Will October inflation push Q3 print above RBI’s forecast?
1 month, 1 week ago

Will October inflation push Q3 print above RBI’s forecast?

Live Mint  

At 6.21%, retail inflation in October breached the upper limit of the Reserve Bank of India’s target, for the first time since August 2023, thanks to an alarming rise in vegetable prices. According to ICRA chief economist Aditi Nayar, inflation is expected to exceed the Monetary Policy Committee’s estimate for the third quarter by at least 60-70 basis points. Inflation surged in October mainly due to a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and edible oils. With prices of food continuing to be high in November so far, economists expect a 5%-plus print in November as well, which will make meeting RBI’s forecast difficult.

History of this topic

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