Spike in UK Borrowing Costs Wipes Out Reeves’ Fiscal Headroom
Live MintThe increase in UK borrowing costs since last week’s budget has wiped out all of Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves’ headroom against her main fiscal rule, raising the prospect of further tax rises or spending cuts unless the debt picture changes. Tom Josephs, a senior member of the UK’s fiscal watchdog, told lawmakers Tuesday that a 0.3 percentage point rise in government borrowing costs would eliminate all of the £9.9 billion of space against Reeves’ “current budget” rule that day-to-day spending must be paid out of tax. The narrow fiscal space on the debt rule was partly related to an error by the OBR, which had overestimated PSNFL by £18 billion for the previous Conservative government’s final budget in March. Hughes told the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee at a separate event Tuesday that the OBR “realized this error several months ago” and gave the Treasury “a re-based forecast” long before Reeves’ budget on Oct. 30.