Why Australians are being warned to prepare for a very wet summer
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Why Australians are being warned to prepare for a very wet summer

Daily Mail  

Meteorologists have warned there is a strong chance of La Niña forming ahead of summer and bringing heavy rain and flooding to Australia's east. Weatherzone's Joel Pippard said a 'clear La Niña signal' was emerging in the central Pacific Ocean in the form of a pool of cold water collecting about 150m below the surface. Meteorologists are warning there is a strong chance the La Niña weather pattern could form ahead of summer, bringing with it heavy rain and flooding for Australia's east Meteorologists are forecasting Australia will see a wet summer. Australia has been in the El Niño phase of weather pattern for the last 12 months but was in La Niña between late 2020 and 2022 which contributed to the intense rain that soaked the east coast in those years 'Usually, this cold water would have triggered a La Niña by now, but temperamental weather in the region has continually disrupted this final step from occurring so far.' Mr Pippard said it is at this stage looking 'evenly balanced' as to whether or not La Niña could form, but Australia is in for a wet summer either way.

Summer Australia Water Pacific El Niño La Niña Niña Pacific Ocean Pippard Mr Pippard Cent Chance Weather Pattern  australians  water  australia  pacific  prepare  cent  chance  la  wet  warned  summer  weather  pattern  niña

History of this topic

Gusty thundery change to follow near-record autumn heat across south-east states
2 weeks ago

Gusty thundery change to follow near-record autumn heat across south-east states

ABC  

A blast of hot northerly winds from Australia's interior will send temperatures up to 15 above average across south-east states this weekend. 40C Saturday baking multiple states The forecast of an unusually warm autumn is so far proving accurate with temperatures consistently well above average across the vast majority of Australia this month. Saturday forecast and all-time autumn records: SA …

First heatwave of 2025 engulfs Australia's south-east while monsoon and cyclones mysteriously missing in action
2 months, 3 weeks ago

First heatwave of 2025 engulfs Australia's south-east while monsoon and cyclones mysteriously missing in action

ABC  

2025 is opening with a broad heatwave stretching through the heart of Australia, continuing a pattern of exceptional heat which included the nation's hottest spring on record, and third hottest December on record. Temperatures across south-east states are predicted to soar up to 12 degrees Celsius above the January average this weekend, raising the risk of major fire outbreaks in …

Severe thunderstorms forecast to hit south-eastern Australia as hot and humid weather takes hold
Trending News
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Severe thunderstorms forecast to hit south-eastern Australia as hot and humid weather takes hold

ABC  

Thunderstorms are likely to hit Australia's south-east over the weekend as "very humid" weather normally felt in the Far North takes hold, the Bureau of Meteorology warns. Senior meteorologist Angus Hines said thunderstorms would develop on Friday afternoon in Victoria and northern Tasmania, as well as large parts of South Australia and New South Wales. Mr Hines said severe thunderstorms …

Extreme weather warning for Australia over the next three days
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Extreme weather warning for Australia over the next three days

Daily Mail  

Extreme heat will continue to bake swathes of Australia as cold and wet fronts bring a soaking to the other side of the country. Severe thunderstorms and an incoming rain bomb are set to sweep the entire east coast, stretching all the way from Victoria through New South Wales, Queensland and up into northern Australia, according to the Bureau of …

Australia sweats through hottest spring on record as temperatures soar 2.5C above pre-industrial levels
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Australia sweats through hottest spring on record as temperatures soar 2.5C above pre-industrial levels

ABC  

Another heatwave is predicted across Australia this week, as the Bureau of Meteorology confirms the nation just sizzled through its hottest spring on record. The season was not only hot, but also wet, with a mean national rainfall of 92mm, 28 per cent above average — mostly due to record falls through northern Western Australia. Spring's heat was also relatively …

Bureau of Meteorology summer forecast predicts wetter and warmer season fuelled by simmering oceans
4 months ago

Bureau of Meteorology summer forecast predicts wetter and warmer season fuelled by simmering oceans

ABC  

Months of simmering ocean temperatures around the country are feeding into a forecast of a rainy and warm summer ahead, according to climate scientists. Instructions: Use left and right arrow keys to control image transition Before and after images SLIDE Rainfall in December is looking to be higher than normal, skewing the overall forecast of rainfall for the season as …

