NFL picks against the spread: Vic Tafur’s Week 9 predictions
2 years, 4 months ago

NFL picks against the spread: Vic Tafur’s Week 9 predictions

New York Times  

Read: NFL picks against the spread for Week 1 of the 2023 season. Since Week 6, the Seahawks defense ranks third in EPA/drive and points per drive, as well as forcing three-and-outs at the NFL’s ninth-highest rate. But the Buccaneers look lost — their banged-up defense gets worse every week, while the offense can’t run the ball and Tom Brady … yes, Brady looks old. Brady’s touchdown rate with Evans the last three years: 2020: 11.5 percent 2021: 12.3 percent 2022: 5.1 percent Keep fading the old guys Rodgers and Brady, as the Rams defense steps up big here. The Titans won without him last week because they were playing the Texans, and rookie Malik Willis didn’t even have to throw the ball much.

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History of this topic

Pro Picks: Texans, Ravens, Bills, Eagles, Bucs and Vikings will advance to the next round
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Pro Picks: Texans, Ravens, Bills, Eagles, Bucs and Vikings will advance to the next round

Associated Press  

The NFL’s wild-card weekend features divisional rivals facing off, two NFC rematches from Week 1 and the Harbaugh brothers coaching on the same day. Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Line: Chargers minus 3 Justin Herbert’s only playoff game ended with the Chargers blowing a 27-0 lead against the Jaguars in the wild-card round two years ago. BILLS: 26-19 Green Bay …

NFL Week 18 picks against the spread: Can Russell Wilson, Steelers right the ship?
2 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Week 18 picks against the spread: Can Russell Wilson, Steelers right the ship?

New York Times  

You gotta love Week 18, when the likes of Carson Wentz, Jimmy Garoppolo and Mitch Trubisky come out of the shadows to lead their teams through 60 minutes of meaningless football. Zay Flowers had seven catches for 115 yards in the first matchup, while tight end Mark Andrews’ 149.9 target passer rating is the best among NFL receivers and tight …

NFL Week 17 picks against the spread: Patrick Mahomes keeps showcasing his greatness
3 months ago

NFL Week 17 picks against the spread: Patrick Mahomes keeps showcasing his greatness

New York Times  

Shoutout to the Frankford Yellow Jackets. As far as the Bears go, we picked them last week even though we’ve said Caleb Williams has not gotten better since they fired the head coach Matt Eberflus and offensive coordinator Shane Waldron. Justin Herbert had the fourth-best EPA per dropback rate of his career against the Broncos last week, but still ranks …

Pro Picks: Chargers over Patriots is the best bet and Broncos and Vikings will pull off upsets
3 months ago

Pro Picks: Chargers over Patriots is the best bet and Broncos and Vikings will pull off upsets

Associated Press  

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. BEST BET: CHARGERS: 23-16 Denver at Cincinnati Line: Bengals minus 3 1/2 Joe Burrow and the Bengals have to win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. RAIDERS: 20-16 Carolina at Tampa Bay Line: Buccaneers minus 8 The Panthers have embraced …

Race to No. 1: Raiders win puts Giants in driver’s seat for top NFL Draft pick
3 months ago

Race to No. 1: Raiders win puts Giants in driver’s seat for top NFL Draft pick

New York Times  

As we head through Week 16, the race for the No. Now four teams have leap-frogged the Raiders in the draft order, including two that had less than 1 percent odds for the top pick after Sunday’s early slate. Remaining schedule: Los Angeles Chargers, Buffalo Bills Jacksonville Jaguars GO DEEPER How Raiders' 19-14 win over Jaguars affects 2025 NFL Draft …

NFL Week 16 picks against the spread: Caleb Williams will keep it close against Lions
3 months, 1 week ago

NFL Week 16 picks against the spread: Caleb Williams will keep it close against Lions

New York Times  

I need to adopt a new mediocre-to-poor quarterback. It’s not like we’re asking Williams to win Sunday; just stay within seven points of a banged-up Detroit Lions team that everyone is betting will bounce back after losing to the Buffalo Bills. Herbert used to be able to lean on J.K. Dobbins and the run game, but he’s hurt and the …

