
Fed Chair Powell signals possible tweaks to ’dot plot’ rate-path forecasts
Live MintBy Ann Saphir and Howard Schneider March 7 - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday signaled potential changes for the Fed's closely watched "dot plot" interest-rate projections as part of a broad policy framework review underway at the U.S. central bank and expected to wrap up by the end of summer. That is the Fed's quarterly report on what each of its 19 policymakers expect for economic growth, the unemployment rate, inflation, and the Fed's own policy rate over the next several years. Supporters of the dot plot say it can make monetary policy more effective, noting that in the wake of the global financial crisis the Fed's dot plot underscored U.S. central bankers' expectation they would be keeping rates at zero for much longer than markets might have otherwise expected. The Bank of England offers a "fan chart" of possible future paths for inflation and growth, an approach that former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke recently advised it to ditch in favor of publishing a range of alternative scenarios for both the economy and for rates.
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