More storms forecast for south-east Queensland and north-east New South Wales, bringing heavy rainfall and risk of flash flooding
4 months, 2 weeks ago

More storms forecast for south-east Queensland and north-east New South Wales, bringing heavy rainfall and risk of flash flooding

ABC  

Widespread storms are forecast for much of central and eastern Australia after south-east Queenslanders were treated to a spectacular lightning display last night. The Bureau of Meteorology is warning severe storms are likely in south-east Queensland and north-east New South Wales, and possible for Western Australia's interior, south-west parts of the Northern Territory and large parts of South Australia. Last …

Australia facing one of the hottest summers on record, according to BOM prediction
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Australia facing one of the hottest summers on record, according to BOM prediction

ABC  

Australia is facing one of the hottest summers on record according to the Bureau of Meteorology's weather modelling, which tips well-above-average temperatures across the country. The BOM's initial summer forecast, released this week, shows a greater than 80 per cent chance of minimum temperatures in the top 20 per cent of years — which the BOM label "unusually high temperatures". …

Australia faces more severe tropical cyclones despite 'average' season forecast, BOM warns
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Australia faces more severe tropical cyclones despite 'average' season forecast, BOM warns

ABC  

The Bureau of Meteorology is forecasting an "average" cyclone season across Australia's Top End, but has warned of the potential for more severe storm systems. The 2023/24 season produced six severe tropical cyclones, with Cyclone Jasper causing hundreds of millions of dollars in damage across the Solomon Islands and Far North Queensland. "During an average year, that we're expecting this …

Australia on track for fifth consecutive wet year as weekend brings further rain to southern states and flood threat to NSW coast
6 months ago

Australia on track for fifth consecutive wet year as weekend brings further rain to southern states and flood threat to NSW coast

ABC  

Australia has experienced its wettest January-August since 2011, laying the platform for 2024 to become our fifth consecutive year with above-average rain — and potentially among the dampest ever. Flood risk for NSW north coast After a reliably dry start to the month, the past seven days brought a widespread soaking to Australia, culminating in heavy falls on the NSW …

Temperatures forecast to drop by up to 20 degrees in south-east Australia as icy winds and widespread rain replace warmer weather
6 months ago

Temperatures forecast to drop by up to 20 degrees in south-east Australia as icy winds and widespread rain replace warmer weather

ABC  

A cold polar air mass surging across south-east Australia will drop temperatures by up to 20 degrees Celsius over 24 hours and bring another dump of snow to the ranges later this week. The system will also help a north-west cloudband bring widespread rain to every state and territory, after record September falls across north-west and central Australia over the …

Rare September soaking for all Australian states this week could break rain records and signal wet spring and summer
6 months, 1 week ago

Rare September soaking for all Australian states this week could break rain records and signal wet spring and summer

ABC  

A near-nationwide soaking will drench every Australian state and territory this week, including potential record heavy falls in the north-west tropics. Widespread rain events of any kind are extremely unusual in September, which on average is Australia's driest month, and the upcoming falls could be the start of a wet spring and summer as a potential La Niña emerges in …

Entire country to be hit by tropical rain bomb with a month's worth of water to fall in just a few days
6 months, 1 week ago

Entire country to be hit by tropical rain bomb with a month's worth of water to fall in just a few days

Daily Mail  

Rain is set to soak every Australian state over the next week - with some locations forecast to receive a month's worth of rainfall in just a few days. A surge of tropical moisture is forecast to cause showers across the nation from the weekend until the end of next week, according to Weatherzone. Meteorologist Miriam Bradbury said the eastern …

Latest modelling tips fourth La Niña for Australia in five years before the end of 2024
6 months, 2 weeks ago

Latest modelling tips fourth La Niña for Australia in five years before the end of 2024

ABC  

There are growing signs Australia's most impactful climate driver, La Niña, will develop during the coming months. When the Pacific enters a La Niña state stronger trade winds pile up warmer water near Australia which increase cloud development and rain. Australia's 12 wettest years on record were all associated with La Niña, however most occurred during the stronger events, and …

