Year in Review | Indian economy amid global headwinds
The HinduMultiple headwinds at varied points of time impacted the Indian economy’s thorough economic revival in the calendar year 2022. “India’s growth rates in real terms of 9.7% in the first half of this year is well above the trend in other countries and is happening amid tightening global financial conditions and the commodity price shock since the Ukraine invasion by Russia,” CEA V. Anantha Nageswaran had emphasised. The researchers concurred that notwithstanding heightened recession fears elsewhere and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy, India’s manufacturing sector continued to perform well. It explained that global inflation was “rising alarmingly and spreading fast”, adding, “Geopolitical tensions are ratcheting up inflation to their highest levels in the last 3 to 4 decades in major economies while moderating external demand.” In three subsequent cycles, RBI opted to raise the repo rates by 50 basis points on each instance. As for the Indian economy, it stated, “The medium-term inflation outlook is exposed to heightened uncertainties from geopolitical tensions, financial market volatility and the rising incidence of weather-related disruptions.” Notwithstanding, it stated the outlook was supported by sustained urban demand, improving rural demand, a pick-up in manufacturing, rebound in services and robust credit expansion.