India’s central bank should lead the policy easing cycle that its economy needs
1 day, 22 hours ago

India’s central bank should lead the policy easing cycle that its economy needs

Live Mint  

The coming weeks will see two important policy events. “The hardening of input costs across goods and services and their flow into selling prices needs to be watched carefully," the Indian central bank said in its November review of the economy. This column had argued before the December meeting of the monetary policy committee that there is a compelling reason for monetary policymakers to look through the temporary food price spikes because of erratic rains or heat waves, at least till there are no signs of generalized price and wage pressures in the economy. It is also likely that households and firms in the private sector have begun to look past one-off price shocks in specific food items because of a growing trust in the ability of RBI to keep overall inflation under control. Such an increase in the credibility of the central bank would mean that food price shocks do not quickly translate into higher core inflation via wage demands from households or price hikes by companies.

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History of this topic

Revise India’s inflation gauge but handle the revision with care
1 day, 4 hours ago

Revise India’s inflation gauge but handle the revision with care

Live Mint  

The remarkable insights into the changing pattern of household consumption thrown up by the latest Household Consumption Expenditure Survey 2023-24 are of special relevance for a wide range of policy decisions. In recent months, Union ministers have expressed qualms over RBI’s apparent unwillingness to look through inflation driven by food prices in its formulation of monetary policy. In December, the …

India’s wholesale inflation dips to 1.89% in November after hitting four-month high in October
Trending News
3 weeks, 2 days ago

India’s wholesale inflation dips to 1.89% in November after hitting four-month high in October

Firstpost  

Headline retail inflation, the key target for the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy decisions, eased to 5.48% in November, down from 6.21% in the prior month India’s wholesale inflation slowed in November to 1.89% year-on-year, easing from the previous month, due to a smaller increase in food prices, government data showed on Monday. The wholesale inflation rate, a proxy …

Retail inflation slows down in November
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Retail inflation slows down in November

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: With the significant easing of food prices, especially vegetables, India’s retail inflation slowed to 5.48 per cent in November as compared to 6.21 per cent in October. “But the CPI-based headline inflation increased from an average of 3.6 per cent during July-August to 5.5 per cent in September and further to 6.2 per cent in October 2024, the …

Retail inflation slows slightly at 5.48%
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Retail inflation slows slightly at 5.48%

Hindustan Times  

Retail inflation rose to 5.48% last month, a slower pace of increase compared to 6.21% in October, data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation showed on Thursday. Despite the slowing pace of growth in prices, the Consumer Price Index-based rate of retail inflation stayed above the Reserve Bank of India’s 4% tolerance level, with two percentage points of …

India’s retail inflation moderates to 5.48% in November, IIP expands to 3.5% in October
3 weeks, 6 days ago

India’s retail inflation moderates to 5.48% in November, IIP expands to 3.5% in October

Live Mint  

Hopes of an early rate cut were rekindled on Thursday as retail inflation fell back within the central bank's tolerance band in November, while factory output hit a three-month high in October, in good news for the economy that slowed in the second quarter. Retail inflation based on the consumer price index fell to a three-month low of 5.48% in …

Retail inflation eases to 5.48% in November as compared to 6.21% in October, check main reasons
Trending News
4 weeks ago

Retail inflation eases to 5.48% in November as compared to 6.21% in October, check main reasons

India TV News  

India's retail inflation has declined to 5.48 per cent in November compared to 6.21 pewr cent in October, mainly due to easing food prices, especially vegetables, according to government data released on Thursday. According to Consumer Price Index data released by the National Statistics Office, the inflation in the food basked reduced to 9.04 per cent in November. The CPI-based …

Retail inflation eases to 5.48% in November from above 6% in October
4 weeks ago

Retail inflation eases to 5.48% in November from above 6% in October

India Today  

India's retail inflation cooled to 5.48% in November, slipping below the Reserve Bank of India’s upper tolerance band of 6% after breaching it in October. "High inflation reduces the disposable income in the hands of consumers," Das noted, adding that food inflation could stay elevated through the third quarter of FY25 before easing. Expected revisions could lower food’s weightage by …

India’s Inflation Story: Here are five key things you should know
4 weeks ago

India’s Inflation Story: Here are five key things you should know

Live Mint  

India's inflation is at its 14-month peak, according to October 2024 data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation. According to data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on November 12, India's consumer price index inflation rose to 6.2 per cent in October 2024, compared to 5.49 per cent in September 2024. Finance Ministry's Inflation Target: …

Inflation likely eased to 5.5% in November: Mint poll
4 weeks ago

Inflation likely eased to 5.5% in November: Mint poll

Live Mint  

India’s retail inflation is expected to have eased to 5.5% in November from 6.2% the previous month, driven by a seasonal decline in vegetable prices, according to a Mint poll of 16 economists. Even if inflation moderated in November, it would still have exceeded the Reserve Bank of India's medium-term target of 4% in all but two months since September …

DC Edit | Will RBI tweak inflation focus?
4 weeks, 1 day ago

DC Edit | Will RBI tweak inflation focus?