Australians warned to prepare for fires, cyclones, floods during high-risk season
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Australians warned to prepare for fires, cyclones, floods during high-risk season

China Daily  

CANBERRA -- Australians have been told to prepare for possible cyclones, storms, fires and flooding during the upcoming high-risk weather season. Minister for Emergency Management Jenny McAllister on Tuesday said the federal government is preparing for the worst-case disaster scenarios as the nation heads into warmer months of the year. McAllister said on Tuesday that staff members from the National …

Winds, flooding and a heatwave to hit Australia just days after chilly winter temperatures - what's it like near you?
6 months, 4 weeks ago

Winds, flooding and a heatwave to hit Australia just days after chilly winter temperatures - what's it like near you?

Daily Mail  

Australia is in for a weekend of wildly contrasting weather, depending where you are, with winds, flooding and a heatwave just days after an icy blast hit the country. Intense winds battering the south-east of the country are set to continue through the weekend, prompting pleas to stay alert to falling trees and power lines and avoid flood waters. Severe …

Australia's spring weather forecast predicts above average temperatures after unseasonal winter heat
7 months ago

Australia's spring weather forecast predicts above average temperatures after unseasonal winter heat

ABC  

It feels like the seasonal switch has already been flicked in the eastern states. "The temperature forecast is more confident, especially over northern Australia where there is a very high chance of above average temperatures," BOM climatologist Zhi-Weng Chua said. Most of tropical Australia and Tasmania are three to four times as likely to be "unusually warm" this spring than …

Australia shivers through June and July, so was the BOM's forecast of a warm winter wrong?
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Australia shivers through June and July, so was the BOM's forecast of a warm winter wrong?

ABC  

The word on the street seems unanimous — it feels like one of the coldest winters in living memory. Capital cities' temperatures well below 2023 When ranking a season's weather, the typical value calculated for comparison is the mean temperature, which takes the average of daily minimum and maximum temperatures. Melbourne's mean of 10.4C may be slightly above the long-term …

BOM forecasts very warm winter for Australia, with the jury out on rainfall
9 months, 4 weeks ago

BOM forecasts very warm winter for Australia, with the jury out on rainfall

ABC  

Almost all of Australia, including the capital cities, is very likely to experience another "unusually warm" winter, according to the Bureau of Meteorology's official winter outlook. "And it's only really northern Australia showing any chance of unusually dry, but that's in the dry season so basically they get no rain anyway." Good winter rain is needed for Northcliffe dairy farmer …

A La Niña Watch has been declared — here's what that could mean for Australia's weather in 2024
10 months, 2 weeks ago

A La Niña Watch has been declared — here's what that could mean for Australia's weather in 2024

ABC  

The Bureau of Meteorology has officially moved to La Niña "watch", reflecting an increased chance the major climate driver, which helped bring flooding to eastern Australia in 2021 and 2022, will return later this year. La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and has helped deliver significant rainfall and flooding events to Australia in the …

Preparing for La Nina days
10 months, 2 weeks ago

Preparing for La Nina days

Hindustan Times  

Conditions have turned favourable for the La Nina phenomenon in the next few months, according to the Climate Prediction Centre of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the US. The rains — the India Meteorological Department has already predicted an above-normal monsoon with estimated rainfall of 106% of the long period average — would be a welcome relief for …

La Nina effect may lead to above-normal rains
10 months, 2 weeks ago

La Nina effect may lead to above-normal rains

Hindustan Times  

Conditions have turned favourable for the La Nina weather phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean to start in the next few months, the Climate Prediction Centre of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the US has said, which could lead to above average rainfall and floods in India during the monsoon that begins in June. La Nina generally tends to …

Odds of La Niña rise to 80 per cent according to US weather agency
1 year ago

Odds of La Niña rise to 80 per cent according to US weather agency

ABC  

El Niño's demise and La Niña's emergence is gaining traction, increasing the odds Australia will face another lengthy period of above average rain and cooler temperatures by the back half of 2024. "A transition from El Niño to ENSO neutral is likely by April-June 2024, with the odds of La Niña developing by June-August 2024," stated NOAA's latest diagnostic. Looking …

Record run of autumn hot weather for Sydney as waters simmer past cyclone threshold
1 year ago

