IMF chief says the global economy has shown resilience in the face of COVID, war and high rates
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF chief says the global economy has shown resilience in the face of COVID, war and high rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The global economy has shown “remarkable resilience’’ but still bears deep scars from the coronavirus pandemic, the war in Ukraine and rising interest rates, the head of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday. “While the recovery from the shocks of the past few years continues, it is slow and it is uneven,’’ IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in a speech in Abidjan, Ivory Coast, ahead of next week’s fall meetings of the IMF and the World Bank. Weighing on global growth is China’s disappointing recovery despite the lifting late last year of draconian zero-COVID policies, which had crippled commerce in the world’s second-biggest economy last year. She said the odds are rising that global economy can manage a “soft landing’’ — avoiding recession even while bringing down inflationary pressure.

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History of this topic

China's Economic Stability: A Steady Beacon Amid Global Uncertainty
1 month, 3 weeks ago

China's Economic Stability: A Steady Beacon Amid Global Uncertainty

China Daily  

China's economy remains a stabilizing force in the global economy, despite the challenges of global geopolitical rivalries and rising government debt. The country's structural reforms and high-quality development strategies have contributed to its stability and growth. China's commitment to high-quality development and its willingness to engage in global trade and cooperation remain crucial for maintaining its economic prosperity and stability …

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections
2 months ago

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections

China Daily  

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its global growth projections for 2024, with a revised forecast of 3.2 percent for this year and 4.5 percent for 2025. The IMF warns about the global economic outlook, highlighting geopolitical risks, trade protectionism, and challenges in the real estate sector.

'Risk of major financial fallout' as IMF sounds the alarm on persistent global inflation
5 months, 1 week ago

'Risk of major financial fallout' as IMF sounds the alarm on persistent global inflation

ABC  

The message seems to have been lost in all the noise. The biggest risk is that higher American interest rates "disrupt capital flows and impede planned monetary policy easing, which could adversely impact growth". Even worse, "persistently high interest rates could raise borrowing costs further and affect financial stability if fiscal improvements do not offset higher real rates amid lower …

Interest rate cuts under threat from ‘stubbornly high inflation’
5 months, 1 week ago

Interest rate cuts under threat from ‘stubbornly high inflation’

The Telegraph  

Interest rate cuts by the Bank of England and Federal Reserve are at risk of being derailed by stubbornly high inflation, the International Monetary Fund has warned. Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s chief economist, warned that underlying inflation remained “persistent”, with global growth likely to suffer if the US keeps borrowing costs at their highest level since 2001. Speaking at …

IMF’s Georgieva says there’s ‘plenty to worry about’ despite recovery for many economies
8 months ago

IMF’s Georgieva says there’s ‘plenty to worry about’ despite recovery for many economies

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The head of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday that the world economy has proven surprisingly resilient in the face of higher interest rates and the shock of war in Ukraine and Gaza, but “there is plenty to worry about,’' including stubborn inflation and rising levels of government debt. In the United States, she said, “the flipside’’ of …

US economy to outpace G7 peers with double GDP growth rate this year, claims IMF
8 months, 1 week ago

US economy to outpace G7 peers with double GDP growth rate this year, claims IMF

Hindustan Times  

US has a 2x rate of GDP growth relative to any other G7 country this year, as per International Monetary Fund projections, while its economy gains the upper hand globally, creating wild market swings by itself. International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas holds the IMF's World Economic Outlook during a press briefing at the IMF-World Bank Group spring meetings …

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards
8 months, 1 week ago

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its outlook for the global economy this year, saying the world appears headed for a “soft landing” — reining in inflation without much economic pain and producing steady if modest growth. In its latest outlook, the IMF, a 190-country lending organization, notes that the global expansion is being powered by unexpectedly strong …

Recession has struck some of world’s top economies; US keeps defying expectations
10 months, 1 week ago

Recession has struck some of world’s top economies; US keeps defying expectations

New Indian Express  

Several unique characteristics of the US economy have sheltered it from recessionary storms, analysts say. The US government provided about $5 trillion in pandemic aid in 2020-2021, far more than overseas counterparts, which left most households in much better financial shape and supported consumer spending well into 2023. “But also the structure of our economy is so much different.” Americans …

Report: US economy grew faster than any other G7 country last year
10 months, 3 weeks ago

