Retail inflation rises to 7.8%, highest in 8 years
Hindustan TimesRetail prices grew at 7.8% in April, the highest since the Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance government assumed power in May 2014, squeezing household budgets, potentially affecting consumer confidence, and setting the stage for more monetary action by the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee which raised the rate last week to combat spiking inflation. Experts believe that this combination of tepid economic activity and high inflation poses serious challenges for the Indian economy going forward. Otherwise we will see demand destruction at the bottom of the economic pyramid in a big way, which will inflict further damage on not just immediate but also long term growth prospects.” In an unscheduled meeting on May 4, RBI’s MPC announced a 40 basis point hike in the policy rate and also increased the Cash Reserve Ratio by 50 basis points. “Accounting for the available high-frequency prices and today’s data, we are now currently tracking May CPI at around 6.8% y/y, which will continue to keep inflationary concerns intact in the RBI’s mind going into the June policy meeting, where we expect a 50bp hike in the policy rate,” Rahul Bajoria, MD & Chief India Economist, Barclays, said.