Record run of autumn hot weather for Sydney as waters simmer past cyclone threshold

ABC  

The start of autumn has delivered extraordinary heat to NSW, both over land and in the water. The warmth has reached record levels in Sydney, including an unprecedented run of days above 28 degrees Celsius and an offshore water temperature nudging 27C — warm enough for a tropical cyclone. The prolonged heat is due to a combination of factors including: …

South-east Australia to bake in near-record heat while cyclone threat returns to north
1 year ago

South-east Australia to bake in near-record heat while cyclone threat returns to north

ABC  

The calendar has rolled into autumn but Australia's weather still firmly resembles mid-summer, including the most intense autumn heatwave in decades across South Australia and Victoria. As the south-east sweats the country's north will be ducking for cover as a monsoon trough reforms, increasing rain and potentially spawning multiple tropical cyclones during the coming weeks. While March cyclones are common, …

Australia weather forecast: Millions to suffer through record heatwave this weekend in south-east
1 year ago

Australia weather forecast: Millions to suffer through record heatwave this weekend in south-east

Daily Mail  

Half of Australia can expect to face extreme heat and possible high fire danger over the long weekend, as meteorologists warn of soaring temperatures. The Bureau of Meteorology has forecast a severe heatwave for South Australia, Victoria, Tasmania and parts of southern NSW from Friday to Monday Bureau senior meteorologist Angus Hines said while southern eastern parts of Australia would …

End of summer snapshot shows one of the warmest, wettest El Niño summers on record
1 year ago

End of summer snapshot shows one of the warmest, wettest El Niño summers on record

ABC  

In short: Australia has wrapped up its third-hottest summer on record and third-wettest summer during an El Niño phase, the latest statistics from the Bureau of Meteorology show. Despite the increased rain, according to the Bureau of Meteorology's preliminary summer recap, Australia looks set to record its third warmest summer on record, behind 2018-19 and 2019-20, comparing all years back …

Scorching temperatures expected next week as heavy rain falls on NSW and Queensland this weekend
1 year, 1 month ago

Scorching temperatures expected next week as heavy rain falls on NSW and Queensland this weekend

ABC  

The sun may be setting on summer, but several newsworthy weather events will occur around Australia before the end of the season. A Cyclone Lincoln drenching will finally bring relief to the relentless WA heatwaves this weekend, while on the opposite side of the country two separate weather systems bring a flash flood risk to parts of Queensland and north-east …

US weather agency on La Niña watch but BOM says climate pattern not guaranteed
1 year, 1 month ago

US weather agency on La Niña watch but BOM says climate pattern not guaranteed

ABC  

In short: The US national weather agency has announced it is on watch for a possible La Niña later this year. Climate scientist Kim Reid says the likelihood of La Niña remains a "coin toss" What's next: Australia's Bureau of Meteorology will be looking for atmospheric and oceanic conditions that indicate La Niña is coming. La Niña, El Niño and …

Modelling indicates wet La Niña could be back in Australia for the fourth time in five years
1 year, 2 months ago

Modelling indicates wet La Niña could be back in Australia for the fourth time in five years

ABC  

Australia's most dominant climate driver, La Niña, has a strong chance of reappearing in 2024, shifting the odds to favour a wet year. Since 1950, La Niña years on average produced an increase in rain of 23 per cent, while El Niño years only brought a drop of 7 per cent, although south-east Australia observes a more significant dry swing …

Here's what's been pulling the strings on Australia's weather recently — and it's not just El Niño
1 year, 2 months ago

Here's what's been pulling the strings on Australia's weather recently — and it's not just El Niño

ABC  

From a parched, hot September and October — on the brink of extreme drought — to flooding rains in summer, the past few months have thrown up a range of weather extremes across the country. One of the likely reasons for this enhanced summer rainfall — particularly over the south-eastern states — is a driver known as the Southern Annular …

Bureau of Meteorology tipping a warmer-than-normal February in remaining summer outlook
1 year, 2 months ago

Bureau of Meteorology tipping a warmer-than-normal February in remaining summer outlook