Report: US economy grew faster than any other G7 country last year

Daily Mail  

America's economy is growing at a faster pace than any other G7 country in part thanks to a post-pandemic productivity boom, experts say. The IMF World Economic Outlook report estimates the US economy grew by 2.5 percent in 2023 - and is set for a similar 2.1 percent growth in 2024. Figures released today show US worker productivity grew at …

Interest rates to keep falling but last mile 'very very tricky', says IMF Chief Kristalina Georgieva
11 months ago

Interest rates to keep falling but last mile 'very very tricky', says IMF Chief Kristalina Georgieva

India TV News  

IMF Chief Kristalina Georgieva said on Thursday that interest rates are expected to continue falling in 2024, but she cautioned that the last stage is "very, very tricky" and there is no room for policy errors. During an interview at the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting 2024 in Davos, she emphasised that central banks should avoid premature tightening, as they …

Global economy will slow for a third straight year in 2024, World Bank predicts
11 months, 2 weeks ago

Global economy will slow for a third straight year in 2024, World Bank predicts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Hobbled by high interest rates, persistent inflation, slumping trade and a diminished China, the global economy will slow for a third consecutive year in 2024. “Near-term growth will remain weak, leaving many developing countries — especially the poorest — stuck in a trap: with paralyzing levels of debt and tenuous access to food for nearly one out of …

The global economy in 2024: Key clues to watch out for
11 months, 3 weeks ago

The global economy in 2024: Key clues to watch out for

Al Jazeera  

US interest rates, oil prices and the Chinese economy will determine the global economy next year. “And once an economic slowdown gets under way, it risks feeding on itself,” he said, adding that while falling inflation will be an important factor in determining monetary policy, “weakening growth will almost certainly determine when the Fed will pivot.” Federal funds futures are …

IMF: Neighboring economies likely hit by Israel-Hamas war
1 year, 1 month ago

IMF: Neighboring economies likely hit by Israel-Hamas war

CNN  

London CNN — The Israel-Hamas war is likely tohurt other economies in the Middle East, including Egypt, Lebanon and Jordan, International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva said Wednesday. While Wall Street has largely brushed off the war, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development warned Wednesday of dire consequences for the already hobbled “Palestinian economy,” referring to Gaza …

A Soft Landing in the U.S. Could Be Hard for Everyone Else
1 year, 2 months ago

A Soft Landing in the U.S. Could Be Hard for Everyone Else

Live Mint  

The U.S. economy might be heading for a soft landing. Surprising strength in the U.S. economy poses a threat to the rest of the world, portending higher interest rates for longer and a stronger dollar that will weigh on other countries’ growth. Fragmentation Strong U.S. economic data, including September’s blockbuster hiring report, helped send Treasury yields to 16-year highs as …

IMF outlook worsens for a ‘limping’ world economy. Mideast war poses new uncertainty
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF outlook worsens for a ‘limping’ world economy. Mideast war poses new uncertainty

Associated Press  

The world economy has lost momentum from the impact of higher interest rates, the invasion of Ukraine and widening geopolitical rifts, and it now faces new uncertainty from the war between Israel and Hamas militants, International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday. “The global economy is limping along, not sprinting,” IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said at a news conference during the …

IMF downgrades outlook for ‘limping’ world economy, with Mideast posing new challenge
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF downgrades outlook for ‘limping’ world economy, with Mideast posing new challenge

LA Times  

The International Monetary Fund and World Bank are holding their annual meetings in Marrakech, Morocco. “The global economy is limping along, not sprinting,” IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said at a news conference during the organization’s annual meeting, which is being held in Marrakech, Morocco. It’s “too early” to assess the impact on global economic growth from the days-old war …

IMF chief says the global economy has show resilience in the face of COVID, war and high rates
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF chief says the global economy has show resilience in the face of COVID, war and high rates

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon warns 7% interest rates would cripple the global economy as the Fed holds the line at 5.5%: 'You find out who is swimming naked when that tide goes out'
1 year, 2 months ago

JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon warns 7% interest rates would cripple the global economy as the Fed holds the line at 5.5%: 'You find out who is swimming naked when that tide goes out'

Daily Mail  

The boss of JPMorgan has warned that the worst of the interest rate pain may still be ahead for businesses and families already scarred by an historic round of hikes. JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon said that the Fed was forced to hold on another hike at its latest meeting because the effect of a jump to 5 to 7 percent …

China's economy on slow lane: Is the country's 4-decade glory run over?
1 year, 4 months ago

China's economy on slow lane: Is the country's 4-decade glory run over?

