Manufacturing PMI: Q4 is a litmus test, but no fireworks so far
3 weeks, 1 day ago

Manufacturing PMI: Q4 is a litmus test, but no fireworks so far

Live Mint  

To meet the National Statistical Office’s ambitious goal of 6.5% growth in India’s FY25 gross domestic product, the economy needs to pick up a significant pace in the March quarter. We see downside risk with Q4FY25 GDP growth is expected to be closer to 6.8%," said IDFC First Bank's 28 February report. On the monetary policy front, wide-held expectations are that the RBI would opt for a 25-basis points repo rate cut in April as well, aided by moderating inflation pressures, which provides scope to spur growth. The proprietary Nomura India Composite Leading Index, which has a one-quarter lead on non-agricultural GDP growth, has been sequentially moderating since Q1 2024 and has been below the 100 threshold for three quarters now, which points to below-trend growth and an ongoing cyclical growth slowdown.

History of this topic

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