IRCTC stock: Why a monopoly business cannot be a ‘Buy’ at any price
Live MintIndian Railway Catering and Tourism Corp. Ltd’s shares hit a new low for 2024 at ₹777.20 on Monday and are hovering near those levels. The stock’s lacklustre price performance over the past three years is a reminder that companies, even in monopoly businesses like IRCTC in railway ticket booking, do not see a linear rise in profit and market capitalization. IRCTC’s shares touched a high of ₹1,279 on 19 October 2021 when it traded at a staggering price-to-earnings multiple of more than 150x based on FY22 earnings per share of ₹8. Well, internet ticketing accounted for 80% of IRCTC’s Ebit even in H1FY25 despite the diversification into ancillary businesses such as rail neer, catering and tourism. Prabhudas Lilladher expects sales and profit after tax CAGR of 8.4% and 7.5%, respectively, over FY25-FY27, driven by catering and rail neer divisions as growth in high-margin ticketing segment has plateaued.