When Is It Safe To Ease Social Distancing? Here's What One Model Says For Each State
4 years, 8 months ago

When Is It Safe To Ease Social Distancing? Here's What One Model Says For Each State

NPR  

When Is It Safe To Ease Social Distancing? Here's What One Model Says For Each State Enlarge this image toggle caption Dustin Chambers/Bloomberg via Getty Images Dustin Chambers/Bloomberg via Getty Images Updated April 28, 5:00 p.m. IHME's answer: 1 new infection per million people in a given state. Sponsor Message IHME's team built a model to forecast when each state will reach that threshold of 1 new infection per million. Among the implications is that a locality where infections are down to 1 per million might nonetheless need far more testing capacity than IHME's current approach suggests because officials will need to ensure that workers returning to jobs in crowded industries — such as meatpacking plants — are not asymptomatic spreaders of the disease.

States Model State Sponsor Message Each State Social Distancing Ihme Mokdad 1 New Infection  standard  safe  distancing  social  health  states  million  state  team  need  reach  ease  testing  model  heres

History of this topic

Covid rules should stay in place because of uncertainty about spread: OMT
3 years, 2 months ago

Covid rules should stay in place because of uncertainty about spread: OMT

Dutch News  

New estimates about the spread of coronavirus in the autumn and winter are more unfavourable than thought earlier, government health advisors have said in their latest assessment of the pandemic. After social distancing was scrapped on September 25, the number of infections had risen within two weeks, and this makes it inadvisable to relax the rules even more, the OMT …

Covid rules should stay in place because of uncertainty about spread: OMT
3 years, 2 months ago

Covid rules should stay in place because of uncertainty about spread: OMT

Dutch News  

New estimates about the spread of coronavirus in the autumn and winter are more unfavourable than thought earlier, government health advisors have said in their latest assessment of the pandemic. After social distancing was scrapped on September 25, the number of infections had risen within two weeks, and this makes it inadvisable to relax the rules even more, the OMT …

Modellers warned Covid cases could soar to '1million per week' ahead of July 19 'Freedom Day'
3 years, 5 months ago

Modellers warned Covid cases could soar to '1million per week' ahead of July 19 'Freedom Day'

Daily Mail  

Government modellers predicted there could be one million Covid cases a week in a last-minute warning before the July 19 'Freedom Day'. Scientists had forecast rising case numbers, predicting that July 19 would see 'further waves of infections, hospitalisations and deaths' It does not yet appear that the lifting of rules on 'Freedom Day' had a significant impact on the …

Sydney's lockdown could extend until September if social distancing doesn't improve, data shows
3 years, 5 months ago

Sydney's lockdown could extend until September if social distancing doesn't improve, data shows

ABC  

Sydneysiders are getting better at social distancing, but vaccination rates aren't high enough to get us out of lockdown until at least mid-September, new modelling shows. Key points: Compliance with restrictions has improved from 40 per cent to 60 per cent Compliance with restrictions has improved from 40 per cent to 60 per cent But modelling shows it needs to …

COVID-19 cases rise as states ease restrictions; CDC director warns of "impending doom"
3 years, 9 months ago

COVID-19 cases rise as states ease restrictions; CDC director warns of "impending doom"

Salon  

News of the vaccination roll-out might have misled Americans into believing that it was okay to relax. Indeed, as states begin to roll back COVID-19 restrictions, infections are going up rapidly in the United States — prompting one high ranking official to warn of "impending doom." "I'm going to pause here, I'm going to lose the script and I'm going …

COVID-19 cases in US may double before Biden takes office: Study
4 years, 1 month ago

COVID-19 cases in US may double before Biden takes office: Study

Live Mint  

With Inauguration Day for US President-elect Joe Biden still two months away, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country is likely to increase to 20 million by the end of January, nearly doubling the current level of 12 million cases, predicts a new study. "One of the key reasons for the increased accuracy of this model over other …

Wondering who to see? The most responsible COVID strategy is 'social bubbles', study finds
4 years, 6 months ago

Wondering who to see? The most responsible COVID strategy is 'social bubbles', study finds

ABC  

As we return to the pubs and bars after a period of strict social distancing, but without a vaccine, 'strategic distancing' may help keep down the rate of COVID-19 infections, a study has found. Short of complete lockdown, what is the best way to arrange a social network — a friendship group, an office, a city — to minimise contacts …

U.S. Could Have Saved 36,000 Lives If Social Distancing Started 1 Week Earlier: Study
4 years, 7 months ago

U.S. Could Have Saved 36,000 Lives If Social Distancing Started 1 Week Earlier: Study

NPR  

U.S. Could Have Saved 36,000 Lives If Social Distancing Started 1 Week Earlier: Study Enlarge this image toggle caption Joe Raedle/Getty Images Joe Raedle/Getty Images Updated at 12:10 p.m. ET The U.S. could have prevented roughly 36,000 deaths from COVID-19 if broad social distancing measures had been put in place just one week earlier in March, according to an analysis …

U.S. Coronavirus Testing Still Falls Short. How's Your State Doing?
4 years, 8 months ago

U.S. Coronavirus Testing Still Falls Short. How's Your State Doing?

