
Bank of England Poised to Take a Hawkish Tilt: Decision Guide
Live Mint-- The Bank of England is likely to turn less dovish on Thursday as officials start to fret about the fallout from Donald Trump’s tariff wars and a renewed bout of domestic inflation. Rate-setters added “careful” to the language to reflect the uncertainty created by Trump’s aggressive trade policies, which threaten both slower growth and higher inflation. Bailey has said this wording doesn’t necessarily mean slower reductions in borrowing costs, arguing that the “risks are two-sided.” The minutes are also expected to underscore the BOE’s meeting-by-meeting approach and differences on the committee over whether the UK economy’s weakness is driven by tepid demand or subdued supply. Growth and inflation While the BOE’s next forecasts are not due until the May meeting, it could provide some early tweaks to projections made last month. Earlier this month Bailey said the impact on inflation “can be ambiguous” but warned that the risks to the UK economy “are substantial.” The OECD this week warned of slower growth and higher inflation across developed economies that could worsen notably if trade tensions escalate.
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