cent. Service prices have been worrying the Bank’s rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee which voted 7-2 …

UK inflation - live: Tories call for Bank of England to cut interest rates despite market gloom over rising prices
7 months, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation - live: Tories call for Bank of England to cut interest rates despite market gloom over rising prices

The Independent  

✕ Close Hunt attacks Labour and says he refutes 'myths' the economy is worse under Tories For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like …

UK inflation lowest in 3 years. Prime Minister Sunak makes it a focus in election call for July 4
7 months, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation lowest in 3 years. Prime Minister Sunak makes it a focus in election call for July 4

Associated Press  

LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. fell sharply to its lowest level in nearly three years in April on the back of big declines in domestic bills, official figures showed Wednesday. “While it’s clearly good news headline inflation is back to normal levels, it is disappointing that price pressures haven’t fallen further and that measures of services inflation are proving …

UK inflation predicted to drop close to Bank of England’s 2% target
7 months, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation predicted to drop close to Bank of England’s 2% target

The Independent  

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Bank of England edges closer to rate cut, possibly in June, as it predicts below-target inflation
8 months ago

Bank of England edges closer to rate cut, possibly in June, as it predicts below-target inflation

Associated Press  

LONDON — The Bank of England maintained its key U.K. interest rate at a 16-year high of 5.25% though it gave a broad hint that a reduction could be on the cards as soon as June as inflation is forecast to fall below target. I’m optimistic that things are moving in the right direction.” Bailey indicated that the financial markets …

UK inflation falls to lowest level since late 2021 as food prices ease further
8 months, 4 weeks ago

UK inflation falls to lowest level since late 2021 as food prices ease further

Associated Press  

LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. fell to its lowest level in two and a half years in March after a further easing in food prices, official figures showed Wednesday, a development which could further pave the way for a welcome cut in interest rates soon. Inflation is set to fall further in April, possibly to below 2%, as a …

UK inflation is heading in ‘right direction,’ but Bank of England isn’t ready to cut rates
9 months, 3 weeks ago

UK inflation is heading in ‘right direction,’ but Bank of England isn’t ready to cut rates

Associated Press  

LONDON — The Bank of England kept its main interest rate unchanged at a 16-year high on Thursday and avoided signaling, unlike other central banks, when it might start to cut even though inflation has dropped sharply from multidecade peaks. In the U.K., market expectations that lower interest rates were on the horizon got a boost this week with news …

Inflation is falling fast – but will the Bank of England move to cut interest rates?
9 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation is falling fast – but will the Bank of England move to cut interest rates?

The Independent  

Some welcome news for consumers: inflation has once again fallen by more than expected. The headline number for February, per the Office for National Statistics, came in at 3.4 per cent – below both the consensus of the City and the Bank of England’s own forecast of 3.5. The CPI “all services” rate also declined to 6.1 per cent in …

What does the steep fall in inflation mean for UK households?
9 months, 3 weeks ago

What does the steep fall in inflation mean for UK households?

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Cash-strapped households have been given …

UK recession ‘weak’ and rates may be cut before inflation hits 2% – Bailey
10 months, 3 weeks ago

UK recession ‘weak’ and rates may be cut before inflation hits 2% – Bailey

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Bank of England Governor Andrew …

Inflation falls to a two-year low – now will interest rates follow?
1 year ago

Inflation falls to a two-year low – now will interest rates follow?

The Independent  

Sign up for the View from Westminster email for expert analysis straight to your inbox Get our free View from Westminster email Get our free View from Westminster email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The Bank of England is under mounting pressure to cut interest …

UK inflation falls by more than anticipated to 2-year low of 3.9% in November
1 year ago

UK inflation falls by more than anticipated to 2-year low of 3.9% in November

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Inflation in the U.K. as …

Interest rates may need to rise again, warns Bank of England
1 year, 1 month ago

Interest rates may need to rise again, warns Bank of England

The Telegraph  

Policymakers pushed back against any assumption of an imminent fall in the Bank’s base rate, warning that pay and services inflation – two key indicators of price pressures – “remained elevated”. The MPC said: “Inflation persistence remained higher than in other major advanced economies, possibly reflecting less favourable supply-side developments and stronger second-round effects in the UK.” Britain’s inflation rate, …

ALEX BRUMMER: Take the Bank of England's gloomy forecast for 2024 with a pinch of salt
1 year, 2 months ago

ALEX BRUMMER: Take the Bank of England's gloomy forecast for 2024 with a pinch of salt

Daily Mail  

This decision was expected. According to the Bank's forecasts, the consumer price index will fall from its rate of 6.7 per cent to 4.25 per cent in the final months of the year. One of Rishi Sunak's five pledges – to halve inflation by the end of the year and ease the cost of living crisis – should now be …

Britain faces recession risk in election year, warns Bank of England
1 year, 2 months ago

Britain faces recession risk in election year, warns Bank of England

The Telegraph  

The Bank’s latest projection for next year fell from a previous forecast of 0.5pc, while it also warned that annual growth will remain below 1pc for the next four years – down from 2.75pc in the decade before the financial crisis. Despite the weaker outlook for jobs and growth, Mr Bailey said it was “much too early to be thinking …

Doom-laden Jeremy Hunt gives bleak verdict on UK economy as Bank of England chief warns of ‘tight’ interest decisions
1 year, 3 months ago

Doom-laden Jeremy Hunt gives bleak verdict on UK economy as Bank of England chief warns of ‘tight’ interest decisions

The Independent  

Sign up for the View from Westminster email for expert analysis straight to your inbox Get our free View from Westminster email Get our free View from Westminster email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Andrew Bailey said last month’s decision to keep interest rates at 5.25 per cent was …

UK interest rates stay at 5.25% in surprise move by Bank of England
1 year, 3 months ago

UK interest rates stay at 5.25% in surprise move by Bank of England

The Independent  

Get the free Morning Headlines email for news from our reporters across the world Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. “We need to be sure inflation returns to normal and we will continue to …

UK near the end of interest rate rises, says Bailey
1 year, 4 months ago

UK near the end of interest rate rises, says Bailey

The Telegraph  

Inflation will fall markedly by the end of the year, Andrew Bailey has said, as he signalled interest rate rises are nearing their peak. The Bank of England Governor said rates were “much nearer now to the top of the cycle” following 14 consecutive rises in borrowing costs. However, traders trimmed their predictions for future rate rises as they are …

Hunt: we may see inflation blip in September
1 year, 4 months ago

Hunt: we may see inflation blip in September

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. If we are going to put money in people's …

Inflation shock as Jeremy Hunt expects prices to go back up again
1 year, 5 months ago

Inflation shock as Jeremy Hunt expects prices to go back up again

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Bank of England governor Andrew …

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