How would the UK be doing if it were still in the EU and the Brexit referendum had never happened?
The IndependentSign up to our free Brexit and beyond email for the latest headlines on what Brexit is meaning for the UK Sign up to our Brexit email for the latest insight Sign up to our Brexit email for the latest insight SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. You have to try to ask yourself how the UK would be doing if it were still in the EU, and either the referendum had never happened or we’d voted Remain. But UK food-price inflation might be rather lower if the additional costs of doing business with the EU post-Brexit hadn’t been imposed. Fortunately, lots of clever economists have created “doppelganger” models of the UK economy to tease out the effects of Brexit – and they are all negative. If the EU trade deal had allowed the UK to shred labour and environmental rules, then costs might be lower and growth higher – albeit at a cost to workers’ rights and the net zero targets.