Analysis: The curious case of Russia in Central African Republic
Al JazeeraRussia’s involvement in Central Africa seems like an attempt to establish a corridor of influence but Moscow may soon find its dream is a mirage, experts say. “A number of citizens here consider Wagner’s presence a good thing, especially since their operatives and our army pushed back an assault on our capital, Bangui in January 2021,” reports freelance journalist Fiacre Salabe from the city. Writing for the Russian International Affairs Council, a government-aligned think-tank, the Moscow-based geopolitical analyst Andrew Korybko used language to this effect in a January 12 blog post in which he referred to Russia’s help in “the rehabilitation” of CAR. His murder follows that of three Russian investigative journalists killed in August 2018, as they were investigating Wagner’s actions in the CAR, and how it made its money. So as far as building that corridor of influence is concerned, it’s back to the drawing board.” That Russian military base in the CAR, which had been talked about since 2019, is unlikely to materialise and there are credible reports saying that Wagner is reducing its presence in the CAR because its operatives are needed in Ukraine.