The ceasefire in Lebanon shows diplomacy can work – but hopes for Gaza are premature
The IndependentIt is hard to be optimistic about the situation in the Middle East. As one American headline put it, “Biden tries to go out with a Middle East miracle.” Unusually, there is a synergy between the incentives operating on him and on his successor; in that Donald Trump is, as the world knows, very much against the US financing foreign wars. Equally, however, it may be that the temporary ceasefire in Lebanon is merely the curtain-raiser for an intensification of the destruction in Gaza – and possibly for Mr Netanyahu to take the fight more directly to Iran. Indeed, as Mark Almond points out, Mr Netanyahu’s internal rationale for agreeing to the ceasefire in Lebanon is that he wants to be able to concentrate on the war in Gaza – and resupply his troops there. Everyone knows the ostensible war aim, the “elimination” of Hamas, cannot be achieved, because it is not possible to eliminate by force of arms an idea – not even an idea as terrible as Hamas’s founding antisemitic purpose of destroying Israel.