Deccan Chronicle  

The appointment of Sanjay Malhotra as the new RBI governor continues the long-standing tradition of IAS officers heading the Central bank, a quasi-autonomous body that decides the country’s monetary policy. Mr Malhotra took over the charge of RBI from Shaktikanta Das — the second longest serving governor after Sir Benegal Rama Rau’s stint of seven years and 197 days — …

​Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation
Trending News
1 month ago

​Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee, in its latest bi-monthly review, has decided to maintain status quo on the benchmark interest rate of 6.50% for the eleventh consecutive time. India’s retail inflation, after trending below the median 4% target, for the first time in five years, for two months, spiked over September and October, with food prices leading …

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
1 month ago

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth

New Indian Express  

Despite the disappointing slump in economic growth, the RBI on Friday left the benchmark policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent amid inflationary pressures. Maintaining a firm stance on inflation control, Governor Shaktikanta Das stressed that the central bank needed “more credible evidence” on the disinflationary process, which he said was getting prolonged and arduous. As Das rightly noted, there …

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
1 month ago

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth

New Indian Express  

Despite the disappointing slump in economic growth, the RBI on Friday left the benchmark policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent amid inflationary pressures. Maintaining a firm stance on inflation control, Governor Shaktikanta Das stressed that the central bank needed “more credible evidence” on the disinflationary process, which he said was getting prolonged and arduous. As Das rightly noted, there …

RBI MPC meet: Growth needs a boost, but will inflation hold back rate cut?
Trending News
1 month ago

RBI MPC meet: Growth needs a boost, but will inflation hold back rate cut?

India Today  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee began its three-day meeting on Wednesday, setting the stage for a critical decision on the repo rate, which will be announced on December 6 at 10 AM. The meeting takes place amid growing calls from experts and leaders for a rate cut to support India’s slowing economic growth. Piyuh Goyal has even …

Monetary policy review: RBI should stick to its price stability mandate
1 month ago

Monetary policy review: RBI should stick to its price stability mandate

Live Mint  

One of the lingering effects of covid—‘long covid’—is that economic growth has begun to look a bit like the Sensex, albeit in slow motion. So, last fiscal year’s growth looked rosy in large part because growth in 2022-23 had flagged since 2021-22, when it was 9.7% but on a covid-shrunken GDP base of 2020-21. As the US Fed and major …

Is MPC doing enough on inflation? Consumers are divided
1 month ago

Is MPC doing enough on inflation? Consumers are divided

Live Mint  

Mumbai: For the past 30 months, the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy committee has been fighting hard to bring inflation within its medium-term target of 4%. Nearly half of the total respondents surveyed favoured lower inflation and higher interest rates, and only 22% support the reverse. Governor Shaktikanta Das has repeatedly warned since the last policy that cutting rates …

Will RBI cut key interest rates on December 6? 3 things to know
1 month, 1 week ago

Will RBI cut key interest rates on December 6? 3 things to know

India Today  

As the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee gears up for its December 6 meeting, market participants are weighing the likelihood of a key interest rate cut. Here are 3 things to know ahead of the upcoming RBI MPC meeting: GROWTH REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE India’s GDP growth dipped to 5.4% in Q2 FY25, a sharp decline attributed to weaker …

Food Inflation To Calm Down In Next Few Months, Says Finance Ministry’s Report
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Food Inflation To Calm Down In Next Few Months, Says Finance Ministry’s Report

ABP News  

The finance ministry in its latest economic review for October revealed that food inflation is expected to slowdown in the upcoming months. “Supply disruptions from heavy rains in major producing states contributed to price pressures in tomatoes, onions, and potatoes, while elevated global prices drove up oil and fat inflation,” the ministry in the review stated. The report, released by …

Unchecked 'sticker shock' from inflation can hurt manufacturing and economy, RBI says
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Unchecked 'sticker shock' from inflation can hurt manufacturing and economy, RBI says

Hindustan Times  

The Reserve Bank of India said if inflation is allowed to run unchecked, it can undermine the prospects of India's economy, especially for industry and exports. The Reserve Bank of India seal is pictured on a gate outside the RBI headquarters in Mumbai, India, February 2, 2016 This comes after the headline consumer price index inflation rose above the upper …