India Today  

The Chinese economy is in deep trouble and its ripples are being felt across the globe. Structural gaps in the Chinese economy had started to show even before the Covid-19 pandemic ravaged the world economy, but the miscalculated steps taken by the People's Republic of China made the economic situation worse. In 2021, GDP growth in China bounced back to …

Wall Street drops as faltering Chinese economy sets off global slide
1 year, 4 months ago

Wall Street drops as faltering Chinese economy sets off global slide

LA Times  

China’s recovery has faltered so much that it unexpectedly cut a key interest rate Tuesday and skipped a report on how many of its younger workers are unemployed. A sharp drop for Wall Street capped a day of declines around the world Tuesday after discouraging data on China raised worries about the global economy. But China’s recovery has faltered so …

IMF global economic outlook sees slight growth, but inflation still a drag
1 year, 4 months ago

IMF global economic outlook sees slight growth, but inflation still a drag

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Global growth will see a slight improvement compared to previous International Monetary Fund projections but “many challenges still cloud the horizon, and it is too early to celebrate,” the organization’s chief economist said Tuesday. IMF economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas gave his assessment as the organization projected that global economic growth will slow to an estimated 3% in 2023 and …

The world economy is still in danger
1 year, 4 months ago

The world economy is still in danger

Hindustan Times  

Economists are not known for their optimism, but today their good cheer is palpable. Other central banks were following suit, their inflation problems made worse by a surging dollar —a particular problem for the emerging markets that borrow and trade using America’s currency. Yet news that America’s headline rate of annual inflation fell to 3% in June has fed hopes …

How to explain the puzzle of the world economy
1 year, 5 months ago

How to explain the puzzle of the world economy

Hindustan Times  

What is mona lisa doing? Few seem to expect a “no-landing” scenario, in which the economy remains untroubled by rising interest rates—a fashionable opinion just weeks ago, and one which itself supplanted a common view late last year that a mild recession was certain. The word “uncertainty” appears more than 60 times in the imf’s latest global economic outlook, about …

Global shares jump on Wall Street’s return to its highest level in over a year
1 year, 5 months ago

Global shares jump on Wall Street’s return to its highest level in over a year

The Hindu  

Global shares rose on July 13, boosted by Wall Street's return to its highest level in more than a year after a report showed U.S. consumer inflation cooled a bit more than expected last month. Chinese exports tumbled 12.4% in June from a year earlier as demand weakened after the Central Bank raised interest rates to curb inflation even as …

US economy grew at weak 1.1% rate in Q1 in sign of slowdown
1 year, 7 months ago

US economy grew at weak 1.1% rate in Q1 in sign of slowdown

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy slowed sharply from January through March, decelerating to just a 1.1% annual pace as higher interest rates hammered the housing market and businesses reduced their inventories. The economy’s slowdown reflects the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive drive to tame inflation, with nine interest rate hikes over the past year. “We continue to expect the …

Nation's pace of recovery offers global inspiration
1 year, 8 months ago

Nation's pace of recovery offers global inspiration

China Daily  

A view of Beijing's CBD area on Aug 19, 2022. The World Bank has revised its global growth prospects, thanks to a strong economic rebound by China following Beijing's optimization of COVID-19 containment measures. China's economy is now expected to grow by 5.1 percent in 2023, injecting new impetus into the global economic outlook, which is now projected to grow …

IMF: Prolonged high inflation dims outlook for world economy
1 year, 8 months ago

IMF: Prolonged high inflation dims outlook for world economy

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The outlook for the world economy this year has dimmed in the face of chronically high inflation, rising interest rates and uncertainties resulting from the collapse of two big American banks. The fund said the possibility of a “hard landing,” in which rising interest rates weaken growth so much as to cause a recession, has ”risen sharply,” especially …

IMF head expects less than 3% global economic growth in 2023
1 year, 8 months ago

IMF head expects less than 3% global economic growth in 2023

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund chief said Thursday the world economy is expected to grow less than 3% this year, down from 3.4% last year, increasing the risk of hunger and poverty globally. Kristalina Georgieva said the period of slower economic activity will be prolonged, with the next five years of growth remaining around 3%, calling it “our lowest …

Risk of hunger, poverty higher due to slow economic growth: IMF
1 year, 8 months ago

Risk of hunger, poverty higher due to slow economic growth: IMF

Al Jazeera  

IMF head said persistently high interest rates, a series of bank failures in the US and Europe, and deepening geopolitical divisions are threatening global financial stability. Kristalina Georgieva said on Thursday that growth is expected to remain about 3 percent for the next five years, calling it “our lowest medium-term growth forecast since 1990”, adding that it would be a …

