Explained | How grave is the drought emergency in Somalia?
The HinduRains in Somalia have ‘faltered’ for three consecutive seasons, with some areas experiencing it on as many as four occasions till date. As per the Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit’s estimates, 4.1 million people in Somalia would require urgent humanitarian assistance between February and June 2022. The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification’s latest report says persistent insecurity, conflict, and unresolved political tensions, particularly in central and southern Somalia, accompanied by global supply and price shocks are exacerbating the food security situation. The near-term outlook Food security: World Meteorological Center-accredited climate services provider ICPAC says, “If the upcoming March-April-May rain season fails, this would lead to a historic four-season drought that would suppress critical food and income sources through mid- to-late 2022.” It added that average rainfalls would not lead to any immediate recovery. Population displacement: Worsening drought conditions and persistent food insecurity could lead to increased displacement from rural to urban areas and existing settlements through mid-2022, in case humanitarian assistance is not adequately scaled up.