NPR  

U.S. Coronavirus Testing Still Falls Short. Harvard's testing estimate increased, says Ashish Jha, director of the Global Health Institute, because the latest modeling shows that the outbreak in the United States is worse than projected earlier. Estimates are directional, not literal Researchers at the Global Health Initiative at Harvard considered three different models of the U.S. coronavirus outbreak as a …

Why America’s social distancing efforts have had ‘painfully slow’ results
4 years, 8 months ago

Why America’s social distancing efforts have had ‘painfully slow’ results

CNN  

CNN — It’s been over six weeks since New York closed schools and businesses and initiated stay-at-home orders to stop the spread of coronavirus. “We know social distancing is most effective when applied early, consistently and aggressively,” said Dr. Leana Wen, an emergency physician and former Baltimore health commissioner. “If you persisted with social distancing as New Zealand has, and …

Coronavirus model from IHME doubles projected US deaths to 134,000 as social distancing fades
4 years, 8 months ago

Coronavirus model from IHME doubles projected US deaths to 134,000 as social distancing fades

CNN  

CNN — An influential coronavirus model often cited by the White House has doubled its projections for US deaths, now forecasting that more than 134,000 people will die from Covid-19 by August. This “effect of premature relaxation of social distancing, which has a substantial effect in some states,” will lead to more cases and more deaths, said Dr. Christopher Murray, …

White House's Social Distancing Guidelines Will Be 'Fading Out,' Trump Says
4 years, 8 months ago

White House's Social Distancing Guidelines Will Be 'Fading Out,' Trump Says

NPR  

White House's Social Distancing Guidelines Will Be 'Fading Out,' Trump Says Enlarge this image toggle caption Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images President Trump said the existing coronavirus social distancing guidelines that are set to expire with the end of April on Thursday will not be extended further, as more governors begin steps to lift restrictions …

New study suggests COVID-19 may become seasonal; countries must continue physical distancing until 2022
4 years, 8 months ago

New study suggests COVID-19 may become seasonal; countries must continue physical distancing until 2022

Firstpost  

A recent study by Harvard scientists has suggested that a one-time practice of physical distancing will not be enough to counter this global pandemic. Physical distancing to beat COVID-19 A recent study by Harvard scientists led by Stephen Kessler has suggested that a one-time practice of physical distancing will not be enough to counter this global pandemic. “Seasonal variation in …

Coronavirus: What is social distancing and will it stop the outbreak spreading in the UK?
4 years, 8 months ago

Coronavirus: What is social distancing and will it stop the outbreak spreading in the UK?

The Independent  

Sign up to our free Living Well email for advice on living a happier, healthier and longer life Live your life healthier and happier with our free weekly Living Well newsletter Live your life healthier and happier with our free weekly Living Well newsletter SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. …

More than 18,000 Americans now dead from coronavirus
4 years, 8 months ago

More than 18,000 Americans now dead from coronavirus

Daily Mail  

More than 18,000 Americans have now died from coronavirus after the death toll increased by 1,300 in 24 hours - as updated projections show today will be the peak day for fatalities amid the pandemic. The new estimates brought forward the peak day of deaths by two days to April 10 with 1,983 people predicted to die from the coronavirus …

US coronavirus: Fauci says hospitalizations are dropping because social distancing is working
4 years, 9 months ago

US coronavirus: Fauci says hospitalizations are dropping because social distancing is working

CNN  

CNN — The number of coronavirus patients in New York and Connecticut is starting to rise at a slower rate and the nation’s top infectious disease official says it’s a sign that social distancing is working. Easing social distancing too soon risks “a huge resurgence – and much worse than what we’ve seen already,” Crystal Watson, assistant professor at Johns …

Mobility in US has fallen by 50% with biggest drops seen in areas with strict social distancing
4 years, 9 months ago

Mobility in US has fallen by 50% with biggest drops seen in areas with strict social distancing

Daily Mail  

A new analysis of Twitter indicates that social distancing measure are having an effect in slowing the spread of coronavirus in the US Since social distancing began on March 16, mobility among Americans has been cut by almost half of what it was. Researchers from Johns Hopkins University found that the biggest drop in geo-tagged tweets occurred in areas with …

Expert says all 50 US states need to be on coronavirus lockdown at the same time
4 years, 9 months ago

Expert says all 50 US states need to be on coronavirus lockdown at the same time

Daily Mail  

All 50 states in the United States need to be on lockdown at the same time to help stop the spread of coronavirus, according to a virus expert who predicts social distancing will need to continue for another 10 weeks. Virologist Dr Joseph Fair said the entire country needs to better follow social distancing guidelines and implement lockdowns after the …