NFL Week 15 picks against the spread: Panthers’ Bryce Young continues resurgence
3 months, 2 weeks ago

NFL Week 15 picks against the spread: Panthers’ Bryce Young continues resurgence

New York Times  

Anyone ready to revisit that Bryce Young–C.J. One of the big reasons we had the Rams last week was that the Bills were looking ahead to this Sunday’s game against the Lions. The pick: Titans GO DEEPER Brian Callahan, Zac Taylor share rare football journey: 'Wouldn’t be here without you' Last week was a huge opportunity for the Cardinals to …

Pro Picks: Eagles will beat Steelers in a close one and Bills will upset the Lions
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Pro Picks: Eagles will beat Steelers in a close one and Bills will upset the Lions

Associated Press  

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. Tampa Bay at Los Angeles Chargers Line: Chargers minus 3 The banged-up Buccaneers beat three last-place teams in a row to move into first place in the NFC South. BEST BET: CHARGERS: 23-17 Buffalo at Detroit Line: Lions minus 1 1/2 …

NFL Week 14 picks against the spread: Justin Jefferson’s scoreless streak will end vs. Falcons
3 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Week 14 picks against the spread: Justin Jefferson’s scoreless streak will end vs. Falcons

New York Times  

The Minnesota Vikings have won five games in a row, and amazingly, their best player, Justin Jefferson, hasn’t scored in any of those games. But there are three problems with jumping on that bandwagon in this matchup: 1) the Lions are very good against the run, so Josh Jacobs can’t carry the Packers offense here; 2) Jordan Love has been …

NFL Week 13 picks against the spread: Stay warm and pick the relaxing sides on Thanksgiving
3 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Week 13 picks against the spread: Stay warm and pick the relaxing sides on Thanksgiving

New York Times  

People like to say that Thanksgiving is about family, but it’s really about eating weird stuff that you normally don’t, taking the day off from work and reducing stress — and let’s face it, some family members can be a challenge to your relaxation goals. GO DEEPER NFL Power Rankings Week 13: Eagles, Packers rising, plus the best case for …

Five Raiders predictions at NFL midseason: Antonio Pierce will earn a second season
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Five Raiders predictions at NFL midseason: Antonio Pierce will earn a second season

New York Times  

HENDERSON, Nev. — Well, it didn’t take a shiny crystal ball to see that Luke Getsy would be a victim of the “bye week” or that the Las Vegas Raiders would stand pat at Tuesday’s trade deadline. But the Raiders fired offensive line coach James Cregg this week, and the thinking is that they’ll move away from the wide zone …

NFL Week 8 picks against the spread: Backing Jameis Winston, one of the planet’s 32 best QBs
5 months ago

NFL Week 8 picks against the spread: Backing Jameis Winston, one of the planet’s 32 best QBs

New York Times  

That sound you hear is the metal jaws of the garbage truck scraping the bottom of the bin. — Kurt Warner October 22, 2024 If Winston came in right away last week, the Browns would’ve easily covered the spread against the Cincinnati Bengals. And Winston will let it fly against a Ravens defense that ranks 27th in EPA per play …

NFL Week 7 picks against the spread: No hangover for David Montgomery’s Detroit Lions
5 months, 1 week ago

NFL Week 7 picks against the spread: No hangover for David Montgomery’s Detroit Lions

New York Times  

At this point, a blind monkey could pick games better than me. There are five road favorites this week, and there would be six if the Detroit Lions hadn’t lost pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson for the season. We’re just guessing that’s how that went, and the three or four Pederson defenders out there would tell you that Jaguars receivers dropped …

NFL Week 6 picks against the spread: Taking CeeDee Lamb’s advice about perseverance
5 months, 2 weeks ago

NFL Week 6 picks against the spread: Taking CeeDee Lamb’s advice about perseverance