US-China conflict could hit global GDP, IMF warns
1 year, 8 months ago

US-China conflict could hit global GDP, IMF warns

Live Mint  

Geopolitical fragmentation, driven by tensions between the US and China, risks damaging the global economy, with foreign direct investment and other capital increasingly being channeled toward aligned blocs of countries, the International Monetary Fund warns. The investment risk outlook is among the IMF’s loudest warnings since the coronavirus pandemic regarding global economic damage, particularly to poorer countries, from the US-China …

China to lift global growth amid uncertainty, IMF head says
1 year, 8 months ago

China to lift global growth amid uncertainty, IMF head says

China Daily  

Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the China Development Forum 2023 in Beijing on March 26, 2023. China's economy is experiencing a strong rebound that will deliver a welcome lift to the world economy, contributing about one-third of global growth in 2023, said Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund. It is advisable …

China's rebound will be positive for world economy, offset Fed risks
1 year, 9 months ago

China's rebound will be positive for world economy, offset Fed risks

China Daily  

A view of Beijing's CBD area on Aug 19, 2022. The US' annual inflation rate, which had soared close to 10 percent in summer last year, slowed, but slightly, to 6.4 percent in January, although the interest rate has been hiked to almost 5 percent. Despite the media hysteria in the West, China's annual inflation rate rose to only 2.1 …

Inflation and recession: Can the world defeat both in 2023?
1 year, 10 months ago

Inflation and recession: Can the world defeat both in 2023?

Al Jazeera  

No, says conventional wisdom. The IMF, World Bank and many other experts have pointed to one key factor pushing the economy towards a recession: sharp interest rate hikes by central banks in recent months to tame soaring inflation. Amid the COVID-19 pandemic that crushed the global economy because of lockdowns and supply chain bottlenecks, central banks around the world cut …

Europe scrapes out economic growth by dodging gas disaster
1 year, 10 months ago

Europe scrapes out economic growth by dodging gas disaster

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — Europe’s economy scraped out meager gains at the end of last year as galloping inflation fed by high energy prices and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine deterred people from spending in shops and restaurants. He added that “the positive reading could mask underlying weakness in domestic demand” and that “private consumption is likely to have contracted.” “The main …

IMF upgrades outlook for the global economy in 2023
1 year, 10 months ago

IMF upgrades outlook for the global economy in 2023

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The outlook for the global economy is growing slightly brighter as China eases its zero-COVID policies and the world shows surprising resilience in the face of high inflation, elevated interest rates and Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine. The IMF said China’s “recent reopening has paved the way for a faster-than-expected recovery.’’ The IMF now expects China’s economy — …

IMF lifts 2023 global growth forecast; says recession risk lower
1 year, 10 months ago

IMF lifts 2023 global growth forecast; says recession risk lower

The Hindu  

The outlook for the global economy is growing slightly brighter as China eases its zero-COVID policies and the world shows surprising resilience in the face of high inflation, elevated interest rates and Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine. The IMF said global growth would still fall to 2.9% in 2023 from 3.4% in 2022, but its latest World Economic Outlook forecasts …

US, Chinese officials discuss climate, economy, relationship
1 year, 11 months ago

US, Chinese officials discuss climate, economy, relationship

Associated Press  

ZURICH — U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen met on Wednesday with her Chinese counterpart and pledged an effort to manage differences and “prevent competition from becoming anything ever near conflict” as the two nations try to thaw relations. A U.S. Treasury readout of the 2 1/2-hour meeting says the two agreed that the U.S. and China would cooperate more on …

China to inject new impetus into global economy
1 year, 11 months ago

China to inject new impetus into global economy

China Daily  

Foreign enterprises and international experts believe that China's optimization of COVID-19 response, which expands the flows of people, will help activate the country's economic vitality and potential, and bring important benefits to world recovery and growth. Daniel Lacalle, chief economist at Spain's asset manager Tressis Management, noted that China's optimization of COVID-19 response is good news to the market in …

IMF chief's advice to China on reopening economy amid Covid
1 year, 11 months ago

IMF chief's advice to China on reopening economy amid Covid

Hindustan Times  

The head of the International Monetary Fund urged China to move forward with reopening its economy, calling the nation’s transition from a Covid Zero policy to more normal functioning likely the single most important factor for global growth in 2023. Read here: WHO says Covid deaths in China ‘heavily underreported’; praises US transparency The Washington-based financial institution believes that a …