India’s central bank should adhere to its inflation-targeting mandate
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India’s central bank should adhere to its inflation-targeting mandate

Live Mint  

Less than four years after the government concluded its review of India’s inflation-targeting regime in April 2021 and opted to keep both its target and nitty-gritty—its target range, indicator, etc—unchanged, its view of inflation targeting seems to be shifting. After commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal and then finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman called for lower interest rates, on Tuesday chief …

Tomatoes, Onions, Gold Driving CPI Inflation Says CEA
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Tomatoes, Onions, Gold Driving CPI Inflation Says CEA

Deccan Chronicle  

Mumbai: Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran on Tuesday said that the recent rise in Consumer Price Index -based inflation is primarily driven by a select few commodities. Nageswaran explained that excluding tomatoes, onions, potatoes, and gold and silver from the CPI calculation reveals a much lower headline inflation rate of just 4.2 per cent for October. While these items …

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again

New Indian Express  

The main culprit is food inflation, which jumped to 10.87%, largely led by vegetable prices that rose by a staggering 42.18% in October. As Deputy governor Michael Patra noted, inflation will likely encounter a hump in the near months largely due to an adverse base and one-off shocks to prices of vegetables, edible oils and gram. The fact that inflation …

Rising food prices push India’s wholesale inflation to four-month high in Oct
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Rising food prices push India’s wholesale inflation to four-month high in Oct

Live Mint  

India's wholesale price index -based inflation rose to a four-month high of 2.36% in October due to rising food prices, showed the ministry of commerce and industry's provisional data on Thursday. On a year-on-year basis, the core WPI print rose to 0.3% in October," said Rahul Agrawal, senior economist, Icra Ltd. Elevated food prices have also pushed India's retail inflation, …

India trade minister says central bank should cut rates, look through food prices
1 month, 3 weeks ago

India trade minister says central bank should cut rates, look through food prices

Live Mint  

MUMBAI, Nov 14 - India's central bank should cut interest rates to boost economic growth and look through food price while deciding on monetary policy, the trade minister said, the first time a government minister has backed calls to re-examine the nation's inflation targeting framework. Growth needs a further impetus," Piyush Goyal told news channel CNBC TV18 at an event …

Spectre of food inflation haunts the economy again
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Spectre of food inflation haunts the economy again

New Indian Express  

It appears that the common man will have to further tighten his consumption belt. Government data released Tuesday showed vegetable prices were the main culprit, as they shot up over 42 per cent in October from a year ago—higher than the 36 per cent rise in September. Coupled with oil prices rising 9.51 per cent, fruits, cereals and pulses, food …

Consumer inflation at 14-month high of 6.2%
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Consumer inflation at 14-month high of 6.2%

Hindustan Times  

Retail inflation came in at 6.2% in October, the highest in 14 months, and outside the upper band of the Reserve Bank of India’s tolerance limit, primarily on account of higher food prices with potatoes, onions and tomatoes, stape vegetables all, driving the charge. The higher-than-expected number means that RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee is unlikely to cut rates in its …

India’s retail inflation surges to 6.2% in October
1 month, 3 weeks ago

India’s retail inflation surges to 6.2% in October

The Hindu  

A 10.9% spike in food prices lifted India’s retail inflation to a 14-month high of 6.2% in October, from 5.5% in September, with prices of vegetables and edible oils escalating at a sharp pace not seen in recent years. October’s price rise pace marked a breach of the Reserve Bank of India’s upper tolerance limit for inflation, with rural India …

India’s 14-month high retail inflation fades hope of December rate cut
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

India’s 14-month high retail inflation fades hope of December rate cut

Live Mint  

New Delhi: India’s retail inflation accelerated in October to its highest in over a year largely due to heated food prices, tempering expectations of a rate cut when the central bank’s monetary policy panel meets early next month. India’s retail inflation also breached the Reserve Bank of India’s medium-term target of 2-6% for the first time in over a year—which, …

Can October CPI inflation numbers alter RBI’s monetary policy path?
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Can October CPI inflation numbers alter RBI’s monetary policy path?