Social distancing appears to be slowing the spread of coronavirus, experts say
4 years, 9 months ago

Social distancing appears to be slowing the spread of coronavirus, experts say

CNN  

CNN — The two top infectious disease experts on the White House coronavirus task force think social distancing measures appear to be helping but reminded Americans they are going to have a significant effect on how many people in the Unites States die. President Donald Trump announced the White House’s coronavirus guidelines would be extended for another 30 days and …

The Covid-19 lockdown logic and science behind it
4 years, 9 months ago

The Covid-19 lockdown logic and science behind it

Hindustan Times  

As India goes under a lockdown with new coronavirus cases becoming a steady stream, it’s important to assess the role that lockdowns and strict social distancing can play in controlling the outbreak. Health experts say that social distancing is the best way to prevent hundreds of thousands of cases appearing in batches, overwhelming a country’s health care system. TARGET R0<1 …

Why Social Distancing Could Go On A Lot Longer Than We Think
4 years, 9 months ago

Why Social Distancing Could Go On A Lot Longer Than We Think

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING If and when the world sees a reduction in the number of new coronavirus cases, we may have the work of Neil Ferguson, a British mathematical biologist, to thank. most notably, large scale social distancing, will need to be in place for many months, perhaps until a vaccine becomes available.” By week’s end, U.K. Prime Minister Boris …

Coronavirus tips: The do’s and don’ts of social distancing
4 years, 9 months ago

Coronavirus tips: The do’s and don’ts of social distancing

LA Times  

Shoppers keep their distance while waiting in line outside a supermarket in Barcelona, Spain, on Monday. As health officials in the United States work to slow the spread of COVID-19, they’ve asked Americans to do one important thing: practice social distancing. Life without its interaction can be trying, but public health experts insist that each person’s commitment to social distancing …

New Analysis Suggests Months Of Social Distancing May Be Needed To Stop Virus
4 years, 9 months ago

New Analysis Suggests Months Of Social Distancing May Be Needed To Stop Virus

NPR  

New Analysis Suggests Months Of Social Distancing May Be Needed To Stop Virus Enlarge this image toggle caption Gabriela Bhaskar/Bloomberg via Getty Images Gabriela Bhaskar/Bloomberg via Getty Images The United States is facing a grim dilemma: either effectively shut down society for months to prevent transmission of the coronavirus or see health care systems overwhelmed by people needing treatment for …

How social distancing works and what it means for you
4 years, 9 months ago

How social distancing works and what it means for you

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — Can my kids go on a play date? On Monday, U.S. officials recommended that older people and those with underlying health conditions “stay home and away from other people.” The U.S. is also telling people not to gather in large groups. “We’re not being told to stay at home and lock the doors,” said Dr. Willam Schaffner, …

Coronavirus outbreak: Health authorities prescribe 'social distancing' as way to keep spread of COVID-19 in check; what does it entail?
4 years, 9 months ago

Coronavirus outbreak: Health authorities prescribe 'social distancing' as way to keep spread of COVID-19 in check; what does it entail?

Firstpost  

With cases of the novel coronavirus in India increasing to 114 on Monday, the Centre and state governments are doubling down on measures to curb the spread of the flu-like disease that has claimed over 5,000 lives worldwide and has infected at least one lakh people. With cases of the novel coronavirus in India increasing to 114 on Monday, the …

Social Distancing: What It Means And What To Avoid Because Of Coronavirus
4 years, 9 months ago

Social Distancing: What It Means And What To Avoid Because Of Coronavirus

Huff Post  

Cases of coronavirus infection continue to spread. “There is no specific number of the people to say, ’All right, yes, you can go to a gathering where there are only five or 10 people, for example,” said Muhiuddin Haider, a clinical professor of global health at the University of Maryland. “That includes a more aggressive concept of social distancing.” For …

Coronavirus infection prevention — what is social distancing and how do I do it?
4 years, 9 months ago

Coronavirus infection prevention — what is social distancing and how do I do it?

ABC  

As cases of coronavirus continue to surge in Australia, health authorities are advising Australians practise social distancing as much as possible to limit transmission. Key points: If you've returned from non-high risk countries, you should practise social distance That means keeping 1.5 metres away from other people, if possible Spending time in enclosed spaces like family gatherings or bars is …

Social Distancing: Places And Events To Avoid Because Of Coronavirus
4 years, 9 months ago

Social Distancing: Places And Events To Avoid Because Of Coronavirus

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING Cases of coronavirus infection continue to spread. Many local governments have followed suit, placing limits on public gatherings as part of what’s known as “social distancing.” In California, for instance, Gov. “There is no specific number of the people to say, ’All right, yes, you can go to a gathering where there are only five or 10 …

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