New York Times  

Read The Athletic’s NFL Week 7 picks against the spread. The Eagles wouldn’t be favored by this many points over 595 other quarterbacks the last 17 years, but … The pick: Eagles GO DEEPER NFL head coaches on hot seat may include Browns' Kevin Stefanski, Eagles' Nick Sirianni Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans | 1 p.m. The pick: Colts GO …

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Rome Odunze cracks top 5, Packers move up for Cooper DeJean
1 year ago

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Rome Odunze cracks top 5, Packers move up for Cooper DeJean

New York Times  

Team needs could change in a hurry once NFL free agency opens this week. Before pen can meet paper on most of the official deals, though, let’s take one more look at how the 2024 NFL Draft’s first round could play out. GO DEEPER 15 of the most intriguing early-entry 2024 NFL Draft prospects Titans GM Ran Carthon mentioned at …

NFL Week 18 picks against the spread: In the week of backup QBs, ride Derrick Henry’s Titans
1 year, 2 months ago

NFL Week 18 picks against the spread: In the week of backup QBs, ride Derrick Henry’s Titans

New York Times  

Hey, we’re coming to you live on a Week 18 Rockin’ Eve, as we celebrate the end of the regular season and a parade of bad NFL backup quarterbacks. GO DEEPER NFL Power Rankings Week 18: Browns and Packers move up, plus a lesson from every team Last week: 9-7 against the spread, 2-3 on best bets. ET Sunday, Fox …

NFL Power Rankings Week 18: Browns and Packers move up, plus a lesson from every team
1 year, 2 months ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 18: Browns and Packers move up, plus a lesson from every team

New York Times  

Like the rest of you, the Power Rankings are trying to make some sense of this NFL year as we head into the final week of the regular season. Up next: vs. Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. Cleveland Browns Thursday: Beat New York Jets 37-20 The lesson: They didn’t even need Deshaun Watson The Browns would be one of …

NFL Week 17 takeaways: What ails the Eagles? What should Bears do with draft’s No. 1 pick?
1 year, 2 months ago

NFL Week 17 takeaways: What ails the Eagles? What should Bears do with draft’s No. 1 pick?

New York Times  

After Week 17 in the NFL began with wins by the Cleveland Browns and Dallas Cowboys, the drama continued Sunday with 14 games, including 10 in the early window. They manhandled the Dolphins — one of football’s best — even though they were coming off an emotional victory on the road and playing on a short week. The Bills and …

Pro Picks: 49ers will edge Ravens on Christmas night in a matchup of the NFL’s current No. 1 seeds
1 year, 3 months ago

Pro Picks: 49ers will edge Ravens on Christmas night in a matchup of the NFL’s current No. 1 seeds

Associated Press  

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. 49ERS, 26-23 BUFFALO at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS Line: Bills minus 12 1/2 The Bills are back in playoff contention and even have a shot at the AFC East after beating Kansas City and dominating Dallas. UPSET SPECIAL: JAGUARS, 24-23 CINCINNATI at …

NFL Week 12 picks against the spread: Brock Purdy boosts MVP case on Thanksgiving
1 year, 4 months ago

NFL Week 12 picks against the spread: Brock Purdy boosts MVP case on Thanksgiving

New York Times  

Thanksgiving preparation is always tough, and I’m not talking about the lovely people living in the kitchen for a couple of days. I don’t think it matters, as Smith has been hot and cold even when healthy, and Seattle has averaged 17.5 points per game since Week 6, including 10.7 in its three losses over that span. ET Sunday, CBS …

NFL second-half predictions for all 32 teams: Keep an eye on Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray
1 year, 4 months ago

NFL second-half predictions for all 32 teams: Keep an eye on Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray

New York Times  

The first nine weeks of the 2023 NFL season have come and gone and only one thing is for sure: No one knows with certainty what will happen next. — Adam Jahns GO DEEPER Bears predictions at NFL midseason: Matt Eberflus stays; no Justin Fields decision until May Tee Higgins will outgain Ja’Marr Chase the rest of the way: The …

College football picks against the spread: Bruce Feldman’s Week 10 picks
1 year, 4 months ago