Live Mint  

October CPI inflation: The spectre of inflation continues haunting investors as economists and experts expect India's Consumer Price Index -based inflation, also known as retail inflation, to inch closer to the RBI's upper tolerance band of 6 per cent. According to a Reuters poll of economists, a spike in vegetable and edible oil prices may have shot up India's CPI …

Retail inflation at a 14-month high, rises to 6.21% in October
Top News
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Retail inflation at a 14-month high, rises to 6.21% in October

India Today  

Retail inflation in India rose to 6.21% in October, up from 5.49% in September 2024, marking a sharp increase driven by high food prices. Inflation in October climbed above the Reserve Bank of India's 6% tolerance threshold, marking the first breach of this level in 14 months since August 2023. Upasna Bhardwaj, Chief Economist, Kotak Mahindra Bank said, "The sharply …

No relief for Indians, as inflation rise further to 5.81% in October because of food price surge
1 month, 4 weeks ago

No relief for Indians, as inflation rise further to 5.81% in October because of food price surge

Live Mint  

Consumer price inflation in India climbed to a 14-month high of 5.81% in October primarily due to a spike in vegetable and edible oil prices, a Reuters poll of economists predicted, a shade below the central bank's tolerance threshold of 6.0%. Annual retail inflation as measured by the consumer price index likely rose a second straight month to 5.81% in …

India's Economy Shows Satisfactory Performance in First Half of FY25, But Risks from Geopolitical Conflicts and Global Factors
2 months, 1 week ago

India's Economy Shows Satisfactory Performance in First Half of FY25, But Risks from Geopolitical Conflicts and Global Factors

Hindustan Times  

India's economy performed satisfactorily in the first half of the current financial year, according to the finance ministry's monthly economic report released Monday. However, the ministry warned of potential disruptions from geopolitical conflicts, rising geo-economic fragmentation and elevated valuations in financial markets of some advanced economies.

RBI MPC Oct 2024: Retail Inflation Estimated At 4.5 Per Cent For FY25, Food Prices To Ease In Q4
2 months, 4 weeks ago

RBI MPC Oct 2024: Retail Inflation Estimated At 4.5 Per Cent For FY25, Food Prices To Ease In Q4

ABP News  

RBI MPC October 2024: The Reserve Bank of India ’s Monetary Policy Committee revealed its decision on Wednesday on key rates and decided to maintain the status quo. Governor Shaktikanta Das revealed that the CPI retail inflation for the 2024-25 fiscal year is projected at 4.5 per cent. The inflation figure for the second quarter in the current fiscal year …

'We Still Have Distance To Cover', Says RBI Guv Shaktikanta Das Amid Moderate Inflation
3 months, 3 weeks ago

'We Still Have Distance To Cover', Says RBI Guv Shaktikanta Das Amid Moderate Inflation

News 18  

Inflation in India has moderated but still, there is a distance to cover, Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das said on Friday. “Inflation has moderated from its peak of 7.8% in April 2022 into the tolerance band of +/- 2% around the target of 4%, but we still have a distance to cover and cannot afford to look the other way,” …

Business News: Catch All Stock Market and Business Updates in Just 2 Minutes | ABP News
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Business News: Catch All Stock Market and Business Updates in Just 2 Minutes | ABP News

ABP News  

Retail inflation in India is projected to stay below 4% for August 2024, according to recent reports. The Consumer Price Index, a key measure of retail inflation, is expected to remain within this range due to various factors influencing the market. Additionally, the prices of essential goods and services have not seen major spikes, contributing to the overall lower inflation …

Inflation control: India doing better than advanced economies like US and Germany, says SBI report
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation control: India doing better than advanced economies like US and Germany, says SBI report

Live Mint  

India has shown a largely successful inflation-targeting regime compared to advanced economies like the United States and Germany, reported ANI, quoting a State Bank of India research report. “India had a largely successful inflation targeting regime, compared to advanced economies like the USA and Germany,” as per the report. The SBI report cited government initiatives, Reserve Bank of India measures, …

Avoid haste on shift to core CPI
4 months, 1 week ago

Avoid haste on shift to core CPI

Hindustan Times  

Should India’s inflation targeting framework target the headline Consumer Price Index or just its core, namely, the non-food non-fuel part? REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo Inflation targeting, at a theoretical level, is supposed to use interest rates to maintain a healthy balance between inflation and growth. Because inflation targeting is a forward-looking exercise — higher interest rates today are expected to contain …

‘Abandoning RBI’s inflation target regime could be risky, counterproductive’
4 months, 2 weeks ago

‘Abandoning RBI’s inflation target regime could be risky, counterproductive’

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India's inflation targeting regime has worked well and need not be abandoned in favour of a more discretionary regime that could be risky and counterproductive, a new research paper has said. The paper titled 'Inflation Targeting In India: A Further Assessment' said the weight of food-price inflation in the CPI inflation basket should be reduced to …

Can the Reserve Bank of India rein in food inflation?
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Can the Reserve Bank of India rein in food inflation?