World Bank says fragile economic conditions might usher in recession
1 year, 11 months ago

World Bank says fragile economic conditions might usher in recession

The Hindu  

Global growth is slowing sharply in the face of elevated inflation, higher interest rates, reduced investment, and disruptions caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, according to the World Bank's latest Global Economic Prospects report. "The crisis facing development is intensifying as the global growth outlook deteriorates," said World Bank Group President David Malpass. "Emerging and developing countries are facing a …

World Bank: Recession a looming threat for global economy
1 year, 11 months ago

World Bank: Recession a looming threat for global economy

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The global economy will come “perilously close” to a recession this year, led by weaker growth in all the world’s top economies — the United States, Europe and China — the World Bank warned on Tuesday. Though the United States might avoid a recession this year — the World Bank predicts the U.S. economy will eke out growth …

Global economy ‘perilously close’ to a recession: World Bank
1 year, 11 months ago

Global economy ‘perilously close’ to a recession: World Bank

Al Jazeera  

The global economy will come “perilously close” to a recession this year, led by weaker growth in all the world’s top economies – the United States, Europe and China – the World Bank warned on Tuesday. Though the United States might avoid a recession this year – the World Bank has predicted the US economy will eke out growth of …

2023 to be tougher for global economy than 2022, IMF chief says
1 year, 11 months ago

2023 to be tougher for global economy than 2022, IMF chief says

Al Jazeera  

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva says one-third of world’s economies expected to be in recession this year. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said 2023 will be a “tough year”, with one-third of the world’s economies expected to be in recession. Because the three big economies, US, EU, China, are all slowing down simultaneously,” Georgieva said during an appearance on the …

From China to inflation, 5 economic trends to watch in 2023
1 year, 11 months ago

From China to inflation, 5 economic trends to watch in 2023

Al Jazeera  

The global economy is facing risks and opportunities next year from rising interest rates to China’s reopening. The partial reversal of globalisation means more expensive imports, shortages of labour in many Western countries leads to more expensive production, and green transition measures to combat the greatest threat our species faces are all leading to higher inflation than we’ve been used …

World economy to experience recession in 2023, says Centre for Economics and Business Research
1 year, 11 months ago

World economy to experience recession in 2023, says Centre for Economics and Business Research

Firstpost  

The CEBR takes its base data from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook and uses an internal model to forecast growth, inflation and exchange rates According to the Centre for Economics and Business Research, the world will experience a recession in 2023 as a result of rising borrowing prices intended to combat inflation. According to the British consultancy’s annual World Economic …

IMF Chief Urges 'Targeted Approach' To COVID Policy in China
2 years ago

IMF Chief Urges 'Targeted Approach' To COVID Policy in China

News 18  

It is time for China to move away from massive lockdowns and toward a more targeted approach to COVID-19, the head of the International Monetary Fund said days after widespread protests broke out, a change that would ease the impact to a world economy already struggling with high inflation, an energy crisis and disrupted food supply. IMF Managing Director Kristalina …

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva urges targeted COVID policy in China
2 years ago

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva urges targeted COVID policy in China

The Hindu  

It is time for China to move away from massive lockdowns and toward a more targeted approach to COVID-19, the head of the International Monetary Fund said days after widespread protests broke out, a change that would ease the impact to a world economy already struggling with high inflation, an energy crisis and disrupted food supply. IMF Managing Director Kristalina …

OECD forecast: High rates, inflation to slow world growth
2 years, 1 month ago

OECD forecast: High rates, inflation to slow world growth

Associated Press  

Hobbled by high interest rates, punishing inflation and Russia’s war against Ukraine, the world economy is expected to eke out only modest growth this year and to expand even more tepidly in 2023. Inflation — largely fueled by high energy prices — “has become broad-based and persistent,” Cormann said, while “real household incomes across many countries have weakened despite support …

World economy to grow 3.1% this year, down from 5.9% : OECD
2 years, 1 month ago

World economy to grow 3.1% this year, down from 5.9% : OECD

Al Jazeera  

While not predicting a global recession, the OECD said it was ‘a very, very challenging outlook’ for this year and next. Hobbled by high interest rates, punishing inflation and Russia’s war against Ukraine, the world economy is expected to eke out only modest growth this year and to expand even more tepidly in 2023. In the OECD’s estimation, the world …

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