College football picks against the spread: Bruce Feldman’s Week 10 picks

New York Times  

I had a solid week, going 6-4 against the spread to move me to three over.500 against the spread for the season. If this game were in College Station, I’d pick A&M to win, but it’s not, and Max Johnson has really struggled away from home. 3 Michigan, 7:30 p.m. No one has been able to get anywhere close to …

Pro Picks: Expect Broncos to be competitive, but still lose to Chiefs for the 16th straight time
1 year, 5 months ago

Pro Picks: Expect Broncos to be competitive, but still lose to Chiefs for the 16th straight time

Associated Press  

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. There’s no reason to think that streak of 15 straight losses will end when the Broncos line up against two-time NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in a prime-time matchup at Arrowhead Stadium. CHIEFS, 30-22 SAN FRANCISCO AT CLEVELAND Line: …

NFL Power Rankings Week 6: Lions, Jaguars on the rise, plus rookie check-in
1 year, 5 months ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 6: Lions, Jaguars on the rise, plus rookie check-in

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 It’s already Week 6 in the NFL. ET Sunday: Beat New York Giants 31-16 Miami might have missed on second-round cornerback Cam Smith, but the Dolphins made up for it with third-round pick De’Von Achane. Sunday: Beat Buffalo Bills 25-20 Wide receiver Calvin Ridley has helped after being acquired in a trade with …

Pro Picks: Big week ahead for 49ers, other favorites
1 year, 6 months ago

Pro Picks: Big week ahead for 49ers, other favorites

Associated Press  

Fourteen NFL teams are 1-1 and Pro Picks also has an even record through two weeks. BEST BET: BILLS, 29-17 PITTSBURGH AT LAS VEGAS Line: Raiders minus 2 1/2 The Steelers have as many defensive TDs as offensive and can’t stop the run. VIKINGS, 27-24 NEW ENGLAND AT NEW YORK JETS Line: Patriots minus 2 1/2 Bill Belichick and the …

Pro Picks: Mahomes, Chiefs up for a tough task vs. Lions
1 year, 6 months ago

Pro Picks: Mahomes, Chiefs up for a tough task vs. Lions

Associated Press  

The Kansas City Chiefs will have Patrick Mahomes under center after they raise their championship banner and embark on a quest to become the first team to repeat in nearly two decades. BEST BET: RAVENS, 27-13 San Francisco at Pittsburgh Brock Purdy’s surgically repaired elbow gets a tough first test against Pittsburgh’s defense led by T.J. Watt. FALCONS, 22-17 Cincinnati …

2023 NFL Draft’s best scheme fits: Anthony Richardson, Christian Gonzalez and more
1 year, 10 months ago

2023 NFL Draft’s best scheme fits: Anthony Richardson, Christian Gonzalez and more

New York Times  

Scheme fit matters, even for the most talented players. Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers Play style: Advanced processor inside and outside of the pocket Scheme: Adjustable scheme Head coach Frank Reich is one of the best at adjusting his scheme to his quarterback’s strengths. Young’s ability to handle a lot of information, Reich’s ability to shape an offense around his …

Las Vegas Raiders NFL Draft picks 2023: Grades, fits and scouting reports
1 year, 10 months ago

Las Vegas Raiders NFL Draft picks 2023: Grades, fits and scouting reports

New York Times  

Follow Monday Night Football as the Detroit Lions face-off against the Las Vegas Raiders. Tashan Reed’s analysis: Raiders draft Tyree Wilson: Las Vegas gets the top edge rusher on its board Scott Dochterman’s grade: B-plus Round 2 No. Vic Tafur’s analysis: Raiders draft Michael Mayer: Big-target tight end will help replace Darren Waller Scott Dochterman’s grade: A Round 3 No. …

Las Vegas Raiders NFL Draft 2023 guide: Picks, predictions and key needs
1 year, 11 months ago