ABC  

Halfway into summer, the season has thrown up a range of extremes across the country — from heavy rainfall and flooding, to a delayed monsoon in the north and extreme heatwaves in the west. Other regions — including much of western Western Australia and parts of Australia's tropics — have a lot of making up to do if they are …

El Niño doesn't automatically mean it won't rain. Here's why it's been so wet and stormy for Australia's eastern states
1 year, 2 months ago

El Niño doesn't automatically mean it won't rain. Here's why it's been so wet and stormy for Australia's eastern states

ABC  

Australian weather has always been prone to extremes, which is why the sunburnt country is known for its drought and flooding rains. "So when we know it's going to be an El Niño it changes that probability so the segment for dry conditions on that chocolate wheel is much larger, and the wet is smaller." "When we talk about dry …

El Niño usually brings dry weather, so why have we just had weeks of heavy rain?
1 year, 3 months ago

El Niño usually brings dry weather, so why have we just had weeks of heavy rain?

ABC  

Last month, record daily rainfall totals fell across several parts of the New South Wales south coast and monthly totals were also above average for most of the NT and Queensland. Loading YouTube content Soaking end to dry spring The answer is no — El Niño is still underway in the Pacific and the phenomenon tends to bring hotter, drier …

Bureau of Meteorology and AFAC summer outlook looks hot across all corners of Australia, with heightened fire risk
1 year, 3 months ago

Bureau of Meteorology and AFAC summer outlook looks hot across all corners of Australia, with heightened fire risk

ABC  

Australia is not off the hook for hot summer temperatures and a heightened bushfire risk, despite heavy rain currently falling across the east. Key points: Large parts of Queensland, New South Wales and the Northern Territory have an "increased risk of fire" this summer AFAC says the recent rains are welcome, but unlikely to undo the damage of a dry …

Dangerous thunderstorms sweep across south-east Queensland with solid rainfall but no sign of hail
1 year, 4 months ago

Dangerous thunderstorms sweep across south-east Queensland with solid rainfall but no sign of hail

ABC  

South-east Queensland has escaped relatively unscathed following multiple warnings of giant hail and intense rainfall as a trough in the west reached the coast late on Wednesday. "The level of moisture that's in the air and the unstable conditions across with that system could facilitate some isolated, very dangerous thunderstorms as they move east during the rest of this afternoon," …

BOM forecasts week-long severe storm threat for Australia's east and north
1 year, 4 months ago

BOM forecasts week-long severe storm threat for Australia's east and north

ABC  

Storms carrying the risk of heavy rain, large hail and damaging winds are set to hit much of northern and eastern Australia this week while Western Australia bakes under a potential record-breaking November heatwave. Heavy rain has already begun to fall, with totals upward of 80 millimetres recorded on Queensland's Darling Downs region on Sunday and intense downpours through south-east …

Major storm event on the horizon across Australia as El Niño takes a raincheck
1 year, 4 months ago

Major storm event on the horizon across Australia as El Niño takes a raincheck

ABC  

After a near rainless September and October, and the prospect of the driest spring on record, this November has served up a pleasant surprise: it's been raining. By this time next week, parts of fire ravaged New South Wales and southern Queensland may even see very isolated minor flooding following well over a months' worth of rain. Already this week …

Dangerous wind, heavy rain, flooding forecast to hit eastern Australia as intense storm system deepens
1 year, 5 months ago

Dangerous wind, heavy rain, flooding forecast to hit eastern Australia as intense storm system deepens

ABC  

Widespread rain and thunderstorms, carrying the risk of flash flooding, have begun pouring over parts of Victoria and New South Wales, as a low pressure system intensifies over the eastern states. Key points: Flood warnings are in place for parts of southern NSW and eastern Victoria following heavy rain Falls of 10mm to 50mm are forecast for parts of NSW …

Flood and storm threat for southern Australia after record-hot and dry September weather
1 year, 5 months ago

Flood and storm threat for southern Australia after record-hot and dry September weather

ABC  

It's no exaggeration to suggest the prolonged unseasonable run of warm and dry weather is becoming concerning. NSW/ACT The next seven days will bring extreme weather to NSW, including near-record heat, extreme fire dangers, a southerly buster, strong winds, heavy rain and even snow. The change will stall before reaching northern NSW and hot northerly winds will return to the …