Hindustan Times  

On August 8, the Reserve Bank of India announced that it had kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.5% after the end of its monetary policy meeting — it marked the ninth straight meeting of the central bank in which it held rates at the same level. The paper - co-written by deputy governor Michael Debabrata Patra - cautioned …

Food prices can’t be overlooked for inflation targeting, says Das
5 months ago

Food prices can’t be overlooked for inflation targeting, says Das

New Indian Express  

Das clarified that while the Monetary Policy Committee might overlook elevated food inflation if it is deemed temporary, the current situation of sustained high food inflation requires the committee to take it seriously. The Economic Survey, released prior to the Budget, advocated for a revision of the central bank’s inflation targeting framework by excluding food inflation. It argued that India’s …

RBI MPC 2024: RBI can’t ignore food inflation while framing monetary policy: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das
5 months ago

RBI MPC 2024: RBI can’t ignore food inflation while framing monetary policy: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das

The Hindu  

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das on Thursday said that the central bank can not ignore food inflation while formulating monetary policy. Mr Das said with “high share of food in the consumption basket, food inflation pressures cannot be ignored.” Further, the public at large understands inflation more in terms of food inflation than the other components of headline …

Economic Survey 2024: Core Inflation Fell To 4-Year Low In FY24
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Economic Survey 2024: Core Inflation Fell To 4-Year Low In FY24

ABP News  

Economic Survey 2024: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman Presented the Economic Survey 2024 ahead of the Union Budget 2024 announcement on Tuesday, July 23, in parliament on Monday. The survey highlighted that in the fiscal year 24-25, proactive policy interventions by the central government and price stability measures implemented by the Reserve Bank of India helped stabilise retail inflation at …

Economic Survey on retail inflation: ‘Government and RBI’s intervention helped'
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Economic Survey on retail inflation: ‘Government and RBI’s intervention helped'

Hindustan Times  

The Economic Survey 2024, tabled by Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman in the Parliament on Monday stated that despite the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, the Central Government's timely policy interventions and the Reserve Bank of India's price stability measures helped maintain retail inflation at 5.4 per cent. However, in FY24, the central government's timely policy interventions and the Reserve Bank …

Core inflation at four-year low in FY24: Economic Survey
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Core inflation at four-year low in FY24: Economic Survey

Hindustan Times  

The government’s prudent monetary policy response and calibrated trade policy measures, coupled with strong output growth helped reduce core inflation to a four-year low in FY24, according to the 2023-24 Economic Survey Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman tabled in Parliament on Monday. The survey, which was presented a day before the first Union Budget of the third Narendra Modi-led central …

Flare-up in vegetable prices stalls overall disinflationary trend: RBI officials
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Flare-up in vegetable prices stalls overall disinflationary trend: RBI officials

The Hindu  

Consumer price inflation rose in June after three consecutive months of moderation due to a spike in vegetable prices halting a disinflationary trend underway in the economy, Reserve Bank of India officials led by deputy governor Michael D. Patra wrote in the July edition of RBI Bulletin. Headline inflation Headline inflation measured by on year changes in the all-India consumer …

Retail inflation rises to 5.08 per cent in June, says govt data
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Retail inflation rises to 5.08 per cent in June, says govt data

Hindustan Times  

Retail inflation climbed to 5.08 per cent in June due to higher prices of kitchen items, according to government data released on Friday. Retail inflation has increased to 5.08 per cent in June due to kitchen items becoming dearer The Consumer Price Index based retail inflation was 4.8 per cent in May 2024 and 4.87 per cent in June 2023. …

India inflation seen up in June due to soaring vegetable prices: Reuters poll
5 months, 4 weeks ago

India inflation seen up in June due to soaring vegetable prices: Reuters poll

Hindustan Times  

By Vivek Mishra India inflation seen up in June due to soaring vegetable prices: Reuters poll BENGALURU - India consumer price inflation probably edged up in June, snapping five months of declines, largely because of a jump in vegetable prices caused by the damage to crops wrought by extreme weather, according to a Reuters poll of economists. The July 5-9 …

Retail inflation eases to 12-month low
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Retail inflation eases to 12-month low

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: With the decline of food prices and kitchen items, India’s headline retail inflation eased to a 12-month low of 4.75 per cent in May on an annual basis from 4.83 per cent in April, while the industrial output slowed to a three-month low of 5 per cent in April as against 5.4 per cent in March this year, …

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials said Wednesday that inflation has fallen further toward their target level in recent months but signaled that they expect to cut their benchmark interest rate just once this year. The policymakers’ forecast for one rate cut was down from their previous projection of three cuts, because inflation, despite having cooled in the past two months, …

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