Las Vegas Raiders NFL Draft 2023 guide: Picks, predictions and key needs

New York Times  

Follow Monday Night Football as the Detroit Lions face-off against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Las Vegas Raiders have the seventh pick in the NFL Draft when Round 1 begins on April 27 in Kansas City. Raiders’ draft picks Round Pick Overall Notes 1 7 7 2 7 38 3 7 70 3 37 100 From Giants 4 7 109 …

Sam Farmer’s final 2023 NFL mock draft: Four QBs set to go in the first round
1 year, 11 months ago

Sam Farmer’s final 2023 NFL mock draft: Four QBs set to go in the first round

LA Times  

There could be four quarterbacks selected in the opening round of the NFL draft Thursday evening, and this mock has three going in the first five picks. Sports NFL mock draft live: Team reporters make their first-round picks Reporters who cover their teams on a daily basis predict how the first round of the 2023 NFL draft will unfold in …

Pro Picks sees Rams making history to kick off Week 14
2 years, 3 months ago

Pro Picks sees Rams making history to kick off Week 14

Associated Press  

The Los Angeles Rams can make history when Week 14 kicks off Thursday night. A loss to the Las Vegas Raiders would give the Rams 10 this season, tying the 1999 Denver Broncos for most by a defending Super Bowl champion. Whether it’s Baker Mayfield, John Wolford or Bryce Perkins under center for the Rams, Pro Picks says they have …

NFL picks against the spread: Vic Tafur’s Week 10 predictions
2 years, 4 months ago

NFL picks against the spread: Vic Tafur’s Week 10 predictions

New York Times  

Read: NFL picks against the spread for Week 1 of the 2023 season. Walker will start Thursday night … but the numbers show that it really doesn’t matter: Walker: 58.9 percent completion rate, 6.9 YPA, 33.7 percent success rate on passes, 17.8 percent off target rate Mayfield: 56.6 percent completion rate, 6.5 YPA, 35.1 percent success rate, 15 percent off …

Pro Picks leans toward Broncos to kick off Week 5
2 years, 5 months ago

Pro Picks leans toward Broncos to kick off Week 5

Associated Press  

A month into the season, it’s clear Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan are still adjusting to their new teams. After going 20-12 against the spread over the past two weeks, Pro Picks aims to stay ahead and leans toward the home team in an even matchup. BEST BET CHARGERS 28-23 Philadelphia at Arizona The Cardinals haven’t scored a point in …

Week 17 is a tough chore for picking wins and covers
4 years, 2 months ago

Week 17 is a tough chore for picking wins and covers

Associated Press  

One of the worst chores in Week 17 in the NFL is figuring out who will go full-out for victory. That said, Pro Picks will push what some term as “meaningless” contests to the side — except for the top upset — while concentrating on the games that don’t fall into those troublesome categories. 24 New York Giants The Cowboys …

Pro Picks not enamored of Thursday night matchup
4 years, 3 months ago

Pro Picks not enamored of Thursday night matchup

Associated Press  

After the worst week for Pro Picks all season — we looked like the Saints, as in unprepared — our confidence isn’t shaken. It’s difficult to find the positives in Sin City — there’s an understatement to some — but clearly Jon Gruden recognized the defensive deficiencies of his team by firing coordinator Paul Guenther. We’ve got a lot of …

Pro Picks looking to beat the spread in playoffs
7 years, 2 months ago

Pro Picks looking to beat the spread in playoffs

Associated Press  

Pro Picks heads into the postseason with an incredible record straight up, 70 games over.500. There’s the rookie wall,’” coach Andy Reid joked — yes, Reid has a very good sense of humor, folks. He’s done well and I think we’re probably a little hypersensitive to that when you get around the middle of the season, that 12th game.” This …

Vikings, Chargers, Redskins choices for Thanksgiving games
7 years, 4 months ago

Vikings, Chargers, Redskins choices for Thanksgiving games

Associated Press  

The tripleheader on Thanksgiving isn’t all that tasty, except for the traditional opener at Detroit. “Every single one of them’s a factor in the grand scheme of things. You have no idea.” Judging by Pro Picks’ struggles last week against the spread, having no idea is a familiar concept. 6 Los Angeles Rams Huge game in NFC seedings race between …

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