Ready for round two? El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole to deliver more spring heat
1 year, 6 months ago

Ready for round two? El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole to deliver more spring heat

ABC  

Weather has dominated the headlines this week – an extraordinary period of September heat, and the official declaration of two major climate drivers. It was no coincidence record temperatures coincided with the arrival of El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, as Australia's extreme year-to-year weather variability is mostly the result of alternating phases of our surrounding oceans. Indeed, …

Summer of severe heat predicted as Bureau of Meteorology declares El Niño
1 year, 6 months ago

Summer of severe heat predicted as Bureau of Meteorology declares El Niño

ABC  

The Bureau of Meteorology has declared two major climate drivers linked to hot, dry conditions are officially underway in Australia, prompting further warnings that extreme heat could hit this spring and summer. What future El Niño summers could look like Photo shows A globe centred on Australia showing sea surface temperature patterns in red and blue with a time scale …

Australia declares El Nino amid unseasonal heat, strong winds
1 year, 6 months ago

Australia declares El Nino amid unseasonal heat, strong winds

Al Jazeera  

New South Wales has recorded temperatures as much as 16C above the September average in recent days. Australia has declared an El Nino weather phenomenon is underway as an unusual September heatwave sent temperatures soaring in the country’s southeast and led to the first total fire ban in three years. “Due to stronger than forecast winds along the far South …

Over 95% chance of El Nino conditions from January-March 2024: U.S. forecaster
1 year, 6 months ago

Over 95% chance of El Nino conditions from January-March 2024: U.S. forecaster

The Hindu  

There is a more than 95% chance that the El Niño weather pattern will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter from January - March 2024, a U.S. government forecaster said on Thursday, bringing more extreme conditions. El Nino is a warming of ocean surface temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific, and can provoke extreme weather phenomena from wildfires to …

How climate change could be making El Niño more extreme
1 year, 6 months ago

How climate change could be making El Niño more extreme

ABC  

El Niño in a changing climate The prospect of a possible El Niño summer, with the hot and dry conditions it's known for in Australia, can be frightening. Sea surface temperature data captured by satellites and buoys is used to determine whether the Pacific Ocean is in an El Niño, La Niña, or neutral phase. CSIRO climate and natural hazards …

Spring 2023: Meteorologists warn high temperatures and low rainfall will increase risk of bushfires
1 year, 6 months ago

Spring 2023: Meteorologists warn high temperatures and low rainfall will increase risk of bushfires

Daily Mail  

This spring is set to be dangerously dry and warm with meteorologists urging homeowners to start preparing for bushfires now. Weatherzone meteorologist Corine Brown said two differing weather events, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole affecting Australia's west and a largely-negative southern oscillation index affecting the east, will drive the drier weather. The Bureau of Meteorology has warned this spring will …

Why a repeat of Black Summer is unlikely this fire season despite El Niño warnings
1 year, 8 months ago

Why a repeat of Black Summer is unlikely this fire season despite El Niño warnings

ABC  

Recent wildfires across the Mediterranean coupled with warnings of El Niño and Earth's hottest month on record have raised questions about what's ahead for Australia's bushfire season. After three years of La Niña rains suppressed bushfire activity, it's highly probable this spring and summer will be the most active fire season in four years. There are five major factors that …

Global warming will make La Niña events longer and more frequent: study
1 year, 8 months ago

Global warming will make La Niña events longer and more frequent: study

Salon  

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation is a cycle which causes periodic variations in the winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean. Through both its warm El Niño phase and its cold La Niña phase, ENSO can cause flooding, heat waves, tropical storms and other types of extreme weather. The La Niña phase specifically is associated with unusually …

How El Niño, climate change and warming oceans could combine to supercharge the world's weather
1 year, 8 months ago

How El Niño, climate change and warming oceans could combine to supercharge the world's weather

ABC  

As the calendar year ticked over to 2023, residents of Western Australia's Kimberley region were fleeing to higher ground as heavy downpours brought water levels to astonishing heights. "There's been a collective feeling of, 'Woah, that's insane' from myself and quite a few of my colleagues this year," Monash University associate professor Ailie Gallant said. A sign of what's to …

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