Morgan Stanley, HSBC slash crude oil supply forecast; Brent average pegged near $70 for 2025 after OPEC+ verdict
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Morgan Stanley, HSBC slash crude oil supply forecast; Brent average pegged near $70 for 2025 after OPEC+ verdict

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OPEC+ verdict: Leading global investment bankers Morgan Stanley and HSBC revised down their expectations for an oil market surplus next year and forecast a Brent crude price of $70 per barrel, following a decision by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries to delay and slow plans for a higher crude output. Brent crude average, oil supply forecasts for 2025 According to news agency Reuters, Morgan Stanley raised its Brent forecast for the second half of 2025 to $70 from $66-68 per barrel. The weak demand outlook is the Achilles' heel for OPEC, the bank said, and forecast global oil demand growth averaging one million bpd this year and 1.1 million bpd next. “That quarter is known to be a quarter for building stocks.” Despite deciding to postpone, Prince Abdulaziz said that the alliance “honestly believe the market next year will be better than what is being projected.” Eight OPEC countries will extend their "voluntary adjustments" of 2.2 million bpd until the end of March, the Vienna-based group said in a statement following a virtual meeting.

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