The problem with Putin’s endgame in Ukraine
CNNEditor’s Note: Alexander B. Downes is Associate Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University. CNN — With the feared Russian invasion of Ukraine underway, the burning question is what Russian President Vladimir Putin would do with the country if his forces can overcome fierce Ukrainian resistance and conquer it. Although Putin’s recent rhetoric suggests he believes Ukraine is an illegitimate state which should be returned to Russia, it is more likely Putin would seek to control Ukraine indirectly through a puppet government. Assuming Putin could overthrow the elected government in Kyiv and successfully install a puppet regime, would he also succeed in creating a stable client state? In the case of Ukraine, Putin might empower a pro-Russian politician who would try to keep the country firmly in Russia’s orbit.