What history has to say about the economy Trump will inherit
8 years, 2 months ago

What history has to say about the economy Trump will inherit

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New York: Bloomberg Research suggests factors beyond the control of any US president, not their actual policies, set the course of the economy. Trump has said he’s aiming to achieve 3.5 to 4% average annual growth, even as real GDP expansion is projected to average just 2.2% next year and 2.3% in 2018, according to economists. Non-farm payrolls in November came in at 178,000, the fourth-worst situation among the 10 incoming presidents included in this analysis, though still a massive improvement from the nearly 770,000 jobs lost around Election Day 2008. The core inflation situation is getting close to the Federal Reserve’s medium-term 2% goal, largely unchanged from the situation inherited by presidents Obama, George W. Bush, and even Bill Clinton. Trump is also in a better position when it comes to the housing market, with roughly 1.1 million homes beginning construction this November versus 652,000 when Obama became president-elect in late 2008.

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