Lumpy skin disease could reach Australia before foot and mouth disease, with fears the threat is going unnoticed
ABCA virus sitting on Australia's doorstep with the potential to cripple exports of Australian cattle, meat and dairy is being dubbed a "forgotten disease". Key points: LSD is currently present in more than 50 countries, including Russia, China, Malaysia, Singapore, Turkey, India and Kenya Experts believe there is a 28 per cent likelihood of an outbreak of LSD in the next five years An incursion of LSD in Australia would cost $7.4 billion from lost trading opportunities in the first year Expert analysis has warned that lumpy skin disease is almost three times more likely to arrive in Australia compared to foot-and-mouth disease but getting barely any national attention compared to the latter. An outbreak of lumpy skin disease in Australia would cost the economy $7.4 billion in the first year. "There are other experts that believe that lumpy skin disease, given the patterns of spread around the world will enter Australia, so 100 per cent probability, but the timeline for that is unknown, it could be potentially as early as this wet season, but could be 10 years away," Dr Fitzpatrick said. Expert analysis has found there's a 28 per cent probability that lumpy skin disease will be found in Australia in the next five years.